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MLB

Shane Baz

TBR

+2.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Pitcher - Walks Over 0.5 -769 (1.13)
+2.6% Edge
Tampa Bay Rays @ Chicago Cubs
Wrigley Field, Chicago
Fri 12 Sep, 6:20PM
Model Probability
91.1%
Implied Probability
88.5%
Model Edge
+2.6%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Shane Baz (TBR) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-769)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Shane Baz's recent pitching performance strongly supports this bet on Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market. In his last five games, Baz has averaged 1.8 walks overall and 2 walks in away games. This indicates a consistent pattern of allowing at least one walk per game, exceeding the proposed line of 0.5. Moreover, his average innings pitched (IP) both overall and in away games (5.6 and 5.7 respectively) suggest he spends a substantial amount of time on the mound, increasing the likelihood of walks. His current away hit streak of 8 further implies that batters often make contact with his pitches, which may result in more opportunities for walks. Therefore, Baz's recent statistics and performance trends make a compelling case for betting Over 0.5 on Pitcher Walks Allowed.

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Pick History & Track Record

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