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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Randy Arozarena is Over 1.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On Batter - Stolen Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 19 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 19%, the price says 2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 Hlanded 6 of the last 10
Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 6 of the last 10
Over 1.50 hits runs rbislanded 6 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Oct 6, 9:32AM UTC
MLB

Randy Arozarena

TBR

Value call

Randy Arozarena has one live pick today: Batter - Stolen Bases Over 1.5 that pays $5,100 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Batter - Stolen Bases Over 1.5 +5000 (51.00) · $100→$5,100
Value call
Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners
T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington · Indoor
Sun 27 Sep, 7:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 135 of 235 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
19 in 100
Predicted
0.2 Batter - Stolen Bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 18.6% · before adjusting for past results 3.7% · the book's price implies 2.0% · gap +16.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Stolen Bases3.7%18.6%2.0%5.37+1.7%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels: Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Batter - Stolen Bases (+5000)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Tonight, Randy Arozarena needs to steal at least two bases for this bet to win. While he's been hitting at a lower rate lately and the park tends to keep runs down, he still has the chance to take advantage of a pitcher who gives up more runs than average. The Angels' starting pitcher has been allowing a fair amount of scoring, which might open up opportunities for Arozarena. Also, while he's averaging less than one hit per game recently, he can still capitalize on mistakes and find ways to steal bases. Just remember, there's a real chance that the game could be tight, making it tougher for him to run.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)

Recent form (last 5 games)

Randy Arozarena is averaging 0.8 hits, 0.2 home runs and 1.2 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.8
Hits
0.2
HR
1.2
RBI
0.6
Runs
0.4
Walks
2.2
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Randy Arozarena has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 60% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.560%
o1.560%
o2.550%
o3.520%
o4.510%

Home / away and opponent splits

Randy Arozarena is averaging 0.8 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.8 in away games, including his recent form against TOR.

0.8
Hits · Overall
0.8
Hits · Away
0.8
Hits · vs TOR
0.2
HR · Overall
0.2
HR · Away
0.0
HR · vs TOR
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Strikeouts 1.5 Over +278 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -154 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Stolen Bases 0.5 Over +690 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
27 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
27 Sep 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Singles — — — Pending

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About This Player

Randy Arozarena (TBR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Randy Arozarena is Over 1.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.7% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners on Sunday 27 September at T-Mobile Park, Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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