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Model picks & player props
NCAAF
Sat 7 Nov 2026, 3:00 PM ET
UL Monroe Warhawks
1-7 · 1-3 awayLLLWL
VS
Arkansas State Red Wolves
4-4 · 3-1 at homeWLLWW
Our model's predicted score: Arkansas State Red Wolves 36.8 – UL Monroe Warhawks 20.8

UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Prediction & Picks · Sat 7 Nov

Model updated Nov 3, 7:30AM UTC

Our model graded 6 markets for UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves and backs Over 52.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $193.

6
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Over 52.5 total points
Over 52.5 Total Points
You bet$10 If it wins$19.26Best price-108
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win48.5%
The price says49.8%

The model graded 6 markets for UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves (NCAAF) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $193 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 7 Nov 2026, 3:00 PM ET.

Saturday 7 November 2026: UL Monroe Warhawks at Arkansas State Red Wolves

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Points Over 52.5 Lean49% chance -108
Total Points Members only Lean48% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean49% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean44% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Arkansas State Red Wolves are the model's favourite to beat UL Monroe Warhawks, with a 81% chance to win. Predicted score: Arkansas State Red Wolves 36.8 – UL Monroe Warhawks 20.8. Kick-off Sat 7 Nov, 3:00 PM ET. Best bet: Over 52.5 at -108.
How they've been scoring this season
UL Monroe WarhawksArkansas State Red Wolves
Won-lost1-74-4
Points scored per game20.328.8
Points allowed per game37.027.3
On the road / at home1-3 away3-1 at home
Last 5 gamesLLLWLWLLWW
Their games average 56.6 total points this season.
From the 8 UL Monroe Warhawks and 8 Arkansas State Red Wolves games on our books this season.
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How the price moved

When prices opened: Wolves about 8 in 10 to win. Now: about 8 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
TeamMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Warhawksabout 2 in 10$6.26 (+526)$6.10 (+510)
Wolvesabout 8 in 10$1.19 (-526)$1.15 (-667)

On this game the bookies keep about $4.40 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 19 books we check.

All NCAAF odds this week →

What matters in this game

Rest, form and schedule
  • Arkansas State Red Wolves won 2 straight games up to Saturday 24 October.
  • On Saturday 31 October, UL Monroe Warhawks lost 35-21 at home to Southern Miss Golden Eagles. On Saturday 24 October, Arkansas State Red Wolves beat Georgia State Panthers 38-32 at home.
  • Home teams won 224 of the 363 college football games in our 2026 study, about 6 in 10. See the study

From this season's final scores.

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Points
Over
52.5
+ 5 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arkansas State Red WolvesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UL Monroe WarhawksMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arkansas State Red WolvesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market sharpened toward UL Monroe Warhawks on this game.

Line movement

▲ moved toward UL Monroe Warhawks
Exact move size 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

UL Monroe Warhawks

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Arkansas State Red Wolves

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and no players are currently listed out or questionable.
FactorThis fixture
AvailabilityNone currently listed out or questionable

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

The preview

Written 4 Nov

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs UL Monroe Warhawks Prediction & Picks

On Saturday 7 November 2026, Arkansas State Red Wolves play UL Monroe Warhawks in college football. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Arkansas State Red Wolves -15 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Arkansas State Red Wolves -15 on the Line (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 7 November 2026, Arkansas State Red Wolves host UL Monroe Warhawks in college football. The bet we are looking at is Arkansas State Red Wolves -15 Point Spread. On this line Arkansas State Red Wolves give up 15 points before the game starts, so they have to win by more than 15. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Over 53.5 Total Points (-108)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 7 November 2026, Arkansas State Red Wolves host UL Monroe Warhawks in college football. The bet we are looking at is Over 53.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score more than 53.5 points between them. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.26 if it lands. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.26 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

UL Monroe Warhawks to Win (+510)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 7 November 2026, Arkansas State Red Wolves host UL Monroe Warhawks in college football. The bet we are looking at is UL Monroe Warhawks Moneyline. This one only needs UL Monroe Warhawks to win the game. It was priced at +510 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $61 if it lands. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +510 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $61 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Arkansas State Red Wolves v UL Monroe Warhawks. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk · Read the full preview

UL Monroe Warhawks @ Arkansas State Red Wolves — what the model found

Our model graded 6 betting markets for UL Monroe Warhawks at Arkansas State Red Wolves — 6 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

6
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 6 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 5 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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UL Monroe Warhawks @ Arkansas State Red Wolves — where the money went

Since betting opened on UL Monroe Warhawks at Arkansas State Red Wolves, the market has moved toward UL Monroe Warhawks across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Spread — UL Monroe Warhawks 14▲ Money came for this
Spread — Arkansas State Red Wolves -14▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 52.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 52.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — UL Monroe Warhawks 15.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Arkansas State Red Wolves -15.5▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Over 53.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 53.5▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

UL Monroe Warhawks @ Arkansas State Red Wolves — model preview

Arkansas State Red Wolves v UL Monroe Warhawks, 7 November 2026. Top of the list: Arkansas State Red Wolves -15 on the Line. Here is why, in plain English.

On Saturday 7 November 2026, Arkansas State Red Wolves play UL Monroe Warhawks in college football. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Arkansas State Red Wolves -15 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Arkansas State Red Wolves -15 on the Line (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 7 November 2026, Arkansas State Red Wolves host UL Monroe Warhawks in college football. The bet we are looking at is Arkansas State Red Wolves -15 Point Spread. On this line Arkansas State Red Wolves give up 15 points before the game starts, so they have to win by more than 15. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. That price was showing at BetRivers. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves in the NCAAF. You may also see this matchup written as Warhawks vs Wolves, or as Wolves vs Warhawks. The next scheduled game is Saturday 7 November 2026. The model has generated 6 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NCAAF betting strategy for this matchup.

UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves: game facts

When it starts and how they have been going

UL Monroe Warhawks play Arkansas State Red Wolves on Saturday 7 November 2026. Kick-off is 3:00 PM ET. It is a college football game.

UL Monroe Warhawks: last 5 results

  1. 31 Oct 2026Lostvs Southern Miss Golden Eagles 21-35
  2. 24 Oct 2026Wonat Troy Trojans 21-14
  3. 17 Oct 2026Lostvs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 0-24
  4. 3 Oct 2026Lostat South Alabama Jaguars 35-52
  5. 26 Sep 2026Lostvs Florida Atlantic Owls 17-45

Arkansas State Red Wolves: last 5 results

  1. 24 Oct 2026Wonvs Georgia State Panthers 38-32
  2. 17 Oct 2026Wonat Southern Miss Golden Eagles 23-13
  3. 8 Oct 2026Lostvs South Alabama Jaguars 49-56
  4. 3 Oct 2026Lostat Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 20-23
  5. 26 Sep 2026Wonvs Kennesaw State Owls 17-14

Quick answers

When is UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves? UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves is on Saturday 7 November 2026. Kick-off is 3:00 PM ET.

How have UL Monroe Warhawks and Arkansas State Red Wolves done lately? UL Monroe Warhawks won 1 and lost 4 of the last 5 results we hold. Arkansas State Red Wolves won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

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