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NBA

Obi Toppin

Indiana Pacers

Value call

Obi Toppin (Indiana Pacers) has one live pick today: under 3.5 rebounds that pays $275 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
3.9 rebounds
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 51.0% · before adjusting for past results 47.5% · the book's price implies 36.4% · gap +14.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Dallas Mavericks @ Indiana Pacers
Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN · Indoor
Fri 23 Oct, 7:00 PM ET
Obi Toppin
under 3.5 rebounds
Rebounds Under 3.5 +175 (2.75) · $100→$275
Value call
LEANWins about 51 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$27.50 Odds+175
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Obi Toppin is Under 3.5 on Rebounds.
On Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 36%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 10:42AM UTC
DAY-TO-DAY
Toppin (back) has been ruled out for Friday's game against Miami.
updated Oct 31, 5:01AM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebounds47.5%51.0%36.4%1.96+11.1%

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AI Analysis

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Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks: Obi Toppin Under 3.5 Rebounds (+175)

Odds correct at time of publishing

At Gainbridge Fieldhouse, the Indiana Pacers are facing off against the Dallas Mavericks. Obi Toppin's recent play shows he's been held under 3.5 rebounds in a good number of games. The Pacers allow a decent amount of rebounds, but they also have a solid defense that can limit Toppin's chances to rack up boards. Both teams are close in terms of how many rebounds they allow, but Toppin may find it tough to grab more than 3.5 against Dallas. The risk here is that it's a tight matchup, and he could surprise everyone. Still, betting on him to stay under seems like a smart call today.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Obi Toppin — 2024-25 season averages

Over 89 games in the 2024-25 season, Obi Toppin averaged 10.3 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.6 assists in 19.2 minutes per game, shooting 52.8% from the field and 36.3% from three-point range.

10.3
PPG
3.9
RPG
1.6
APG
0.6
SPG
0.3
BPG
19.2
MPG
52.8%
FG%
36.3%
3P%

Obi Toppin — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Obi Toppin has played 16.6 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

16.6
MPG (L5)
8.8
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Obi Toppin — home vs away scoring

At home Obi Toppin averages 9.6 points per game; on the road, 11.0. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

9.6
PPG at home
11.0
PPG on the road

Obi Toppin — scoring by opponent

Obi Toppin scores most against the TOR, averaging 14.1 points per game in that matchup.

14.1
TOR
10.6
WSH
9.8
MIN
9.7
NY
9.4
PHI
9.1
MIA

Obi Toppin — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Obi Toppin has averaged 8.5 points, 2.5 rebounds and 1.8 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 May@ CLE12533
11 Mayvs CLE212052
9 Mayvs CLE19525
6 May@ CLE16721
4 May@ CLE15752
29 Aprvs MIL11511
27 Apr@ MIL141311
25 Apr@ MIL161021
22 Aprvs MIL21731
19 Aprvs MIL15611
Quick answers:How many assists does Obi Toppin average?How many points does Obi Toppin average?How many rebounds does Obi Toppin average?How many three-pointers does Obi Toppin average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
23 Oct 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Indiana Pacers Rebounds 3.5 Under +175 ✗ MISS
15 Mar 26 Indiana Pacers @ Milwaukee Bucks Points 8.5 Over -130 ✓ HIT
23 Oct 25 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Indiana Pacers Pts + Rebs 14.5 Over -130 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Obi Toppin (Indiana Pacers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Obi Toppin is Under 3.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.1% on this pick. Their next game is Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers on Friday 23 October at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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