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The latest Bet Better model pick for Karl-Anthony Towns is Over 27.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On the Points + Rebounds market the model assigns a model win probability of 69%, versus the book's implied 52%, for a model edge of +16.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 7:02AM UTC
NBA

Karl-Anthony Towns

New York Knicks

+16.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 27.5 -109 (1.92) · $100→$192
+16.6% Edge
New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Sun 14 Jun, 12:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
68.7%
Implied Probability
52.1%
Model Edge
+16.6%
Predicted Value
30.9 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs68.7%52.1%1.46+16.6%

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AI Analysis

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Karl-Anthony Towns (New York Knicks) Over 27.5 Points + Rebounds (-109)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the New York Knicks prepare to face the San Antonio Spurs, all eyes should be on Karl-Anthony Towns, especially when it comes to his points and rebounds combined. Towns has been a force lately, averaging 17.6 points and 10.2 rebounds in his last five away games. Now, let's dig deeper-when he's up against the Spurs, his numbers jump to an impressive 22 points and 9.2 rebounds per game on the road. His recent form is also hard to ignore. In his last three away games, he's cleared the 27.5 mark effortlessly, hitting the Over each time. He's consistently clocked in at around 30.87 expected combined stats, suggesting he's well positioned to surpass this line. With the Knicks needing a big performance to stay competitive, Towns is set to shine. Look for him to dominate the glass and score with authority, making the Over a compelling play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Double-Double2024-25 seasonNo line posted
77%DD rate
77%double-double rate · 2024-25
L1070%Home78%Away77%
Game log · double-double7 / 10 DD

Karl-Anthony Towns posted a double-double in 77% of 2024-25 games (7 of his last 10).

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
19.7avg · last 10
L517.8Szn23.5Home22.7Away24.2Best62
13+87%
18+74%
23+57%
28+29%
33+11%
Game log vs O 22.5avg 19.7 · hi 31 · lo 10
23103127171014212123

Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 19.7 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 23.5, best 62). He clears 23+ in 57% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
20.9avg · last 10
L518.6Szn26.3Home25.4Away27.0Best64
16+85%
21+73%
26+54%
31+31%
36+14%
Game log vs O 25.5avg 20.9 · hi 32 · lo 10
28103228181214222124

Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 20.9 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 26.3, best 64). He clears 26+ in 54% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
31.3avg · last 10
L532.0Szn35.9Home34.5Away37.1Best77
26+82%
31+74%
36+54%
41+33%
46+15%
Game log vs O 35.5avg 31.3 · hi 39 · lo 16
34163936282527383634

Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 31.3 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 35.9, best 77). He clears 36+ in 54% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
32.5avg · last 10
L532.8Szn38.7Home37.3Away39.9Best80
29+82%
34+73%
39+52%
44+32%
49+19%
Game log vs O 38.5avg 32.5 · hi 40 · lo 16
39164037292727393635

Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 32.5 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 38.7, best 80). He clears 39+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
11.6avg · last 10
L514.2Szn12.4Home11.9Away12.9Best27
8+89%
10+77%
12+52%
14+37%
16+21%
Game log vs O 11.5avg 11.6 · hi 17 · lo 6
11689111513171511

Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 11.6 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 12.4, best 27). He clears 12+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
12.8avg · last 10
L515.0Szn15.2Home14.6Away15.8Best30
9+95%
12+77%
15+56%
18+29%
21+17%
Game log vs O 14.5avg 12.8 · hi 18 · lo 6
166910121713181512

Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 12.8 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 15.2, best 30). He clears 15+ in 56% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks Points 14.5 Over -135 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs Pending
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Points Pending
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Points Pending
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs Pending
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs Pending

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About This Player

Karl-Anthony Towns (New York Knicks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Karl-Anthony Towns is Over 27.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.6% on this pick. Their next game is New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs on Sunday 14 June at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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