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Model picks & player props
San Francisco Giants
VS
Seattle Mariners

San Francisco Giants vs Seattle Mariners Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 26, 1:03PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
T-Mobile Park, Seattle
Indoor
Sun 19 Jul 2026, 8:10PM
20
Game markets graded
25
Props graded
62.5%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
San Francisco Giants Moneyline +420

The model graded 45 markets for San Francisco Giants vs Seattle Mariners (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $520 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 62.5% across 40 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 19 Jul 2026, 8:10PM at T-Mobile Park.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win38.5%
The price says19.2%
Best price+420
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline San Francisco Giants Long-shot38% chance +420
Spread Long-shot29% chance
Total Runs Lean59% chance
Total Runs Lean50% chance
Total Runs Long-shot33% chance
Spread Long-shot31% chance
Spread Long-shot24% chance
Spread Long-shot38% chance
Spread Long-shot18% chance
Batter - Total Bases × 6 props Highup to 93%
Batter - Hits × 2 props Highup to 88%
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 2 props Highup to 88%
Batter - Singles × 3 props Highup to 99%
Batter - Walks × 9 props Highup to 99%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
San Francisco Giants -2.5 · $100 returned $440

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 933 of 1,879 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 26
Under 4.5
Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $440
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
San Francisco Giants
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
San Francisco GiantsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Francisco GiantsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Francisco GiantsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Francisco GiantsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Francisco GiantsMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

San Francisco Giants

  • Adrian Houser SPDay-to-day
  • Carson Whisenhunt SPOut
  • Jesus Rodriguez COut
  • Matt Gage RPOut
  • JT Brubaker RPOut
  • Victor Bericoto LFOut
  • Willy Adames SSOut
  • Joel Peguero RPOut
  • Marcelo Mayer 2BOut
  • Keaton Winn RPOut
  • Daniel Susac COut
  • Harrison Bader CFOut
  • Matt Chapman 3BOut
  • Trevor McDonald SPOut
  • Casey Schmitt LFOut
  • Rowan Wick RPOut
  • Hayden Birdsong RPOut
  • Randy Rodriguez RPOut
  • Jose Butto RPOut

Probable pitcher

Adrian Houser SP

Seattle Mariners

  • Brendan Donovan 3BOut
  • Colt Emerson SSOut
  • Matt Brash RPOut
  • Luke Raley RFOut
  • Cooper Criswell RPOut
  • Cole Wilcox RPOut
  • Will Wilson 3BOut
  • Logan Evans SPOut

Probable pitcher

George Kirby SP
Availability updated Aug 26, 4:41AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For San Francisco Giants vs Seattle Mariners: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 27 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability27 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Jung Hoo Lee SFG Batter - Total Bases
Luis Arraez MIN Batter - Hits
Jung Hoo Lee SFG Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Jung Hoo Lee SFG Batter - Singles
Luis Arraez MIN Batter - Singles

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSeattle MarinersNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF2.6L5 RA1.4Home L54-1vs San Francisco Giants L54-1

Seattle Mariners moneyline form: last five 3-2, 2.6 runs/gm.

Run LineSeattle Mariners run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF2.6L5 RA1.4Home L54-1vs San Francisco Giants L54-1

Seattle Mariners spread form: last five 3-2, 2.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Seattle Mariners vs San Francisco GiantsNo line posted

Seattle Mariners total runs form: last five 3-2, 2.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsSeattle Mariners team totalNo line posted
1.3runs we expect
L5 RF2.6L5 RA1.4Home L54-1vs San Francisco Giants L54-1

Seattle Mariners team total runs form: last five 3-2, 2.6 runs/gm.

San Francisco Giants @ Seattle Mariners — what the model found

Our model graded 45 betting markets for San Francisco Giants at Seattle Mariners — 20 on the game itself and 25 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
25
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 45 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 44 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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San Francisco Giants vs Seattle Mariners — recent results

Seattle Mariners have won 4 of their last 5 games; San Francisco Giants have won 2 of their last 5.

Seattle Mariners — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–1PHIHome
W9–2PHIHome
L2–19CHCHome
W6–5CHCHome
W5–4CHCHome
San Francisco Giants — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W3–1CINHome
W5–0CINHome
L4–5BOSAway
L2–3BOSAway
L4–6BOSAway

San Francisco Giants vs Seattle Mariners — recent meetings

These two have met 5 times recently: Seattle Mariners won 2, San Francisco Giants won 3.

DateSeattle MarinersSan Francisco GiantsWinner
Jul 1943Seattle Mariners
Jul 1963Seattle Mariners
Jul 1807San Francisco Giants
Mar 549San Francisco Giants
Feb 21510San Francisco Giants

Who’s out or in doubt

27 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Seattle Mariners
PlayerStatus
Brendan Donovan 3BOUT
Colt Emerson SSOUT
Matt Brash RPOUT
Luke Raley RFOUT
Cooper Criswell RPOUT
Cole Wilcox RPOUT
Will Wilson 3BOUT
Logan Evans SPOUT
San Francisco Giants
PlayerStatus
Adrian Houser SPDAY-TO-DAY
Carson Whisenhunt SPOUT
Jesus Rodriguez COUT
Matt Gage RPOUT
JT Brubaker RPOUT
Victor Bericoto LFOUT
Willy Adames SSOUT
Joel Peguero RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

San Francisco Giants @ Seattle Mariners — model preview

Deep dive into Seattle Mariners vs San Francisco Giants MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like Randy Arozarena. Check out MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Seattle Mariners vs San Francisco Giants stats and odds.

Seattle Mariners vs San Francisco Giants : Under 3.5 totals_1st_5_innings (+108)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Seattle Mariners gear up to face the San Francisco Giants, the under on total runs at 3.5 looks tantalizingly appealing. Recent performances highlight both teams struggling offensively; the Mariners have averaged just 3.2 runs over their last ten games, while the Giants haven’t fared much better, eking out an average of 3.1 runs. On the mound, Seattle’s ace has been especially sharp, boasting an impressive strikeout rate that has kept opposing bats at bay. The Giants’ lineup has also been plagued by inconsistency, particularly against left-handed pitching, which could spell trouble against the Mariners' lefty starter. With both teams entrenched in a low-scoring battle and neither offense showing signs of breaking out, the under 3.5 feels like a smart play. Expect a tightly contested game where runs are at a premium, making the under a promising avenue for bettors.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
40
Total Picks
62.5%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
19 Jul 26 Moneyline San Francisco Giants ✗ MISS
19 Jul 26 Spread San Francisco Giants -1.5 ✗ MISS
19 Jul 26 Total Runs Under 6.5 ✗ MISS
19 Jul 26 Total Runs Under 5.5 ✗ MISS
19 Jul 26 Total Runs Under 7.5 ✗ MISS
19 Jul 26 Total Runs Under 8.5 ✗ MISS
19 Jul 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 3.5 ✗ MISS
19 Jul 26 Total Runs Over 7.5 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 26 Spread Seattle Mariners -3.5 ✗ MISS
19 Jul 26 Total Runs Under 10.5 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 26 Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Over 0.5 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 26 Spread Seattle Mariners -2.5 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 26 Spread Seattle Mariners -1.5 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 26 Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings San Francisco Giants ✓ HIT
19 Jul 26 Total Runs Over 5.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for San Francisco Giants vs Seattle Mariners in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Giants vs Mariners, or as Mariners vs Giants. The most recent game between them was Sunday 19 July 2026 at T-Mobile Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 25 player props for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 62.5% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 5 meetings
San Francisco Giants 3–2 across the last 5 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
19 Jul 2026San Francisco Giants @ Seattle Mariners4–3Seattle Mariners
19 Jul 2026San Francisco Giants @ Seattle Mariners6–3Seattle Mariners
18 Jul 2026San Francisco Giants @ Seattle Mariners0–7San Francisco Giants
5 Mar 2026Seattle Mariners @ San Francisco Giants9–4San Francisco Giants
21 Feb 2026San Francisco Giants @ Seattle Mariners5–10San Francisco Giants
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