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Fred VanVleet

Houston Rockets

Value call

Fred VanVleet (Houston Rockets) has one live pick today: over 9.5 points that pays $158 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
48 in 100
Predicted
15.1 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 48.5% · before adjusting for past results 86.7% · the book's price implies 63.3% · gap -14.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Houston Rockets @ Phoenix Suns
Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ · Indoor
Sat 7 Nov, 9:00 PM ET
Fred VanVleet
over 9.5 points
Points Over 9.5 -172 (1.58) · $100→$158
Value call
LEANWins about 48 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$15.80 Odds-172
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Fred VanVleet is Over 9.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 48 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 48%, the price says 63%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Nov 13, 2:39PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nba pts + rebs unders: +$3,013 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points86.7%48.5%63.3%2.06+23.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

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Phoenix Suns vs Houston Rockets: Fred VanVleet Over 9.5 Points (-172)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Fred VanVleet has been on fire lately, and he's going to need to keep that up against the Phoenix Suns at the Footprint Center. The Suns give up a lot of threes and rebounds, which means there will be plenty of chances for VanVleet to score. Since he's been shooting well, the over on his points looks like a solid bet. The biggest risk here is that the Suns are not an easy team to break down, and they can play tough defense when they want to. Still, with the way VanVleet has been playing and the chances he'll get, it feels like he'll hit the mark of over 9.5 points. Let's see if he can keep the scoring going!

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Pick History & Track Record

Fred VanVleet — 2024-25 season averages

Over 67 games in the 2024-25 season, Fred VanVleet averaged 14.6 points, 3.7 rebounds and 5.4 assists in 35.7 minutes per game, shooting 38.4% from the field and 35.6% from three-point range.

14.6
PPG
3.7
RPG
5.4
APG
1.5
SPG
0.4
BPG
35.7
MPG
38.4%
FG%
35.6%
3P%

Fred VanVleet — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Fred VanVleet has played 39.6 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

39.6
MPG (L5)
22.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Fred VanVleet — points hit rate

Fred VanVleet has scored over 11.5 points in 51% of 411 career games.

o11.551%
o12.546%
o15.536%
o20.521%

Fred VanVleet — home vs away scoring

At home Fred VanVleet averages 13.8 points per game; on the road, 15.3. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

13.8
PPG at home
15.3
PPG on the road

Fred VanVleet — scoring by opponent

Fred VanVleet scores most against the UTAH, averaging 23.2 points per game in that matchup.

23.2
UTAH
20.5
NY
19.9
SA
19.4
MIA
19.1
DEN
18.8
MIN

Fred VanVleet — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Fred VanVleet has averaged 16.2 points, 3.0 rebounds and 4.3 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
4 Mayvs GS441773
2 May@ GS402988
30 Aprvs GS332612
28 Apr@ GS402526
26 Apr@ GS411743
23 Aprvs GS42762
20 Aprvs GS401017
13 Aprvs DEN271503
6 Apr@ GS36313
4 Aprvs OKC371306
Quick answers:How many assists does Fred VanVleet average?How many points does Fred VanVleet average?How many rebounds does Fred VanVleet average?How many three-pointers does Fred VanVleet average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Nov 26 Houston Rockets @ Phoenix Suns Points 9.5 Over -172 ✓ HIT
07 Nov 26 Houston Rockets @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs 14.5 Over -109 ✓ HIT
02 Nov 26 Boston Celtics @ Houston Rockets Points 10.5 Over -149 ✗ MISS
02 Nov 26 Boston Celtics @ Houston Rockets Points — — — Pending
02 Nov 26 Boston Celtics @ Houston Rockets Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
23 Oct 26 Houston Rockets @ San Antonio Spurs Points — — — Pending

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About This Player

Fred VanVleet (Houston Rockets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Fred VanVleet is Over 9.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +23.4% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Rockets vs Phoenix Suns on Saturday 7 November at Footprint Center, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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