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Model picks & player props
Pittsburgh Pirates
VS
Detroit Tigers

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 2:32PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Comerica Park, Detroit
Outdoor
0
Game markets graded
15
Props graded
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 546 of 996 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 10
Under 9.5
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Player props & full board
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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Pittsburgh Pirates

  • Konnor Griffin SSOut
  • Endy Rodriguez CDay-to-day
  • Oneil Cruz CFOut
  • Mitch Keller SPOut
  • Ryan O'Hearn RFOut

Probable pitcher

Jared Jones SP

Detroit Tigers

  • Kerry Carpenter RFOut
  • Brant Hurter RPOut
  • Justin Verlander SPOut
  • Wenceel Perez RFOut
  • Will Vest RPOut
  • Matt Vierling CFOut
  • Jack Flaherty SPOut
  • Burch Smith RPOut
  • Bailey Horn RPOut
  • Parker Meadows CFOut
  • Trey Sweeney SSOut
  • Reese Olson SPOut

Probable pitcher

Troy Melton SP
Availability updated Aug 10, 2:35AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 17 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability17 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Spencer Torkelson DET Batter - Total Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Bailey Falter PIT Pitcher - Strikeouts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Spencer Torkelson DET Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Riley Greene DET Batter - Total Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Bailey Falter PIT Pitcher - Walks 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Pittsburgh Pirates @ Detroit Tigers — what the model found

Our model graded 15 betting markets for Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers — 0 on the game itself and 15 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

15
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 15 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 14 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers — recent results

Detroit Tigers have won 3 of their last 5 games; Pittsburgh Pirates have won 1 of their last 5.

Detroit Tigers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W3–1SFAway
L2–5SFAway
W8–0SFAway
L2–4SEAAway
W11–0SEAAway
Pittsburgh Pirates — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–11NYMHome
W9–0NYMHome
L4–6NYMHome
L2–5MILAway
L2–4MILAway

Who’s out or in doubt

17 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Detroit Tigers
PlayerStatus
Kerry Carpenter RFOUT
Brant Hurter RPOUT
Justin Verlander SPOUT
Wenceel Perez RFOUT
Will Vest RPOUT
Matt Vierling CFOUT
Jack Flaherty SPOUT
Burch Smith RPOUT
Pittsburgh Pirates
PlayerStatus
Konnor Griffin SSOUT
Endy Rodriguez CDAY-TO-DAY
Oneil Cruz CFOUT
Mitch Keller SPOUT
Ryan O'Hearn RFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Detroit Tigers — model preview

Unlock potential winning baseball bets for Detroit Tigers playing Pittsburgh Pirates. Includes analysis on key players like Gleyber Torres. Analysis includes MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates stats and odds.

Gleyber Torres (DET) Over 0.5 Total Bases (-200)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Gleyber Torres for Over 0.5 in the Batter Total Bases market is a promising choice considering his consistent performance in recent games. His overall hits average in the last five games is 1.2, which indicates that he is likely to hit at least once in the upcoming game. Furthermore, his performance at home has been even better with an average of 2 hits per game. When playing against the Pirates, his average hits are 1 per game, with an additional 0.6 on average coming from doubles. Even though his current hit streak is zero, his past performance suggests a high probability of him scoring more than 0.5 total bases in the upcoming game. Therefore, the data supports the bet on Torres surpassing 0.5 total bases in the game versus the Pittsburgh Pirates.

🔒 The other 3 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Pirates vs Tigers, or as Tigers vs Pirates. The model has generated 15 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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