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Model picks & player props
Detroit Tigers
VS
Seattle Mariners

Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 25, 5:39AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
T-Mobile Park, Seattle
Indoor
Thu 6 Aug 2026, 8:10PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Detroit Tigers -4.5 Spread +680

The model graded 70 markets for Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $780 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 6 Aug 2026, 8:10PM at T-Mobile Park.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win19.0%
The price says12.8%
Best price+680
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Detroit Tigers -4.5 Long-shot19% chance +680
Spread Long-shot14% chance
Spread Long-shot16% chance
Moneyline Lean50% chance
Spread Long-shot10% chance
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Lean50% chance
Batter - Hits × 4 props Highup to 88%
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 10 props Highup to 90%
Batter - Walks × 7 props Highup to 96%
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 3 props Highup to 81%
Batter - Total Bases × 6 props Highup to 95%
Batter - Singles × 9 props Highup to 92%
Batter - Runs Scored × 6 props Highup to 97%
Pitcher - Earned Runs × 3 props Highup to 84%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 902 of 1,825 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 23
Under 5.5
Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $412
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Detroit Tigers
-6.5
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 55,890+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Beat the close

Closing-line value · logged
59%

Our picks beat the closing line here

On our logged picks for this event, we beat the market's closing number 59% of the time — average closing-line value +22.1%. Closing-line value is the sharpest public measure of whether a pick had real edge.

Avg CLV +22.1%

Who's out

Injuries & availability

Detroit Tigers

  • Riley Greene LFOut
  • Jack Flaherty SPOut
  • Brant Hurter RPOut
  • Kerry Carpenter RFOut
  • Wenceel Perez RFOut
  • Will Vest RPOut
  • Justin Verlander SPOut
  • Matt Vierling CFOut
  • Burch Smith RPOut
  • Bailey Horn RPOut
  • Parker Meadows CFOut
  • Trey Sweeney SSOut
  • Reese Olson SPOut

Probable pitcher

Framber Valdez SP

Seattle Mariners

  • Bryan Woo SPDay-to-day
  • Brendan Donovan 3BOut
  • Matt Brash RPOut
  • Luke Raley RFOut
  • J.P. Crawford SSOut
  • Colt Emerson SSOut
  • Cooper Criswell RPOut
  • Cole Wilcox RPOut
  • Will Wilson 3BOut
  • Logan Evans SPOut

Probable pitcher

Logan Gilbert SP
Availability updated Aug 25, 1:40AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 23 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability23 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Zach McKinstry DET Batter - Hits
Kevin McGonigle Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Cal Raleigh Batter - Walks
Randy Arozarena TBR Batter - Walks
Bryan Woo SEA Pitcher - Hits Allowed

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSeattle MarinersNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF2.6L5 RA1.4Home L54-1vs Detroit Tigers L54-1

Seattle Mariners moneyline form: last five 3-2, 2.6 runs/gm.

Run LineSeattle Mariners run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF2.6L5 RA1.4Home L54-1vs Detroit Tigers L54-1

Seattle Mariners spread form: last five 3-2, 2.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Seattle Mariners vs Detroit TigersNo line posted

Seattle Mariners total runs form: last five 3-2, 2.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsSeattle Mariners team totalNo line posted
2.6runs we expect
L5 RF2.6L5 RA1.4Home L54-1vs Detroit Tigers L54-1

Seattle Mariners team total runs form: last five 3-2, 2.6 runs/gm.

Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners — recent results

Seattle Mariners have won 3 of their last 5 games; Detroit Tigers have won 0 of their last 5.

Seattle Mariners — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–19CHCHome
W6–5CHCHome
W5–4CHCHome
L4–7MILAway
W7–5MILAway
Detroit Tigers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–4TBHome
L7–11KCAway
L2–5KCAway
L1–3KCAway
L3–4PITAway

Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Seattle Mariners are scoring 1.6 runs per game (2-3) while Detroit Tigers are at 2.8 (4-1); Seattle Mariners pitchers are allowing 1.4 earned runs per game versus 0.4 for Detroit Tigers.

1.6
Seattle Mariners runs/G
2.8
Detroit Tigers runs/G
Last 5 gamesSeattle MarinersDetroit Tigers
Runs / game1.62.8
Hits / game3.23.2
Home runs / game0.40.4
Walks drawn / game2.01.0
Batter K / game2.43.2
Earned runs allowed / game1.40.4
Pitching K / game1.41.4
Walks allowed / game0.41.2
L5 record2-34-1

Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners — recent meetings

These two have met 6 times recently: Seattle Mariners won 2, Detroit Tigers won 4.

DateSeattle MarinersDetroit TigersWinner
Aug 6011Detroit Tigers
Aug 642Seattle Mariners
Aug 508Detroit Tigers
Jun 745Detroit Tigers
Jun 640Seattle Mariners
Jun 537Detroit Tigers

Who’s out or in doubt

23 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Seattle Mariners
PlayerStatus
Bryan Woo SPDAY-TO-DAY
Brendan Donovan 3BOUT
Matt Brash RPOUT
Luke Raley RFOUT
J.P. Crawford SSOUT
Colt Emerson SSOUT
Cooper Criswell RPOUT
Cole Wilcox RPOUT
Detroit Tigers
PlayerStatus
Riley Greene LFOUT
Jack Flaherty SPOUT
Brant Hurter RPOUT
Kerry Carpenter RFOUT
Wenceel Perez RFOUT
Will Vest RPOUT
Justin Verlander SPOUT
Matt Vierling CFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners — model preview

Our Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners prediction for August 7, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 7, 2026 our model has run Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers: Over 8.5 Total Runs (+140), which we rate LONG-SHOT confidence. We walk through all 2 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
06 Aug 26 Spread Detroit Tigers +2 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 6 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 5.5 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 5 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Spread Detroit Tigers +2.5 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 4.5 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 4 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Spread Detroit Tigers +3 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 3.5 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Spread Detroit Tigers -3 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Tigers vs Mariners, or as Mariners vs Tigers. The most recent game between them was Thursday 6 August 2026 at T-Mobile Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 6 meetings
Detroit Tigers 4–2 across the last 6 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
6 Aug 2026Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners4–2Seattle Mariners
6 Aug 2026Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners0–11Detroit Tigers
5 Aug 2026Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners0–8Detroit Tigers
7 Jun 2026Seattle Mariners @ Detroit Tigers5–4Detroit Tigers
6 Jun 2026Seattle Mariners @ Detroit Tigers0–4Seattle Mariners
5 Jun 2026Seattle Mariners @ Detroit Tigers7–3Detroit Tigers
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