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The latest Bet Better model pick for Toumani Camara is Under 21.5 on Pts + Rebs.
On the Pts + Rebs market the model assigns a model win probability of 77%, versus the book's implied 55%, for a model edge of +21.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:16AM UTC
NBA

Toumani Camara

Portland Trail Blazers

+21.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Under 21.5 -123 (1.81)
+21.9% Edge
Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Thu 9 Apr, 1:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
77.2%
Implied Probability
55.2%
Model Edge
+21.9%
Predicted Value
16.3 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs77.2%55.2%1.30+21.9%

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AI Analysis

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Toumani Camara (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 21.5 Points + Rebounds (-123)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Portland Trail Blazers gear up to face the San Antonio Spurs, all eyes will be on Toumani Camara, but betting on him to stay under 21.5 points and rebounds is the savvy play here. Recently, Camara's production has dipped, averaging just 20.2 points and 5.6 rebounds over his last five games. When we zoom in on his away performances, those numbers drop to 17.2 points and 4.4 rebounds. The Spurs, tough at home, have historically stifled Camara, limiting him to an average of just 9 points in their last away matchup. While his rebounding numbers against San Antonio look decent at 7.2, the combination of a challenging environment and recent trends suggest he'll struggle to eclipse that 21.5 mark. With a hit rate of just 40% on the road lately, it feels like a solid bet to back the under.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 4(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
16.4avg · last 10
L516.4Szn13.6Home14.7Away12.4Best28
4+94%
9+74%
14+47%
19+23%
24+6%
Game log vs O 13.5avg 16.4 · hi 26 · lo 7
221472019726181318

Toumani Camara is averaging 16.4 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 13.6, best 28). He clears 14+ in 47% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
19.4avg · last 10
L519.4Szn17.1Home18.3Away15.8Best33
7+95%
12+85%
17+54%
22+27%
27+8%
Game log vs O 16.5avg 19.4 · hi 33 · lo 8
2617102420833221420

Toumani Camara is averaging 19.4 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 17.1, best 33). He clears 17+ in 54% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
21.8avg · last 10
L522.2Szn19.3Home20.9Away17.8Best37
9+94%
14+83%
19+51%
24+26%
29+9%
Game log vs O 18.5avg 21.8 · hi 36 · lo 10
29181128211036241724

Toumani Camara is averaging 21.8 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 19.3, best 37). He clears 19+ in 51% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
5.4avg · last 10
L55.8Szn5.8Home6.2Away5.4Best14
2+95%
4+78%
6+51%
8+26%
10+13%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 5.4 · hi 10 · lo 2
74482310646

Toumani Camara is averaging 5.4 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 5.8, best 14). He clears 6+ in 51% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 21.5 Under -123 ✓ HIT
05 Mar 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ Memphis Grizzlies Pts + Rebs 20.5 Under -125 ✓ HIT
28 Feb 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ Charlotte Hornets Pts + Rebs + Asts 21.5 Under -127 ✓ HIT
27 Feb 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ Chicago Bulls Pts + Asts Pending

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About This Player

Toumani Camara (Portland Trail Blazers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Toumani Camara is Under 21.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.9% on this pick. Their next game is Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs on Thursday 9 April at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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