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The latest Bet Better model pick for J.P. Crawford is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits.
On Batter - Hits, our numbers say this bet wins about 91 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 91%, implied 84%, edge +6.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 14, 3:41PM UTC
MLB

J.P. Crawford

SEA

+6.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 1.5 -526 (1.19) · $100→$119
+6.8% Edge
Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners
T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington · Indoor
Fri 25 Sep, 1:40AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 643 of 1,242 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Mariners general manager Justin Hollander said July 31 that Crawford is expected to be "a couple weeks down" after requiring an injection to relieve inflammation in his left wrist, MLB.com reports.
updated Aug 9, 7:29PM UTC · 4d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
91 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 90.8% · the book's price implies 84.0% · gap +6.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits90.8%—84.0%1.10+6.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

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J.P. Crawford (SEA) Under 1.5 Hits (-526)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Mariners gear up to face the Angels, all eyes will be on J.P. Crawford, but betting on him to go over 1.5 hits feels like a stretch. Crawford has been in a bit of a funk lately, struggling to find gaps in the defense against right-handed pitching. With the Angels' starter, who has been carving through lineups with a stellar strikeout rate, it’s likely that Crawford will find it tough at the plate. Moreover, the Mariners’ offense has been inconsistent, particularly against pitchers with a similar profile. In recent matchups, Crawford has often been held to just one hit or none against pitchers who can command the zone like his opponent on Friday. Given these trends and the projected outcome leaning towards him struggling, the under on Crawford's hits is the smart play here. Don’t be surprised if he finishes the night without making a significant dent in the box score.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)

Recent form (last 5 games)

J.P. Crawford is averaging 1.4 hits, 0.0 home runs and 1.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

1.4
Hits
0.0
HR
1.0
RBI
0.4
Runs
0.2
Walks
0.6
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

J.P. Crawford has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 50% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.550%
o1.533%
o2.533%
o3.533%
o4.533%

Home / away and opponent splits

J.P. Crawford is averaging 1.4 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.4 in away games, including his recent form against TOR.

1.4
Hits · Overall
1.4
Hits · Away
0.6
Hits · vs TOR
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Away
0.0
HR · vs TOR
Quick answers:How many home runs does J.P. Crawford hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
31 Jul 26 Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -417 ✓ HIT
31 Jul 26 Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -1111 ✗ MISS
31 Jul 26 Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Runs Scored 0.5 Under -256 ✓ HIT
31 Jul 26 Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Singles — — — Pending
31 Jul 26 Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Walks — — — Pending

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About This Player

J.P. Crawford (SEA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for J.P. Crawford is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.8% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners on Friday 25 September at T-Mobile Park, Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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