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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Riley Greene is Under 1.5 on Batter - Doubles.
On the Batter - Doubles market the model assigns a model win probability of 99%, versus the book's implied 95%, for a model edge of +4.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 18, 9:27AM UTC
MLB

Riley Greene

DET

+4.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Doubles Under 1.5 -2000 (1.05)
+4.0% Edge
Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels
Angel Stadium, Anaheim, California · Outdoor
Sun 19 Jul, 2:07AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
99.2%
Implied Probability
95.2%
Model Edge
+4.0%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Doubles99.2%95.2%1.01+4.0%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Riley Greene (DET) Under 1.5 Doubles (-2000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Angels host the Tigers today, all eyes should be on Riley Greene's doubles potential. While Greene is an exciting young talent, recent trends reveal he's been struggling to find gaps consistently, with just one double in his last 30 at-bats. The Angels' pitching staff has been particularly tough on left-handed hitters like Greene, holding them to a mere .180 batting average over the past month. Moreover, the Angels' defense has tightened up, leading to fewer extra-base hits, especially in their home park where they’ve managed to limit opponents' scoring chances. With Greene's current form and the hostile environment he faces against an Angels squad eager to bolster their postseason hopes, the smart play here looks to be the Under on 1.5 doubles. It’s a calculated bet that aligns with the numbers and the current dynamics on the field.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

4 markets live
Batter - HitsUpcoming vs LAAU 1.5 -213+16.0% edge

Riley Greene MLB hits vs LAA. Current line U 1.5 at -213 (+16.0% model edge).

Batter - Total BasesUpcoming vs LAAU 2.5 -213+17.1% edge

Riley Greene MLB total bases vs LAA. Current line U 2.5 at -213 (+17.1% model edge).

Batter - DoublesUpcoming vs LAAU 1.5 -2000+4.0% edge

Riley Greene MLB doubles vs LAA. Current line U 1.5 at -2000 (+4.0% model edge).

Batter - WalksUpcoming vs LAAU 0.5 -370+4.7% edge
80%hit L10
Streak3L2080%

Riley Greene MLB walks: cleared under 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games vs LAA. Current line U 0.5 at -370 (+4.7% model edge).

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Riley Greene MLB hits + runs + rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Riley Greene MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Jul 26 Detroit Tigers @ Texas Rangers Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -417 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Riley Greene (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Riley Greene is Under 1.5 on Batter - Doubles. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.0% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles Angels on Sunday 19 July at Angel Stadium, Anaheim. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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