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Michael Arroyo

MLB

Value call

Michael Arroyo has one live pick today: over 1.5 total bases that pays $304 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
32 in 100
Predicted
1.4 total bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 32.1% · before adjusting for past results 41.4% · the book's price implies 32.9% · gap -0.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners
T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington · Indoor
Sun 27 Sep, 3:10 PM ET
Michael Arroyo
over 1.5 total bases
Batter - Total Bases Over 1.5 +204 (3.04) · $100→$304
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 32 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$30.40 Odds+204
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Michael Arroyo is Over 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 32 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 32%, the price says 33%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Nov 1, 5:59AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 145 of 250 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Arroyo underwent right elbow surgery Wednesday to clean up cartilage and brace a chronic injury to his UCL.
updated Oct 30, 7:09PM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases41.4%32.1%32.9%3.10+8.5%

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AI Analysis

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Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels: Michael Arroyo Over 1.5 Batter - Total Bases (+204)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Michael Arroyo has been struggling lately, averaging no hits in his last three games. The Mariners' park doesn't usually help hitters either, as scoring tends to be lower here compared to other places. However, the Angels' starting pitcher has been giving up runs at a rate higher than normal, which could give Arroyo a chance to break out of his slump. Betting on Arroyo to get over 1.5 total bases could be worthwhile. The odds are good, and while the matchup is tight, there's potential for him to find his rhythm against a pitcher who allows more runs than average. The main risk is his recent performance, where he hasn't been hitting well at all.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 6 of last 10(60%)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Over +204 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5 Over +136 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 Over -167 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners Batter - RBIs — — — Pending
27 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Doubles — — — Pending
27 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Home Runs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Michael Arroyo is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Michael Arroyo is Over 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.5% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners on Sunday 27 September at T-Mobile Park, Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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