Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Naylor is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs.
On the Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 59%, for a model edge of +12.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 6, 2:13PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Under 1.5
-145 (1.69)
+12.6% Edge
Detroit Tigers
@
Seattle Mariners
T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington · Indoor
Thu 6 Aug, 8:10PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
59.2%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs | 71.8% | — | 59.2% | 1.39 | +12.6% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/3 |
| Last 5 games | 0/3 |
| Last 10 games | 0/3 |
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Josh Naylor (CLE) Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-145)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Seattle Mariners play Detroit Tigers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Josh Naylor (CLE) Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-145). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -145 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
6 markets liveBatter - Hits + Runs + RBIsUpcoming gameU 1.5 -145 Game log vs U 1.52 / 3 hit
Josh Naylor MLB hits + runs + rbis. Current line U 1.5 at -145.
Batter - RBIsUpcoming gameU 0.5 -370 Game log vs U 0.54 / 5 hit
Josh Naylor MLB rbis: cleared under 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -370.
Batter - Runs ScoredUpcoming gameU 0.5 -227 Game log vs U 0.53 / 3 hit
Josh Naylor MLB runs scored: cleared under 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -227.
Batter - SinglesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -109 Game log vs U 0.54 / 4 hit
Josh Naylor MLB singles: cleared under 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -109.
Batter - WalksUpcoming gameU 0.5 -385 Game log vs U 0.53 / 6 hit
Josh Naylor MLB walks: cleared under 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -385.
Batter - Stolen BasesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -909 Josh Naylor MLB stolen bases: cleared under 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -909.
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.4 · hi 1 · lo 0
Josh Naylor MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted Game log vs O 1.5avg 1 · hi 2 · lo 0
Josh Naylor MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.
Josh Naylor (CLE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Naylor is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.6% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners on Thursday 6 August at T-Mobile Park, Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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