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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Riley Greene is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 74 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 74%, implied 65%, edge +27.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 9 of the last 10
Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 8 of the last 10
Over 0.50 Hlanded 7 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Aug 28, 9:24PM UTC
MLB

Riley Greene

DET

+27.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -182 (1.55) · $100→$155
+27.8% Edge
Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers
Comerica Park, Detroit, Michigan · Outdoor
Tue 11 Aug, 10:40PM
OUT
Greene (hamstring) returned to Detroit on Monday and will take part in conditioning work at Comerica Park prior to the Tigers' series opener versus the Rays, Evan Woodbery of MLive.com reports.
updated Aug 24, 6:27PM UTC · 4d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
92 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 92.3% · the book's price implies 64.5% · gap +27.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases92.3%74.4%64.5%1.67+27.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Riley Greene (DET) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-182)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Detroit Tigers play Cleveland Guardians in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Riley Greene (DET) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-182). That is a Total Bases bet. It was priced at -182 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.49 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Riley Greene is averaging 0.6 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.4 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.6
Hits
0.0
HR
0.4
RBI
0.4
Runs
0.6
Walks
0.6
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Riley Greene has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 50% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.550%
o1.510%
o2.50%
o3.50%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Riley Greene is averaging 0.6 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.0 in away games, including his recent form against SEA.

0.6
Hits · Overall
0.0
Hits · Away
1.4
Hits · vs SEA
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Away
0.4
HR · vs SEA
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Riley Greene (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Riley Greene is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +27.8% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers on Tuesday 11 August at Comerica Park, Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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