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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Karl-Anthony Towns is Over 16.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 73%, implied 51%, edge +21.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 7:14PM UTC
NBA

Karl-Anthony Towns

New York Knicks

+21.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Over 16.5 -105 (1.95) · $100→$195
+21.6% Edge
New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Sun 14 Jun, 12:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
20.0 Points
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 72.9% · the book's price implies 51.3% · gap +21.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points72.9%51.3%1.37+21.6%

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AI Analysis

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Karl-Anthony Towns (New York Knicks) Over 16.5 Points (-105)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Knicks gear up for their road clash against the Spurs, all eyes should be on Karl-Anthony Towns to surpass the 16.5 points mark. Towns has been on a scoring tear lately, averaging 17.6 points away from home, and his recent form shows he's found his groove, hitting the over in his last three away games. Despite facing the Spurs, who can be tough defensively, Towns has historically thrived against them, putting up an impressive 22 points per game in their past matchups as a visitor. With an expected stat value pushing toward 20, it's clear he's ready to step up. Towns has hit this mark 12 out of his last 19 games, showcasing reliability as a scorer. If he continues this trend, the over on 16.5 points feels not just achievable, but likely. Grab this opportunity before it slips away!

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Pick History & Track Record

Karl-Anthony Towns — 2024-25 season averages

Over 84 games in the 2024-25 season, Karl-Anthony Towns averaged 23.5 points, 12.4 rebounds and 2.8 assists in 34.5 minutes per game, shooting 52.3% from the field and 41.5% from three-point range.

23.5
PPG
12.4
RPG
2.8
APG
0.9
SPG
0.7
BPG
34.5
MPG
52.3%
FG%
41.5%
3P%

Karl-Anthony Towns — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Karl-Anthony Towns has played 35.0 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

35.0
MPG (L5)
17.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Karl-Anthony Towns — points hit rate

Karl-Anthony Towns has scored over 20.5 points in 60% of 507 career games.

o11.593%
o12.591%
o15.581%
o20.560%
o25.535%
o30.516%

Karl-Anthony Towns — home vs away scoring

At home Karl-Anthony Towns averages 22.7 points per game; on the road, 24.2. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

22.7
PPG at home
24.2
PPG on the road

Karl-Anthony Towns — scoring by opponent

Karl-Anthony Towns scores most against the CHI, averaging 30.1 points per game in that matchup.

30.1
CHI
29.1
IND
29.0
CHA
28.3
WSH
26.4
BKN
25.8
HOU

Karl-Anthony Towns — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Karl-Anthony Towns has averaged 19.7 points, 11.6 rebounds and 1.2 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 Mayvs BOS3623111
10 Mayvs BOS3621150
7 May@ BOS3521171
5 May@ BOS3114130
1 May@ DET3710152
29 Aprvs DET3517111
27 Apr@ DET402791
24 Apr@ DET413181
21 Aprvs DET331060
19 Aprvs DET3923115
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Points Pending
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs Pending
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs Pending
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Points Pending
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Points Pending
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs Pending

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About This Player

Karl-Anthony Towns (New York Knicks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Karl-Anthony Towns is Over 16.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.6% on this pick. Their next game is New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs on Sunday 14 June at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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