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The latest Bet Better model pick for Logan Gilbert is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On the Pitcher - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 79%, versus the book's implied 63%, for a model edge of +15.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:36PM UTC
MLB

Logan Gilbert

SEA

+15.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks Under 1.5 -169 (1.59) · $100→$159
+15.7% Edge
Tampa Bay Rays @ Seattle Mariners
T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington · Indoor
Sat 8 Aug, 1:45AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
78.6%
Implied Probability
62.9%
Model Edge
+15.7%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks78.6%62.9%1.27+15.7%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Logan Gilbert (SEA) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-169)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Seattle Mariners play Tampa Bay Rays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Logan Gilbert (SEA) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-169). That is a Walks Allowed bet. It was priced at -169 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.92 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.525%
O 2.520%

Logan Gilbert MLB earned runsseason and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
90%hit L10
16.4avg outs · L5
L2085%

Logan Gilbert MLB outs: cleared over 14.5 in 90% of the last 10 games; averaging 16.4 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Aug 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Seattle Mariners Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -169 ✗ MISS
08 Aug 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Seattle Mariners Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Under +113 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Seattle Mariners Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -169 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Logan Gilbert (SEA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Logan Gilbert is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.7% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners on Saturday 8 August at T-Mobile Park, Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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