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Josh Naylor

CLE

Value call

Josh Naylor has one live pick today: over 1.5 total bases that pays $320 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
32 in 100
Predicted
1.4 total bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 31.9% · before adjusting for past results 35.6% · the book's price implies 31.3% · gap +0.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners
T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington · Indoor
Sun 27 Sep, 3:10 PM ET
Josh Naylor
over 1.5 total bases
Batter - Total Bases Over 1.5 +220 (3.20) · $100→$320
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 32 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$32.00 Odds+220
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Naylor is Over 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 32 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 32%, the price says 31%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 5:36AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 140 of 242 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Naylor underwent surgery Saturday to repair the triangular fibrocartilage complex in his right wrist.
updated Oct 5, 6:37PM UTC · 4d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases35.6%31.9%31.3%3.12+4.4%

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AI Analysis

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Josh Naylor (CLE) Over 1.5 Total Bases (+220)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Seattle Mariners play Los Angeles Angels in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Josh Naylor (CLE) Over 1.5 Total Bases (+220). That is a Total Bases bet. It was priced at +220 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $32 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners Batter - RBIs 0.5 Over +286 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Stolen Bases 0.5 Over +690 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Doubles 0.5 Over +600 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending
27 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending
27 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending

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About This Player

Josh Naylor (CLE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Naylor is Over 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.4% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners on Sunday 27 September at T-Mobile Park, Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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