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The latest Bet Better model pick for Pete Alonso is Over 0.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs.
On Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 74%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Under 1.50 BBlanded 10 of the last 10
Under 1.50 2Blanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 19, 7:29AM UTC
MLB

Pete Alonso

NYM

Pete Alonso has one live pick today: Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 0.5 that pays $135 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 0.5 -286 (1.35) · $100→$135
Milwaukee Brewers @ Baltimore Orioles
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland · Outdoor
Sat 19 Sep, 8:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts overs: 107 of 225 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
2.4 Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 51.4% · before adjusting for past results 57.3% · the book's price implies 74.1% · gap -22.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs57.3%51.4%74.1%1.95-16.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Baltimore Orioles vs Milwaukee Brewers: Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs (-286)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

The Baltimore Orioles are playing strong at home, winning 6 of their last 10 games and looking good with 3 straight road wins. Meanwhile, the Milwaukee Brewers are also on a roll, winning 7 of their last 10. This matchup is tight, and both teams are performing well. Pete Alonso has been consistent this season, and he's likely to add to his stats in this game. In day games right after a night game, he averages 1.2 hits, and getting over 0.5 in hits, runs, or RBIs seems reasonable. Still, Alonso has a good chance to shine today.

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Pick History & Track Record

Pete Alonso's lines for Sat 19 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5
How many home runs does Pete Alonso hit?

Pete Alonso's batter hits + runs + rbis line is 0.5.

Batter Hits 2.5
-222 best over price · 10 booksHow many home runs does Pete Alonso hit?

Pete Alonso's batter hits line is 2.5, best over price -222 across 10 books.

Batter Singles 1.5
+110 best over price · 2 booksHow many home runs does Pete Alonso hit?

Pete Alonso's batter singles line is 1.5, best over price +110 across 2 books.

Batter Home Runs 1.5
+360 best over price · 9 booksHow many home runs does Pete Alonso hit?

Pete Alonso's batter home runs line is 1.5, best over price +360 across 9 books.

Batter Hits + Runs + RBIs 4.5
How many home runs does Pete Alonso hit?

Pete Alonso's batter hits + runs + rbis line is 4.5.

Batter Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5
How many home runs does Pete Alonso hit?

Pete Alonso's batter hits + runs + rbis line is 1.5.

Batter Singles 0.5
+110 best over price · 2 booksHow many home runs does Pete Alonso hit?

Pete Alonso's batter singles line is 0.5, best over price +110 across 2 books.

Batter RBIs 0.5
+165 best over price · 7 booksHow many home runs does Pete Alonso hit?

Pete Alonso's batter rbis line is 0.5, best over price +165 across 7 books.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Pete Alonso is averaging 1.4 hits, 0.2 home runs and 0.8 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

1.4
Hits
0.2
HR
0.8
RBI
0.4
Runs
0.4
Walks
0.8
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Pete Alonso has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 14% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.514%
o1.514%
o2.514%
o3.50%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Pete Alonso is averaging 1.4 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.2 in away games, including his recent form against MIA.

1.4
Hits · Overall
1.2
Hits · Away
1.6
Hits · vs MIA
0.2
HR · Overall
0.2
HR · Away
0.2
HR · vs MIA
Quick answers:How many home runs does Pete Alonso hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Pete Alonso (NYM) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Pete Alonso is Over 0.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs. The model identifies a slight edge of -16.8% on this pick. Their next game is Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles on Saturday 19 September at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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