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Model picks & player props
Detroit Tigers
VS
Chicago White Sox

Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 30, 11:43PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago
Outdoor
Mon 11 Aug 2025, 11:40PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 10 Total Runs +164

The model graded 20 markets for Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $264 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 11 Aug 2025, 11:40PM at Guaranteed Rate Field.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win57.5%
The price says37.9%
Best price+164
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Over 10 Lean57% chance +164
Total Runs High87% chance
Team Total Long-shot37% chance
Total Runs Lean51% chance
Total Runs High90% chance
Total Runs Lean45% chance
Total Runs High95% chance
Total Runs High93% chance
Total Runs Long-shot39% chance
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 935 of 1,976 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 29
Under 11.5
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $130
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Over
10.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Detroit Tigers

  • Riley Greene LFOut
  • Matt Vierling CFOut
  • Brant Hurter RPOut
  • Jack Flaherty SPOut
  • Kerry Carpenter RFOut
  • Wenceel Perez RFOut
  • Will Vest RPOut
  • Justin Verlander SPOut
  • Burch Smith RPOut
  • Bailey Horn RPOut
  • Parker Meadows CFOut
  • Trey Sweeney SSOut
  • Reese Olson SPOut

Probable pitcher

Framber Valdez SP

Chicago White Sox

  • Tyler Schweitzer RPOut
  • Davis Martin SPOut
  • Chris Murphy RPOut
  • Huascar Brazoban RPOut
  • Drew Thorpe SPOut
  • Kyle Teel COut
  • Joey Bart COut
  • Jordan Leasure RPOut
  • Prelander Berroa RPOut
  • Ky Bush SPOut
  • Mike Vasil RPOut
  • Tanner Murray LFOut
  • Brooks Baldwin LFOut

Probable pitcher

Jordan Hicks SP
Availability updated Aug 30, 6:10PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 26 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability26 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineChicago White SoxNo line posted
0-5L5 record
L5 RF1.6L5 RA2.8Home L51-4vs Detroit Tigers L52-3Free board8-8

Chicago White Sox moneyline form: last five 0-5, 1.6 runs/gm.

Run LineChicago White Sox run lineNo line posted
0-5L5 record
L5 RF1.6L5 RA2.8Home L51-4vs Detroit Tigers L52-3

Chicago White Sox spread form: last five 0-5, 1.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Chicago White Sox vs Detroit TigersNo line posted

Chicago White Sox total runs form: last five 0-5, 1.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsChicago White Sox team totalNo line posted
1.7runs we expect
L5 RF1.6L5 RA2.8Home L51-4vs Detroit Tigers L52-3

Chicago White Sox team total runs form: last five 0-5, 1.6 runs/gm.

Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox — recent results

Chicago White Sox have won 4 of their last 5 games; Detroit Tigers have won 2 of their last 5.

Chicago White Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–4MINAway
W3–2MINAway
W10–4TEXHome
W11–7TEXHome
L2–11TEXHome
Detroit Tigers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W2–1LADHome
L1–2LADHome
L0–3TBHome
W4–1TBHome
L1–4TBHome

Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox — recent meetings

These two have met 9 times recently: Chicago White Sox won 6, Detroit Tigers won 3.

DateChicago White SoxDetroit TigersWinner
Aug 1675Chicago White Sox
Aug 1543Chicago White Sox
Aug 1495Chicago White Sox
Jun 2145Detroit Tigers
Jun 2014Detroit Tigers
Jun 1934Detroit Tigers
May 3121Chicago White Sox
May 3071Chicago White Sox
May 2943Chicago White Sox

Who’s out or in doubt

26 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Chicago White Sox
PlayerStatus
Tyler Schweitzer RPOUT
Davis Martin SPOUT
Chris Murphy RPOUT
Huascar Brazoban RPOUT
Drew Thorpe SPOUT
Kyle Teel COUT
Joey Bart COUT
Jordan Leasure RPOUT
Detroit Tigers
PlayerStatus
Riley Greene LFOUT
Matt Vierling CFOUT
Brant Hurter RPOUT
Jack Flaherty SPOUT
Kerry Carpenter RFOUT
Wenceel Perez RFOUT
Will Vest RPOUT
Justin Verlander SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox — model preview

Unlock potential winning baseball bets for Chicago White Sox playing Detroit Tigers. Includes analysis on key players like Gleyber Torres. Analysis includes MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Chicago White Sox vs Detroit Tigers stats and odds.

Gleyber Torres (DET) Over 0.5 Hits (-270)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Gleyber Torres is a strong choice for the Over 0.5 Batter Hits market due to his consistent performance. His last five overall batting averages show that he typically hits at least once per game, with an average of 1.2 hits. Even when playing away, Torres averages one hit per game. His performance against the Chicago White Sox is also promising, with an average of 0.8 hits in the last five games. Despite his current hit streak being zero, his consistent performance in previous games suggests a high probability of him hitting over 0.5 in the upcoming game. Additionally, his plate appearance averages indicate he consistently gets opportunities to bat, further increasing his chances of scoring a hit. Therefore, based on Torres' consistent hitting averages and frequent plate appearances, betting over 0.5 hits is a statistically sound choice.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Tigers vs Sox, or as Sox vs Tigers. The most recent game between them was Monday 11 August 2025 at Guaranteed Rate Field. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 48 meetings on record
Detroit Tigers 29–19 across the last 48 meetings · these games average 8.1 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
16 Aug 2026Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers5–7Chicago White Sox
15 Aug 2026Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers3–4Chicago White Sox
14 Aug 2026Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers5–9Chicago White Sox
21 Jun 2026Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers5–4Detroit Tigers
20 Jun 2026Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers4–1Detroit Tigers
19 Jun 2026Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers4–3Detroit Tigers
31 May 2026Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox2–1Chicago White Sox
30 May 2026Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox7–1Chicago White Sox
29 May 2026Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox4–3Chicago White Sox
7 Sep 2025Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers4–6Chicago White Sox

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 48 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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