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The latest Bet Better model pick for Dillon Dingler is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 74%, versus the book's implied 60%, for a model edge of +14.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 24, 3:42AM UTC
MLB

Dillon Dingler

DET

+14.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -147 (1.68)
+14.9% Edge
Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers
Comerica Park, Detroit, Michigan · Outdoor
Thu 23 Jul, 10:40PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
74.4%
Implied Probability
59.5%
Model Edge
+14.9%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases74.4%—59.5%1.34+14.9%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Dillon Dingler (DET) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-147)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Detroit Tigers host the Kansas City Royals, all eyes will be on Dillon Dingler, but the smart money might be leaning towards him going under 1.5 total bases in this matchup. While Dingler has shown flashes of potential, he’s been inconsistent against right-handed pitching, and the Royals' starter has been solid lately, limiting hard contact with a respectable WHIP. The Tigers' lineup has struggled to generate sustained offense, especially against quality arms, making Dingler’s path to accumulating total bases more challenging. With a model predicting him around 1 total base, the odds of him exceeding that mark seem slim, especially when you consider his recent performances. The Royals' bullpen, known for its ability to shut down opposing hitters late in games, adds another layer of difficulty for Dingler. Expect a tight game that could see him struggle to find his footing. Taking the under feels like the right play here.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 5(60%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Dillon Dingler MLB hitsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Dillon Dingler MLB hits + runs + rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Dillon Dingler MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Jul 26 Detroit Tigers @ Chicago Cubs Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -233 ✗ MISS
21 Jul 26 Detroit Tigers @ Chicago Cubs Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -102 ✗ MISS
19 Jul 26 Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -145 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 26 Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending
19 Jul 26 Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - Singles — — — Pending
19 Jul 26 Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending

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About This Player

Dillon Dingler (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dillon Dingler is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.9% on this pick. Their next game is Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers on Thursday 23 July at Comerica Park, Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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