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NBA

Obi Toppin

Indiana Pacers

+16.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Points Over 8.5 -130 (1.77)
+16.5% Edge
Indiana Pacers @ Milwaukee Bucks
Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee
Sun 15 Mar, 7:30PM
Model Probability
73.0%
Implied Probability
56.5%
Model Edge
+16.5%
Predicted Value
12.1 Points

AI Analysis

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Obi Toppin (Indiana Pacers) Over 8.5 Points (-130)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Indiana Pacers head into Milwaukee, eyes will be on Obi Toppin, especially with a points line set at 8.5. Toppin has been heating up recently, averaging 11.4 points over his last five games. More telling is his performance away from home, where he's managed to notch 8.6 points per game. Against the Bucks, he's historically fared even better, averaging almost 9.8 points when playing in Milwaukee. With a solid hit rate of 12 out of his last 20 away games exceeding this line, Toppin is in a prime position. The Bucks' defense can be suspect at times, and with Toppin's last four games showing him clear for over 8.5 points three times, it feels like a smart play to back him for the over. With an expected stat value of 12.11, we're confident he'll exceed this threshold once again.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 100.0% (2/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
15 Mar 26 Indiana Pacers @ Milwaukee Bucks Points 8.5 Over -130 ✓ HIT
23 Oct 25 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Indiana Pacers Pts + Rebs 14.5 Over -130 ✓ HIT

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