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The latest Bet Better model pick for Scoot Henderson is Over 12.5 on Pts + Rebs.
On the Pts + Rebs market the model assigns a model win probability of 65%, versus the book's implied 48%, for a model edge of +16.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:26PM UTC
NBA

Scoot Henderson

Portland Trail Blazers

+16.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 12.5 +108 (2.08)
+16.6% Edge
Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Mon 20 Apr, 1:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
64.7%
Implied Probability
48.1%
Model Edge
+16.6%
Predicted Value
15.1 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs64.7%—48.1%1.55+16.6%

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Scoot Henderson (Portland Trail Blazers) Over 12.5 Points + Rebounds (+108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Portland Trail Blazers roll into San Antonio, keep your eyes on Scoot Henderson for the Over on 12.5 points and rebounds. Henderson has been on fire lately, averaging 14.2 points and 2.4 rebounds over his last five games. What's even more impressive is his away performance, where he bumps that scoring up to 15 points per game and snagging about 3 boards. He's finding his rhythm against the Spurs, posting an average of 12.2 points when playing in San Antonio. With a hit rate of 5 out of his last 6 away games, the young star is clearly thriving on the road. Given his overall hit rate of 15 out of 19, it's hard to ignore the momentum he's bringing into this matchup. Bet on Scoot to shine and clear that 12.5 mark; it's a wager worth making.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
1.7avg · last 10
L51.8Szn1.6Home1.9Away1.3Best8
1+82%
2+42%
3+21%
4+6%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 1.7 · hi 4 · lo 1
1141113221

Scoot Henderson is averaging 1.7 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.6, best 8). He clears 2+ in 42% of 2024-25 games.

Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
4.3avg · last 10
L55.4Szn5.1Home5.7Away4.4Best15
1+98%
3+86%
5+59%
7+23%
9+9%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 4.3 · hi 6 · lo 2
2425354666

Scoot Henderson is averaging 4.3 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 5.1, best 15). He clears 5+ in 59% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
12.7avg · last 10
L510.8Szn12.7Home14.0Away11.2Best39
3+95%
8+73%
13+48%
18+20%
23+8%
Game log vs O 12.5avg 12.7 · hi 30 · lo 5
1512305115169186

Scoot Henderson is averaging 12.7 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 12.7, best 39). He clears 13+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
15.8avg · last 10
L513.0Szn15.7Home17.3Away13.9Best43
6+94%
11+73%
16+48%
21+21%
26+12%
Game log vs O 15.5avg 15.8 · hi 33 · lo 6
20143310168189246

Scoot Henderson is averaging 15.8 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 15.7, best 43). He clears 16+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
20.1avg · last 10
L518.4Szn20.8Home22.9Away18.3Best49
11+91%
16+73%
21+45%
26+24%
31+9%
Game log vs O 20.5avg 20.1 · hi 35 · lo 12
22183515191322153012

Scoot Henderson is averaging 20.1 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 20.8, best 49). He clears 21+ in 45% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 12.5 Over +108 ✗ MISS
20 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 14.5 Over +166 ✓ HIT
20 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 11.5 Over -123 ✗ MISS
20 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs Points — — — Pending
20 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs Points — — — Pending

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About This Player

Scoot Henderson (Portland Trail Blazers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Scoot Henderson is Over 12.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.6% on this pick. Their next game is Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs on Monday 20 April at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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