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Model picks & player props
SMU Mustangs
VS
Notre Dame Fighting Irish

SMU Mustangs vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 26, 9:07PM UTC

Our model graded 3 markets for SMU Mustangs vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish and backs SMU Mustangs 17.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $195.

NCAAF
Sun 22 Nov 2026, 12:30AM
3
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
SMU Mustangs 17.5 Spread -105

The model graded 3 markets for SMU Mustangs vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish (NCAAF) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $195 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 22 Nov 2026, 12:30AM.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win55.9%
The price says49.0%
Best price-105
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread SMU Mustangs 17.5 Lean56% chance -105
Moneyline Members only Long-shot16% chance Members
Total Points Members only Lean55% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Notre Dame Fighting Irish are the model's favourite to beat SMU Mustangs, with a 84% chance to win. Predicted score: Notre Dame Fighting Irish 36.8 – SMU Mustangs 21.6. Kick-off Sun 22 Nov, 12:30AM. Best bet: SMU Mustangs 17.5 at -105.
How they've been scoring this season
SMU MustangsNotre Dame Fighting Irish
Won-lost2-13-0
Points scored per game38.040.0
Points allowed per game25.07.7
On the road / at home1-1 away3-0 at home
Last 5 gamesWWLWWW
Their games average 55.3 total points this season.
From the 3 SMU Mustangs and 3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish games on our books this season.
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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best NCAAF market — 84 of 119 right (ncaaf player pass yds overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 26
Aidan Chiles Over 170.5
Northwestern Wildcats @ Indiana Hoosiers
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $188
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
SMU Mustangs
+17.5
+ 2 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
SMU MustangsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
SMU MustangsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

SMU Mustangs

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For SMU Mustangs vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and no players are currently listed out or questionable.
FactorThis fixture
AvailabilityNone currently listed out or questionable

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SMU Mustangs @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish — what the model found

Our model graded 3 betting markets for SMU Mustangs at Notre Dame Fighting Irish — 3 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

3
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 3 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 2 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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SMU Mustangs @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish — model preview

Notre Dame Fighting Irish v SMU Mustangs, 22 November 2026. Top of the list: Over 56.5 Total Points. Our model likes 3 bets in this game.

On Sunday 22 November 2026, Notre Dame Fighting Irish play SMU Mustangs in college football. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 56.5 Total Points, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Over 56.5 Total Points (-108)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

On Sunday 22 November 2026, Notre Dame Fighting Irish host SMU Mustangs in college football. The bet we are looking at is Over 56.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score more than 56.5 points between them. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.26 if it lands. That price was showing at DraftKings. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.26 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for SMU Mustangs vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish in the NCAAF. You may also see this matchup written as Mustangs vs Irish, or as Irish vs Mustangs. The next scheduled game is Sunday 22 November 2026. The model has generated 3 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NCAAF betting strategy for this matchup.

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