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Model picks & player props
Detroit Tigers
VS
Seattle Mariners

Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 22, 3:17PM UTC

Our model graded 70 markets for Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners and backs Over 9.5 hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $1,700.

MLB
T-Mobile Park, Seattle
Indoor
Thu 6 Aug 2026, 8:10PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 9.5 Total Runs +1600

The model graded 70 markets for Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $1,700 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 6 Aug 2026, 8:10PM at T-Mobile Park.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win37.8%
The price says5.9%
Best price+1600
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Over 9.5 Long-shot38% chance +1600
Spread Members only High69% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean47% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot26% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Long-shot22% chance Members
Batter - Hits × 4 props Highup to 88% Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 10 props Highup to 90% Members
Batter - Walks × 7 props Highup to 96% Members
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 3 props Highup to 81% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 6 props Highup to 95% Members
Batter - Singles × 9 props Highup to 92% Members
Batter - Runs Scored × 6 props Highup to 97% Members
Pitcher - Earned Runs × 3 props Highup to 84% Members
Batter - RBIs × 1 prop Highup to 90% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Detroit Tigers and Seattle Mariners last met on Thu 6 Aug 2026. What follows is the model's graded record from that game; a new preview appears here the moment the next one is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Detroit Tigers -3.5 · $100 returned $780

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 181 of 387 right (mlb pitcher strikeouts overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 20
Matt Wilkinson Over 1.5
San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $140
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Over
7.5
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 57,726+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Beat the close

Closing-line value · logged
59%

Our picks beat the closing line here

On our logged picks for this event, we beat the market's closing number 59% of the time — average closing-line value +22.1%. Closing-line value is the sharpest public measure of whether a pick had real edge.

Avg CLV +22.1%

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Detroit Tigers

  • Colt Keith 3BOut
  • Troy Melton SPOut
  • Justin Verlander SPOut
  • Kyle Finnegan RPOut
  • Kerry Carpenter RFOut
  • Jack Flaherty SPOut
  • Wenceel Perez RFOut
  • Matt Vierling CFOut
  • Will Vest RPOut
  • Burch Smith RPOut
  • Bailey Horn RPOut
  • Parker Meadows CFOut
  • Trey Sweeney SSOut
  • Reese Olson SPOut

Probable pitcher

River Ryan SP

Seattle Mariners

  • Andres Munoz RPDay-to-day
  • Nick Davila RPOut
  • Matt Brash RPOut
  • Brendan Donovan 3BOut
  • Brennen Davis CFOut
  • Colt Emerson SSOut
  • Emerson Hancock SPOut
  • Luke Raley RFOut
  • Cole Wilcox RPOut
  • Will Wilson 3BOut
  • Logan Evans SPOut
Availability updated Sep 21, 10:40PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 25 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability25 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Zach McKinstry DET Batter - Hits
Kevin McGonigle Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Cal Raleigh Batter - Walks
Randy Arozarena TBR Batter - Walks
Bryan Woo SEA Pitcher - Hits Allowed

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSeattle MarinersNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF2.6L5 RA1.4Home L54-1vs Detroit Tigers L54-1

Seattle Mariners moneyline form: last five 3-2, 2.6 runs/gm.

Run LineSeattle Mariners run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF2.6L5 RA1.4Home L54-1vs Detroit Tigers L54-1

Seattle Mariners spread form: last five 3-2, 2.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Seattle Mariners vs Detroit TigersNo line posted

Seattle Mariners total runs form: last five 3-2, 2.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsSeattle Mariners team totalNo line posted
4.0runs we expect
L5 RF2.6L5 RA1.4Home L54-1vs Detroit Tigers L54-1

Seattle Mariners team total runs form: last five 3-2, 2.6 runs/gm.

Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners — recent results

Seattle Mariners have won 3 of their last 5 games; Detroit Tigers have won 2 of their last 5.

Seattle Mariners — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–5COLAway
W2–1COLAway
W5–4COLAway
W7–2LAAAway
L1–2LAAAway
Detroit Tigers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W9–2WSHHome
L1–8CHWAway
L1–3CHWAway
W11–8CHWAway
L1–3CHWAway

Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Seattle Mariners are scoring 1.6 runs per game (2-3) while Detroit Tigers are at 2.8 (4-1); Seattle Mariners pitchers are allowing 1.4 earned runs per game versus 0.4 for Detroit Tigers.

1.6
Seattle Mariners runs/G
2.8
Detroit Tigers runs/G
Last 5 gamesSeattle MarinersDetroit Tigers
Runs / game1.62.8
Hits / game3.23.2
Home runs / game0.40.4
Walks drawn / game2.01.0
Batter K / game2.43.2
Earned runs allowed / game1.40.4
Pitching K / game1.41.4
Walks allowed / game0.41.2
L5 record2-34-1

Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners — recent meetings

These two have met 6 times recently: Seattle Mariners won 2, Detroit Tigers won 4.

DateSeattle MarinersDetroit TigersWinner
Aug 642Seattle Mariners
Aug 6011Detroit Tigers
Aug 508Detroit Tigers
Jun 745Detroit Tigers
Jun 640Seattle Mariners
Jun 537Detroit Tigers

Who’s out or in doubt

25 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Seattle Mariners
PlayerStatus
Andres Munoz RPDAY-TO-DAY
Nick Davila RPOUT
Matt Brash RPOUT
Brendan Donovan 3BOUT
Brennen Davis CFOUT
Colt Emerson SSOUT
Emerson Hancock SPOUT
Luke Raley RFOUT
Detroit Tigers
PlayerStatus
Colt Keith 3BOUT
Troy Melton SPOUT
Justin Verlander SPOUT
Kyle Finnegan RPOUT
Kerry Carpenter RFOUT
Jack Flaherty SPOUT
Wenceel Perez RFOUT
Matt Vierling CFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners — model preview

Our Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners prediction for August 7, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 7, 2026 our model has run Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers: Over 8.5 Total Runs (+140), which we rate LONG-SHOT confidence. We walk through all 2 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
06 Aug 26 Spread Detroit Tigers +2.5 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Spread Detroit Tigers -3 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 5 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 5.5 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 6 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Spread Detroit Tigers +2 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 3.5 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Spread Detroit Tigers +3.5 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Spread Detroit Tigers +3 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 4 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Tigers vs Mariners, or as Mariners vs Tigers. The most recent game between them was Thursday 6 August 2026 at T-Mobile Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 29 meetings on record
Detroit Tigers 16–13 across the last 29 meetings · these games average 8.4 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
6 Aug 2026Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners4–2Seattle Mariners
5 Aug 2026Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners0–8Detroit Tigers
4 Aug 2026Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners0–8Detroit Tigers
7 Jun 2026Seattle Mariners @ Detroit Tigers5–4Detroit Tigers
6 Jun 2026Seattle Mariners @ Detroit Tigers0–4Seattle Mariners
5 Jun 2026Seattle Mariners @ Detroit Tigers7–3Detroit Tigers
10 Oct 2025Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners3–2Seattle Mariners
8 Oct 2025Seattle Mariners @ Detroit Tigers9–3Detroit Tigers
7 Oct 2025Seattle Mariners @ Detroit Tigers4–8Seattle Mariners
5 Oct 2025Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners3–2Seattle Mariners

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 29 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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