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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for J.P. Crawford is Under 1.5 on Batter - Doubles.
On the Batter - Doubles market the model assigns a model win probability of 100%, versus the book's implied 98%, for a model edge of +2.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 25, 11:47AM UTC
MLB

J.P. Crawford

SEA

+2.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Doubles Under 1.5 -5000 (1.02)
+2.0% Edge
Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners
T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington · Indoor
Fri 25 Sep, 1:40AM
DAY-TO-DAY
Crawford (wrist) is not in the lineup for Seattle's matchup against the Rangers on Friday.
updated Jul 24, 8:55PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
100.0%
Implied Probability
98.0%
Model Edge
+2.0%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Doubles100.0%98.0%+2.0%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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J.P. Crawford (SEA) Under 1.5 Doubles (-5000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Mariners host the Angels on September 25, J.P. Crawford’s chances of hitting over 1.5 doubles seem slim. Recent performances indicate a drop in his extra-base hits, as he’s managed just a couple of doubles in his last 20 games. The Angels’ pitching staff has been tough, especially against lefties, limiting opponents to a .315 slugging percentage over the past month. With the Mariners’ lineup struggling for consistent contact, Crawford may find himself facing a barrage of high-velocity fastballs from Angels ace, who has been particularly effective at keeping hitters off-balance. Additionally, the pressure of a playoff push could lead to more cautious at-bats from Crawford, further diminishing his chances for those extra bases. Given the odds heavily favor the under at 1.5, it’s wise to anticipate a quieter night for Crawford in terms of doubles.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Betting angles

3 markets live
Batter - HitsUpcoming vs LAAU 1.5 -526+6.8% edge

J.P. Crawford MLB hits vs LAA. Current line U 1.5 at -526 (+6.8% model edge).

Batter - Total BasesUpcoming vs LAAU 2.5 -526+4.4% edge

J.P. Crawford MLB total bases vs LAA. Current line U 2.5 at -526 (+4.4% model edge).

Batter - DoublesUpcoming vs LAAU 1.5 -5000+2.0% edge

J.P. Crawford MLB doubles vs LAA. Current line U 1.5 at -5000 (+2.0% model edge).

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.517%

J.P. Crawford MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
Streak2
O 0.550%
O 1.533%
O 2.533%
O 3.533%
O 4.533%

J.P. Crawford MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.533%
O 1.533%

J.P. Crawford MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.533%

J.P. Crawford MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Jul 26 San Francisco Giants @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Walks 1.5 Under -313 ✓ HIT
10 Jul 26 Seattle Mariners @ Tampa Bay Rays Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -192 ✗ MISS
09 Jul 26 Seattle Mariners @ Miami Marlins Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -172 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

J.P. Crawford (SEA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for J.P. Crawford is Under 1.5 on Batter - Doubles. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.0% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners on Friday 25 September at T-Mobile Park, Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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