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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Devin Vassell is Under 19.5 on Points + Assists.
On the Points + Assists market the model assigns a model win probability of 75%, versus the book's implied 55%, for a model edge of +20.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 8:52AM UTC
NBA

Devin Vassell

San Antonio Spurs

+20.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Asts Under 19.5 -122 (1.82) · $100→$182
+20.3% Edge
Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Thu 9 Apr, 1:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
75.2%
Implied Probability
54.9%
Model Edge
+20.3%
Predicted Value
15.2 Pts + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Asts75.2%54.9%1.33+20.3%

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AI Analysis

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Devin Vassell (San Antonio Spurs) Under 19.5 Points + Assists (-122)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the Spurs host the Trail Blazers, Devin Vassell's performance could be pivotal, but backing him for under 19.5 points and assists feels like the smart play. Recently, Vassell has averaged just 11 points and 3 assists over his last five games, numbers that don't quite align with that lofty total. At home, he's been slightly better, averaging 10.8 points and 3 assists, but even that falls short of the mark.Against Portland, he's historically averaged 18.6 points, but at home, that dips to 13.8. With only 2.8 assists against the Blazers on his home court, it's clear Vassell isn't lighting up the scoreboard. Plus, he's hit the under in four of his last four home games. With these trends in mind, it's reasonable to expect Vassell will stay below that 19.5 threshold in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Devin Vassell — 2024-25 season averages

Over 64 games in the 2024-25 season, Devin Vassell averaged 16.3 points, 4.0 rebounds and 2.9 assists in 31.0 minutes per game, shooting 44.3% from the field and 36.8% from three-point range.

16.3
PPG
4.0
RPG
2.9
APG
1.3
SPG
0.5
BPG
31.0
MPG
44.3%
FG%
36.8%
3P%

Devin Vassell — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Devin Vassell has played 30.8 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

30.8
MPG (L5)
14.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Devin Vassell — points hit rate

Devin Vassell has scored over 11.5 points in 31% of 131 career games.

o11.531%
o12.526%
o15.513%

Devin Vassell — home vs away scoring

At home Devin Vassell averages 16.0 points per game; on the road, 16.6. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

16.0
PPG at home
16.6
PPG on the road

Devin Vassell — scoring by opponent

Devin Vassell scores most against the UTAH, averaging 17.1 points per game in that matchup.

17.1
UTAH
15.9
ORL
15.7
LAL
15.6
MIN
15.5
DAL
15.3
SAC

Devin Vassell — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Devin Vassell has averaged 17.3 points, 4.4 rebounds and 2.4 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
9 Apr@ GS281153
8 Apr@ LAC25712
6 Apr@ POR322172
4 Aprvs CLE362443
1 Aprvs ORL331140
30 Marvs GS201233
29 Marvs BOS381453
27 Mar@ CLE372234
25 Mar@ DET322661
23 Mar@ TOR302563
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Devin Vassell (San Antonio Spurs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Devin Vassell is Under 19.5 on Points + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.3% on this pick. Their next game is Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs on Thursday 9 April at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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