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The latest Bet Better model pick for Shane Baz is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 2.50 SOlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 2.50 SOlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 2.50 SOlanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Aug 30, 8:39PM UTC
MLB

Shane Baz

BAL

Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs Under 2.5 -105 (1.95) · $100→$195
Baltimore Orioles @ Athletics
Sun 30 Aug, 2:05AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 935 of 1,976 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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See the numbers

For the numbers: the book's price implies 51.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Earned Runs——51.3%2.09—

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Athletics vs Baltimore Orioles: Shane Baz Under 2.5 Pitcher - Earned Runs (-105)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The odds for Shane Baz to allow under 2.5 earned runs is a solid bet, given his recent form. The Oakland Athletics have not been scoring much at home, winning only 25 out of 66 games there this season. This makes it tougher for opposing pitchers, like Baz, to give up runs. Plus, both the Athletics and the Baltimore Orioles have similar hitting numbers against left-handed pitchers, which means Baz could keep runs in check. While Baz has been strong, the risk lies in how close the teams are in performance. The Orioles have been slightly better lately, winning five of their last ten games. That said, with the Athletics struggling to score consistently, Baz has a good chance to keep those earned runs low, making this bet worthwhile.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Shane Baz is averaging 3.8 hits, 0.8 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

3.8
Hits
0.8
HR
0.0
RBI
2.0
Runs
1.8
Walks
7.4
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Shane Baz has gone over 1.5 SO in 44% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.544%
o2.522%
o3.511%
o4.50%
o5.50%
o6.50%
o7.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Shane Baz is averaging 3.8 hits per game over his last 5 and 3.4 in away games.

3.8
Hits · Overall
3.4
Hits · Away
0.8
HR · Overall
0.6
HR · Away
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
23 Aug 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles Pitcher - Strikeouts 4.5 Under -141 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles Pitcher - Hits Allowed 5.5 Under -108 ✓ HIT
18 Aug 26 New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles Pitcher - Hits Allowed 5.5 Under -164 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles Pitcher - Walks — — — Pending
23 Aug 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles Pitcher - Earned Runs — — — Pending
18 Aug 26 New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles Pitcher - Walks — — — Pending

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About This Player

Shane Baz (BAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Shane Baz is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. Their next game is Baltimore Orioles vs Athletics on Sunday 30 August. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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