Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Karl-Anthony Towns is Over 26.5 on Pts + Rebs.
On the Pts + Rebs market the model assigns a model win probability of 74%, versus the book's implied 58%, for a model edge of +15.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:08PM UTC
NBA

Karl-Anthony Towns

New York Knicks

+15.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 26.5 -139 (1.72)
+15.5% Edge
New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Sun 14 Jun, 12:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
73.6%
Implied Probability
58.1%
Model Edge
+15.5%
Predicted Value
30.9 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs73.6%58.1%1.36+15.5%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Karl-Anthony Towns (New York Knicks) Over 26.5 Points + Rebounds (-139)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Knicks step onto the court against the Spurs, all eyes should be on Karl-Anthony Towns, particularly for his points and rebounds total. Towns has been on a tear lately, averaging 17.6 points and 10.2 rebounds in his last five away games, and he's hit the Over in all three of his most recent road outings. The Spurs' defense has struggled against versatile big men, and Towns seems poised to exploit that weakness. In fact, he's averaged 22 points against San Antonio when playing away, alongside a solid 9.2 rebounds. Considering his expected stat value sits at an impressive 30.87, it's clear that he's not just hitting the Over; he's doing so with authority. With an implied probability of 58.1% leaning favorably in his direction, betting on Towns to surpass 26.5 feels like a savvy move in this matchup.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Double-Double2024-25 seasonNo line posted
77%DD rate
77%double-double rate · 2024-25
L1070%Home78%Away77%
Game log · double-double7 / 10 DD

Karl-Anthony Towns posted a double-double in 77% of 2024-25 games (7 of his last 10).

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
19.7avg · last 10
L517.8Szn23.5Home22.7Away24.2Best62
13+87%
18+74%
23+57%
28+29%
33+11%
Game log vs O 22.5avg 19.7 · hi 31 · lo 10
23103127171014212123

Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 19.7 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 23.5, best 62). He clears 23+ in 57% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
20.9avg · last 10
L518.6Szn26.3Home25.4Away27.0Best64
16+85%
21+73%
26+54%
31+31%
36+14%
Game log vs O 25.5avg 20.9 · hi 32 · lo 10
28103228181214222124

Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 20.9 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 26.3, best 64). He clears 26+ in 54% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
31.3avg · last 10
L532.0Szn35.9Home34.5Away37.1Best77
26+82%
31+74%
36+54%
41+33%
46+15%
Game log vs O 35.5avg 31.3 · hi 39 · lo 16
34163936282527383634

Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 31.3 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 35.9, best 77). He clears 36+ in 54% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
32.5avg · last 10
L532.8Szn38.7Home37.3Away39.9Best80
29+82%
34+73%
39+52%
44+32%
49+19%
Game log vs O 38.5avg 32.5 · hi 40 · lo 16
39164037292727393635

Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 32.5 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 38.7, best 80). He clears 39+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
11.6avg · last 10
L514.2Szn12.4Home11.9Away12.9Best27
8+89%
10+77%
12+52%
14+37%
16+21%
Game log vs O 11.5avg 11.6 · hi 17 · lo 6
11689111513171511

Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 11.6 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 12.4, best 27). He clears 12+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
12.8avg · last 10
L515.0Szn15.2Home14.6Away15.8Best30
9+95%
12+77%
15+56%
18+29%
21+17%
Game log vs O 14.5avg 12.8 · hi 18 · lo 6
166910121713181512

Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 12.8 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 15.2, best 30). He clears 15+ in 56% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 26.5 Over -139 ✗ MISS
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Points 16.5 Over -108 ✗ MISS
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 27.5 Over -109 ✗ MISS
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Points Pending
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs Pending
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Points Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Karl-Anthony Towns (New York Knicks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Karl-Anthony Towns is Over 26.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.5% on this pick. Their next game is New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs on Sunday 14 June at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks