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The latest Bet Better model pick for Cal Raleigh is Under 1.5 on Batter - Walks.
On the Batter - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 100%, versus the book's implied 87%, for a model edge of +12.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 5, 8:33PM UTC
MLB

Cal Raleigh

SEA

+12.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Walks Under 1.5 -667 (1.15)
+12.6% Edge
Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners
T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington · Indoor
Fri 25 Sep, 1:40AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
99.6%
Implied Probability
87.0%
Model Edge
+12.6%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Walks99.6%—87.0%1.00+12.6%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Cal Raleigh (SEA) Under 1.5 Walks (-667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As September rolls on, Cal Raleigh has been swinging a hot bat, but his plate discipline has been wavering lately. Facing the Angels, who boast a solid pitching rotation, Raleigh could struggle to find his way on base via walks. Over the last handful of games, he’s averaged just about one walk every four contests, and with the Angels’ starters limiting free passes, the odds are stacked against him reaching that 1.5 mark. Moreover, Seattle's lineup has been more aggressive at the plate, which could constrict Raleigh's opportunities to draw a walk. He’s also up against a pitcher known for their control, making it even less likely he’ll get the chance to take a free ride. With the Mariners pressing for playoff positioning, expect Raleigh to put the ball in play rather than look for walks. Under 1.5 walks feels like the smart play here.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

6 markets live
Batter - HitsUpcoming vs DETU 0.5 +101
Game log vs U 0.52 / 3 hit
001

Cal Raleigh MLB hits vs DET. Current line U 0.5 at +101.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsUpcoming vs DETU 1.5 -152
70%hit L10
L2070%
Game log vs U 1.54 / 4 hit
0011

Cal Raleigh MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared under 1.5 in 70% of the last 10 games vs DET. Current line U 1.5 at -152.

Batter - RBIsUpcoming vs DETU 0.5 -238
Game log vs U 0.52 / 3 hit
010

Cal Raleigh MLB rbis vs DET. Current line U 0.5 at -238.

Batter - Runs ScoredUpcoming vs DETU 0.5 -159
90%hit L10
Streak3L2075%

Cal Raleigh MLB runs scored: cleared under 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games vs DET. Current line U 0.5 at -159.

Batter - SinglesUpcoming vs DETU 0.5 -250
50%hit L10
L2060%

Cal Raleigh MLB singles: cleared under 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games vs DET. Current line U 0.5 at -250.

Batter - WalksUpcoming vs LAAU 1.5 -667
100%hit L10
Streak23L20100%
Game log vs U 1.56 / 7 hit
0211000

Cal Raleigh MLB walks: cleared under 1.5 in 100% of the last 10 games vs LAA. Current line U 1.5 at -667.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.540%

Cal Raleigh MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Aug 26 Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -233 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Cal Raleigh (SEA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Cal Raleigh is Under 1.5 on Batter - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.6% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners on Friday 25 September at T-Mobile Park, Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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