Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Pete Alonso is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles.
On the Batter - Doubles market the model assigns a model win probability of 89%, versus the book's implied 86%, for a model edge of +2.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 7, 4:07PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Doubles
Under 0.5
-625 (1.16)
+2.3% Edge
Baltimore Orioles
@
Texas Rangers
Globe Life Field, Arlington, Texas · Indoor
Sat 8 Aug, 12:15AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 439 of 781 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
86.2%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - Doubles | 88.5% | — | 86.2% | 1.13 | +2.3% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 3/3 |
| Last 5 games | 3/5 |
| Last 10 games | 6/10 |
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Pete Alonso (NYM) Under 0.5 Doubles (-625)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Texas Rangers play Baltimore Orioles in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Pete Alonso (NYM) Under 0.5 Doubles (-625). That is a Doubles bet. It was priced at -625 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
3 markets liveBatter - Total BasesUpcoming gameU 1.5 -164 Game log vs U 1.54 / 6 hit
Pete Alonso MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Current line U 1.5 at -164.
Batter - RBIsUpcoming gameU 0.5 -303 Game log vs U 0.52 / 3 hit
Pete Alonso MLB rbis: cleared under 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -303.
Batter - DoublesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -625 Game log vs U 0.54 / 4 hit
Pete Alonso MLB doubles: cleared under 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -625.
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.6 · hi 1 · lo 0
Pete Alonso MLB hitsseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted Pete Alonso MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted Game log vs O 0.5avg 1.3 · hi 3 · lo 0
Pete Alonso MLB hits + runs + rbisseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted Pete Alonso MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted Pete Alonso MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted Pete Alonso MLB strikeouts: cleared over 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 06 Aug 26 |
 Los Angeles Angels @ Baltimore Orioles |
Batter - Doubles |
0.5 |
Under |
-476 |
✓ HIT |
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Pete Alonso (NYM) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Pete Alonso is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.3% on this pick. Their next game is Baltimore Orioles vs Texas Rangers on Saturday 8 August at Globe Life Field, Arlington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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