SYSTEM STATUS: Online WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks -1 @ +291) WIN: WON: Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +320) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1.5 @ -101) WIN: WON: Geelong Cats @ Greater Western Sydney Giants (Greater Western Sydney Giants @ +136) WIN: WON: Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +320) WIN: WON: Geelong Cats @ Greater Western Sydney Giants (Greater Western Sydney Giants @ +139) WIN: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres (Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 @ +162) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 @ +330) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1.5 @ -106) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1 @ +154) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks -1 @ +291) RESULT: WON: Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +320) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1.5 @ -101) RESULT: WON: Geelong Cats @ Greater Western Sydney Giants (Greater Western Sydney Giants @ +136) RESULT: WON: Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +320) RESULT: WON: Geelong Cats @ Greater Western Sydney Giants (Greater Western Sydney Giants @ +139) RESULT: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres (Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 @ +162) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 @ +330) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1.5 @ -106) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1 @ +154)
MODELS ONLINE / DATA PROVIDER · NOT A BOOKMAKER / EVERY PICK TIMESTAMPED & GRADED / 12 LEAGUES MODELLED
Bet Better BET BETTER PRO TERMINAL
Log in
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kevin McGonigle is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 71%, versus the book's implied 61%, for a model edge of +10.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 12, 7:17AM UTC
MLB

Kevin McGonigle

MLB

+10.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -156 (1.64)
+10.2% Edge
Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers
Comerica Park, Detroit
Fri 10 Jul, 10:40PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
71.2%
Implied Probability
61.0%
Model Edge
+10.2%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases71.2%—61.0%1.40+10.2%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime
Beat the closing line — our published picks in this player's games beat the closing line 0 of 27 times (0%), +0.1% avg CLV. Verified closing-line value.

Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games1/10

See the full 20-game form curve

Unlock the complete recent-form hit-rate curve (last 3, 5, 10, 15, 20 & current streak) for this player.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Kevin McGonigle (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-156)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Tigers host the Phillies, all eyes will be on Kevin McGonigle, but backing him for over 1.5 total bases might be a stretch. Recently, McGonigle has struggled at the plate, hitting just .217 in his last 15 games. The Phillies face a pitching matchup that could stifle any offensive surge; the Tigers’ starter has been lights out lately, boasting a 2.80 ERA over his last five outings. Detroit's bullpen is equally formidable, ranked in the top five for strikeouts per nine innings. The Phillies' lineup has also struggled against right-handed pitchers, averaging only .230 in that split this season. With McGonigle’s recent downturn and the tough pitching he's up against, taking the under on his total bases feels like the prudent play. Detroit's home advantage and strong pitching should keep McGonigle from crossing that 1.5 threshold tonight.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 50.0% (1/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Jul 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -156 ✗ MISS
19 Jun 26 Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -263 ✓ HIT

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Kevin McGonigle is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. Across 2 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (1/2). The latest model pick for Kevin McGonigle is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.2% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers on Friday 10 July at Comerica Park, Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.