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The latest Bet Better model pick for Scoot Henderson is Over 9.5 on Points.
On the Points market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 49%, for a model edge of +23.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 6:58AM UTC
NBA

Scoot Henderson

Portland Trail Blazers

+23.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Over 9.5 +104 (2.04) · $100→$204
+23.0% Edge
Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Mon 20 Apr, 1:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
72.1%
Implied Probability
49.0%
Model Edge
+23.0%
Predicted Value
12.9 Points

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points72.1%—49.0%1.39+23.0%

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AI Analysis

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Scoot Henderson (Portland Trail Blazers) Over 9.5 Points (+104)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When it comes to betting on Scoot Henderson to score over 9.5 points against the Spurs, the numbers tell a compelling story. Henderson's recent form showcases his scoring prowess, averaging 14.2 points over the last five games and an impressive 15 points in away matchups. Notably, when facing the Spurs, he's managed to put up an average of 10.6 points, increasing to 12.2 points per game in their recent encounters. With a remarkable hit rate of 15 out of 19 in his last 19 games, and particularly strong away performances-hitting the over in 5 of his last 6 road games-Henderson appears poised to exceed that 9.5 mark. The Trail Blazers will look to him as a key offensive weapon, and given his expected stat value of nearly 13 points, this seems like a smart play for anyone looking to capitalize on a favorable matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
1.7avg · last 10
L51.8Szn1.6Home1.9Away1.3Best8
1+82%
2+42%
3+21%
4+6%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 1.7 · hi 4 · lo 1
1141113221

Scoot Henderson is averaging 1.7 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.6, best 8). He clears 2+ in 42% of 2024-25 games.

Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
4.3avg · last 10
L55.4Szn5.1Home5.7Away4.4Best15
1+98%
3+86%
5+59%
7+23%
9+9%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 4.3 · hi 6 · lo 2
2425354666

Scoot Henderson is averaging 4.3 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 5.1, best 15). He clears 5+ in 59% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
12.7avg · last 10
L510.8Szn12.7Home14.0Away11.2Best39
3+95%
8+73%
13+48%
18+20%
23+8%
Game log vs O 12.5avg 12.7 · hi 30 · lo 5
1512305115169186

Scoot Henderson is averaging 12.7 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 12.7, best 39). He clears 13+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
15.8avg · last 10
L513.0Szn15.7Home17.3Away13.9Best43
6+94%
11+73%
16+48%
21+21%
26+12%
Game log vs O 15.5avg 15.8 · hi 33 · lo 6
20143310168189246

Scoot Henderson is averaging 15.8 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 15.7, best 43). He clears 16+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
20.1avg · last 10
L518.4Szn20.8Home22.9Away18.3Best49
11+91%
16+73%
21+45%
26+24%
31+9%
Game log vs O 20.5avg 20.1 · hi 35 · lo 12
22183515191322153012

Scoot Henderson is averaging 20.1 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 20.8, best 49). He clears 21+ in 45% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs Points 9.5 Over +104 ✗ MISS
20 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 12.5 Over +106 ✗ MISS
20 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 14.5 Over +166 ✓ HIT
20 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs Points — — — Pending
20 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Scoot Henderson (Portland Trail Blazers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Scoot Henderson is Over 9.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +23.0% on this pick. Their next game is Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs on Monday 20 April at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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