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Eduardo Valencia

MLB

Value call

Eduardo Valencia has one live pick today: over 1.5 total bases that pays $245 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
46 in 100
Predicted
1.8 total bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 46.3% · before adjusting for past results 48.7% · the book's price implies 40.8% · gap +5.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Detroit Tigers
Comerica Park, Detroit, Michigan · Outdoor
Sun 27 Sep, 3:10 PM ET
Eduardo Valencia
over 1.5 total bases
Batter - Total Bases Over 1.5 +145 (2.45) · $100→$245
Value call
LEANWins about 46 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$24.50 Odds+145
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Eduardo Valencia is Over 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 46 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 46%, the price says 41%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 12:38PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 145 of 250 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases48.7%46.3%40.8%2.16+7.9%

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AI Analysis

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Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates: Eduardo Valencia Over 1.5 Batter - Total Bases (+146)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

The odds of +146 for Eduardo Valencia to get over 1.5 total bases look pretty tempting. He's been averaging one hit per game lately, so he's not far off what we need. The Tigers have had a tough time winning, but Valencia can still break through against the Pirates. Their starting pitcher has been pretty good, allowing runs at a rate lower than league average, but that also means he can be hit if Valencia finds his rhythm. If he can shake off that slump and connect well, he could easily go over that mark. With this matchup at Comerica Park, there's a good chance Valencia can step up and come through for us.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Detroit Tigers Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Over +145 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Detroit Tigers Batter - RBIs 0.5 Over +201 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Detroit Tigers Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 2.5 Over +210 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Detroit Tigers Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending
27 Sep 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Detroit Tigers Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
27 Sep 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Detroit Tigers Batter - Walks — — — Pending

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About This Player

Eduardo Valencia is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Eduardo Valencia is Over 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.9% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers on Sunday 27 September at Comerica Park, Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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