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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Riley Greene is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles.
On the Batter - Doubles market the model assigns a model win probability of 88%, versus the book's implied 87%, for a model edge of +1.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 7, 3:07PM UTC
MLB

Riley Greene

DET

+1.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Doubles Under 0.5 -667 (1.15)
+1.3% Edge
Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners
T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington · Indoor
Thu 6 Aug, 8:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 439 of 781 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
88.2%
Implied Probability
87.0%
Model Edge
+1.3%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Doubles88.2%87.0%1.13+1.3%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

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Riley Greene (DET) Under 0.5 Doubles (-667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Seattle Mariners play Detroit Tigers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Riley Greene (DET) Under 0.5 Doubles (-667). That is a Doubles bet. It was priced at -667 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
L2050%
O 0.550%
O 1.520%

Riley Greene MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.540%
O 2.510%
O 3.510%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 1.5 · hi 6 · lo 0
010062

Riley Greene MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Riley Greene MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
90%hit L10
L2083%
O 0.590%
O 1.550%
O 2.530%
O 3.530%
O 4.510%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 3 · hi 6 · lo 1
162

Riley Greene MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%
O 1.510%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.3 · hi 1 · lo 0
0010

Riley Greene MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
L2050%
O 0.560%
O 1.530%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1 · hi 2 · lo 0
021

Riley Greene MLB runs scored: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%
O 1.520%

Riley Greene MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.510%

Riley Greene MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Aug 26 Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -667 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5 Under -123 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -222 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Riley Greene (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Riley Greene is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.3% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners on Thursday 6 August at T-Mobile Park, Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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