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Michael Toglia

COL

Value call

Michael Toglia has one live pick today: under 0.5 walks that pays $132 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
71 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 71.1% · before adjusting for past results 79.0% · the book's price implies 75.8% · gap -4.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Cincinnati Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona · Indoor
Fri 21 Aug, 9:40 PM ET
Michael Toglia
under 0.5 walks
Batter - Walks Under 0.5 -313 (1.32) · $100→$132
Value call
HIGHWins about 71 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$13.20 Odds-312
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Michael Toglia is Under 0.5 on Batter - Walks.
On Batter - Walks, our numbers say this bet wins about 71 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 71%, the price says 76%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 3:27PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 145 of 250 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Walks79.0%71.1%75.8%1.44+3.3%

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AI Analysis

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Michael Toglia (COL) Under 0.5 Walks (-312)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Arizona Diamondbacks play Cincinnati Reds in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Michael Toglia (COL) Under 0.5 Walks (-312). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at -312 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.21 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)
Overall Hit Rate (26 picks) 88.5% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Aug 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -313 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -714 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -345 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks Batter - Runs Scored — — — Pending
20 Aug 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
20 Aug 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds Batter - Singles — — — Pending

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About This Player

Michael Toglia (COL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 88.5% on tracked Michael Toglia picks. The latest model pick for Michael Toglia is Under 0.5 on Batter - Walks. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.3% on this pick. Their next game is Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks on Friday 21 August at Chase Field, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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