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Josh Naylor

CLE

+23.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Batter - Singles Under 1.5 -286 (1.35)
+23.4% Edge
Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners
T-Mobile Park, Seattle
Sat 18 Apr, 11:15PM
Model Probability
97.4%
Implied Probability
74.1%
Model Edge
+23.4%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Josh Naylor (CLE) Under 1.5 Singles (-286)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Mariners welcome the Rangers to T-Mobile Park, all eyes will be on Josh Naylor, but betting on him to tally over 1.5 singles feels like a risky proposition. Naylor has been a streaky player, often struggling against left-handed pitchers. With the Mariners sending their ace, a crafty lefty, to the mound, Naylor could find himself stifled. Looking at recent trends, the Mariners' pitching staff has been dominant at home, allowing an average of just 3.5 runs per game. Additionally, Naylor's numbers against lefties show a stark contrast to his performance against right-handers, with his singles rate dipping significantly. The combination of the Mariners' strong pitching and Naylor's tough matchup suggests that he may not find many opportunities to collect hits. With an implied probability of 74.1% for him to stay under 1.5 singles, this bet seems to align perfectly with the current dynamics on the diamond.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (1 picks) 100.0% (1/1)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
16 Apr 26 Seattle Mariners @ San Diego Padres Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -333 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Josh Naylor (CLE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. Across 1 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (1/1). The latest model pick for Josh Naylor is Under 1.5 on Batter - Singles. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +23.4% on this pick. Their next game is Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners on Saturday 18 April at T-Mobile Park, Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.