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The latest Bet Better model pick for Devin Vassell is Under 19.5 on Pts + Asts.
On the Pts + Asts market the model assigns a model win probability of 75%, versus the book's implied 55%, for a model edge of +20.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
NBA

Devin Vassell

San Antonio Spurs

+20.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Asts Under 19.5 -122 (1.82)
+20.3% Edge
Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Thu 9 Apr, 1:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
75.2%
Implied Probability
54.9%
Model Edge
+20.3%
Predicted Value
15.2 Pts + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Asts75.2%—54.9%1.33+20.3%

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AI Analysis

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Devin Vassell (San Antonio Spurs) Under 19.5 Points + Assists (-122)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the Spurs host the Trail Blazers, Devin Vassell's performance could be pivotal, but backing him for under 19.5 points and assists feels like the smart play. Recently, Vassell has averaged just 11 points and 3 assists over his last five games, numbers that don't quite align with that lofty total. At home, he's been slightly better, averaging 10.8 points and 3 assists, but even that falls short of the mark.Against Portland, he's historically averaged 18.6 points, but at home, that dips to 13.8. With only 2.8 assists against the Blazers on his home court, it's clear Vassell isn't lighting up the scoreboard. Plus, he's hit the under in four of his last four home games. With these trends in mind, it's reasonable to expect Vassell will stay below that 19.5 threshold in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
3.3avg · last 10
L52.8Szn2.5Home2.3Away2.7Best8
1+91%
2+66%
3+48%
4+23%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 3.3 · hi 6 · lo 1
3644216313

Devin Vassell is averaging 3.3 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.5, best 8). He clears 2+ in 66% of 2024-25 games.

Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
2.4avg · last 10
L52.0Szn2.9Home2.8Away3.0Best9
1+92%
3+63%
5+17%
7+2%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 2.4 · hi 4 · lo 0
3143303223

Devin Vassell is averaging 2.4 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.9, best 9). He clears 3+ in 63% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
17.3avg · last 10
L514.8Szn16.3Home16.0Away16.6Best37
6+97%
11+80%
16+52%
21+33%
26+3%
Game log vs O 15.5avg 17.3 · hi 26 · lo 7
2526221412112421711

Devin Vassell is averaging 17.3 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 16.3, best 37). He clears 16+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
19.7avg · last 10
L516.8Szn19.1Home18.7Away19.5Best42
9+92%
14+75%
19+55%
24+33%
29+3%
Game log vs O 18.5avg 19.7 · hi 28 · lo 9
2827261715112723914

Devin Vassell is averaging 19.7 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 19.1, best 42). He clears 19+ in 55% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
21.7avg · last 10
L519.0Szn20.3Home19.6Away20.9Best48
10+94%
15+75%
20+53%
25+38%
30+5%
Game log vs O 19.5avg 21.7 · hi 32 · lo 8
3132251915152828816

Devin Vassell is averaging 21.7 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 20.3, best 48). He clears 20+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
24.1avg · last 10
L521.0Szn23.1Home22.4Away23.8Best53
13+91%
18+73%
23+48%
28+39%
33+9%
Game log vs O 22.5avg 24.1 · hi 34 · lo 10
34332922181531301019

Devin Vassell is averaging 24.1 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 23.1, best 53). He clears 23+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
4.4avg · last 10
L54.2Szn4.0Home3.7Away4.3Best11
2+91%
4+52%
6+22%
8+8%
Game log vs O 3.5avg 4.4 · hi 7 · lo 1
6635344715

Devin Vassell is averaging 4.4 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 4.0, best 11). He clears 4+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
6.8avg · last 10
L56.2Szn6.8Home6.4Away7.3Best16
1+98%
4+89%
7+50%
10+17%
13+3%
Game log vs O 6.5avg 6.8 · hi 9 · lo 3
9778647938

Devin Vassell is averaging 6.8 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 6.8, best 16). He clears 7+ in 50% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Asts 19.5 Under -122 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Devin Vassell (San Antonio Spurs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Devin Vassell is Under 19.5 on Pts + Asts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.3% on this pick. Their next game is Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs on Thursday 9 April at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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