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Model picks & player props
NCAAF
Sat 21 Nov 2026, 7:30 PM ET
Kentucky Wildcats
7-3 · 3-1 awayWWWLL
VS
Missouri Tigers
6-4 · 4-1 at homeWLWLL
Our model's predicted score: Missouri Tigers 24.2 – Kentucky Wildcats 20.7

Kentucky Wildcats vs Missouri Tigers Prediction & Picks · Sat 21 Nov

Model updated Nov 15, 6:02AM UTC

Our model graded 4 markets for Kentucky Wildcats vs Missouri Tigers and backs Under 48.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $187.

4
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Under 48.5 total points
Under 48.5 Total Points
You bet$10 If it wins$18.70Best price-115
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win48.7%
The price says50.0%

The model graded 4 markets for Kentucky Wildcats vs Missouri Tigers (NCAAF) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $187 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 21 Nov 2026, 7:30 PM ET.

Saturday 21 November 2026: Kentucky Wildcats at Missouri Tigers

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Points Under 48.5 Lean49% chance -115
Moneyline Members only Long-shot27% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean48% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Missouri Tigers are the model's favourite to beat Kentucky Wildcats, with a 58% chance to win. Predicted score: Missouri Tigers 24.2 – Kentucky Wildcats 20.7. Kick-off Sat 21 Nov, 7:30 PM ET. Best bet: Under 48.5 at -115.
How they've been scoring this season
Kentucky WildcatsMissouri Tigers
Won-lost7-36-4
Points scored per game28.329.3
Points allowed per game25.322.9
On the road / at home3-1 away4-1 at home
Last 5 gamesWWWLLWLWLL
Their games average 52.9 total points this season.
From the 10 Kentucky Wildcats and 10 Missouri Tigers games on our books this season.
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How the price moved

When prices opened: Tigers about 7 in 10 to win.

All NCAAF odds this week →

What matters in this game

Rest, form and schedule
  • Kentucky Wildcats lost 2 straight games up to Saturday 14 November. Missouri Tigers lost 2 straight games up to Saturday 14 November.
  • On Saturday 14 November, Kentucky Wildcats lost 21-14 at home to Florida Gators. On Saturday 14 November, Missouri Tigers lost 48-21 on the road to Georgia Bulldogs.
  • In their 5 games up to Saturday 14 November, Missouri Tigers scored 21.0 points a game, down from 29.3 across the season.
  • Home teams won 224 of the 363 college football games in our 2026 study, about 6 in 10. See the study

From this season's final scores.

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Points
Under
48.5
+ 3 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Kentucky WildcatsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Kentucky WildcatsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Kentucky WildcatsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market sharpened toward Kentucky Wildcats on this game.

Line movement

▲ moved toward Kentucky Wildcats
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Polymarket
on Kentucky Wildcats
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Kentucky Wildcats

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Missouri Tigers

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Kentucky Wildcats vs Missouri Tigers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and no players are currently listed out or questionable.
FactorThis fixture
AvailabilityNone currently listed out or questionable

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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The preview

Written 16 Nov

Missouri Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats Prediction & Picks

On Sunday 22 November 2026, Missouri Tigers play Kentucky Wildcats in college football. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Kentucky Wildcats +5 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Kentucky Wildcats +5 on the Line (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Sunday 22 November 2026, Missouri Tigers host Kentucky Wildcats in college football. The bet we are looking at is Kentucky Wildcats 5 Point Spread. On this line Kentucky Wildcats start with 5 points in hand, so they can lose by less than that and this still wins. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Under 48.5 Total Points (-115)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Sunday 22 November 2026, Missouri Tigers host Kentucky Wildcats in college football. The bet we are looking at is Under 48.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score fewer than 48.5 points between them. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kentucky Wildcats to Win (+164)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Sunday 22 November 2026, Missouri Tigers host Kentucky Wildcats in college football. The bet we are looking at is Kentucky Wildcats Moneyline. This one only needs Kentucky Wildcats to win the game. It was priced at +164 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $26.40 if it lands. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +164 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $26.40 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Missouri Tigers v Kentucky Wildcats. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk · Read the full preview

Kentucky Wildcats @ Missouri Tigers — what the model found

Our model graded 4 betting markets for Kentucky Wildcats at Missouri Tigers — 4 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

4
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 4 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 3 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Kentucky Wildcats @ Missouri Tigers — where the money went

Since betting opened on Kentucky Wildcats at Missouri Tigers, the market has moved toward Kentucky Wildcats across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Moneyline — Kentucky Wildcats▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Missouri Tigers▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 49.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Missouri Tigers -5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Kentucky Wildcats 5▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Under 49.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Missouri Tigers -6.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Kentucky Wildcats 6.5▼ Money drifted off this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

Kentucky Wildcats @ Missouri Tigers — model preview

Missouri Tigers v Kentucky Wildcats, 22 November 2026. Top of the list: Kentucky Wildcats +5 on the Line. Our model likes 3 bets in this game.

On Sunday 22 November 2026, Missouri Tigers play Kentucky Wildcats in college football. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Kentucky Wildcats +5 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Kentucky Wildcats +5 on the Line (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Sunday 22 November 2026, Missouri Tigers host Kentucky Wildcats in college football. The bet we are looking at is Kentucky Wildcats 5 Point Spread. On this line Kentucky Wildcats start with 5 points in hand, so they can lose by less than that and this still wins. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. That price was showing at Fanatics. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Kentucky Wildcats vs Missouri Tigers in the NCAAF. You may also see this matchup written as Wildcats vs Tigers, or as Tigers vs Wildcats. The next scheduled game is Saturday 21 November 2026. The model has generated 4 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NCAAF betting strategy for this matchup.

Kentucky Wildcats vs Missouri Tigers: game facts

When it starts and how they have been going

Kentucky Wildcats play Missouri Tigers on Saturday 21 November 2026. Kick-off is 7:30 PM ET. It is a college football game.

Kentucky Wildcats: last 5 results

  1. 14 Nov 2026Lostvs Florida Gators 14-21
  2. 7 Nov 2026Lostat Tennessee Volunteers 6-34
  3. 24 Oct 2026Wonvs Vanderbilt Commodores 34-17
  4. 17 Oct 2026Wonat Oklahoma Sooners 21-13
  5. 10 Oct 2026Wonvs LSU Tigers 35-34

Missouri Tigers: last 5 results

  1. 14 Nov 2026Lostat Georgia Bulldogs 21-48
  2. 7 Nov 2026Lostvs Texas Longhorns 20-34
  3. 31 Oct 2026Wonat Arkansas Razorbacks 34-10
  4. 17 Oct 2026Lostat Ole Miss Rebels 3-31
  5. 10 Oct 2026Wonvs Texas A&M Aggies 27-6

Quick answers

When is Kentucky Wildcats vs Missouri Tigers? Kentucky Wildcats vs Missouri Tigers is on Saturday 21 November 2026. Kick-off is 7:30 PM ET.

How have Kentucky Wildcats and Missouri Tigers done lately? Kentucky Wildcats won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 results we hold. Missouri Tigers won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Kentucky Wildcats vs Missouri Tigers: the season so far

From every final score this season

Kentucky Wildcats are 7-3 this season and Missouri Tigers are 6-4. Missouri Tigers are 4-1 at home. Kentucky Wildcats are 3-1 on the road. Missouri Tigers score 29.3 points a game and let in 22.9. Kentucky Wildcats score 28.3 and let in 25.3. Missouri Tigers games have averaged 52 points in total; Kentucky Wildcats games have averaged 54.

SeasonKentucky WildcatsMissouri Tigers
Won-lost7-36-4
At home4-24-1
On the road3-12-3
Points scored a game28.329.3
Points let in a game25.322.9
Points scored at home31.734.6
Points scored away23.324.0
Against winning sides3-31-3
Current runLost 2Lost 2
Biggest win45-13 vs Youngstown State Penguins54-14 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
Heaviest loss34-6 at Tennessee Volunteers31-3 at Ole Miss Rebels

Teams they have both played

  • Against Texas A&M Aggies: Missouri Tigers won 27-6 at home; Kentucky Wildcats won 31-21 on the road.
  • Against Florida Gators: Missouri Tigers won 45-17 at home; Kentucky Wildcats lost 14-21 at home.

Rest before this game

Missouri Tigers last played on Saturday 14 November, 7 days before this game. Kentucky Wildcats last played on Saturday 14 November, 7 days before.

Quick answers

How are Missouri Tigers doing this season? Missouri Tigers are 6-4 this season: 4-1 at home and 2-3 on the road.

How many points do Kentucky Wildcats score a game? Kentucky Wildcats score 28.3 points a game this season and let in 25.3, across 10 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

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