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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Michael Arroyo is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 63 times in 100. For the numbers: calibrated probability 63%, implied 65%, edge -1.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Sep 13, 4:12AM UTC
MLB

Michael Arroyo

MLB

-1.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -182 (1.55) · $100→$155
-1.9% Edge
Seattle Mariners @ Athletics
Sun 13 Sep, 1:40AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb batter home runs overs: 29 of 156 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
63 in 100
Predicted
0.8 Batter - Total Bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 62.7% · the book's price implies 64.5% · gap -1.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases62.7%63.5%64.5%1.62-1.9%

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AI Analysis

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Athletics vs Seattle Mariners: Michael Arroyo Under 1.5 Batter - Total Bases (-182)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

For Michael Arroyo to go under 1.5 total bases tonight, he needs to have a tough game against the Mariners. Seattle's pitching has been a bit of a challenge for left-handed hitters, and Arroyo has only been averaging about 0.7 hits per game recently. Plus, the Mariners' starting pitcher has been pretty effective, allowing fewer runs than the average pitcher. The Athletics have been hitting okay against lefties, but Arroyo isn't exactly lighting it up right now. With the wind blowing out, there could be more runs scored, but the Mariners have been struggling to get enough hits lately. It's possible Arroyo could have a quiet night at the plate, especially if the Mariners keep him in check.

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Pick History & Track Record

Michael Arroyo's lines for Sun 13 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter Total Bases 1.5

Michael Arroyo's batter total bases line is 1.5.

Batter Singles 0.5

Michael Arroyo's batter singles line is 0.5.

Batter RBIs 0.5

Michael Arroyo's batter rbis line is 0.5.

Batter Hits 0.5

Michael Arroyo's batter hits line is 0.5.

Batter Doubles 0.5

Michael Arroyo's batter doubles line is 0.5.

Batter Runs Scored 0.5

Michael Arroyo's batter runs scored line is 0.5.

Batter Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5

Michael Arroyo's batter hits + runs + rbis line is 1.5.

Batter Walks 0.5

Michael Arroyo's batter walks line is 0.5.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Michael Arroyo is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Michael Arroyo is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of -1.9% on this pick. Their next game is Seattle Mariners vs Athletics on Sunday 13 September. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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