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Model picks & player props
Los Angeles Dodgers
VS
Detroit Tigers

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Detroit Tigers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 29, 1:28AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Comerica Park, Detroit
Outdoor
Fri 28 Aug 2026, 10:40PM
20
Game markets graded
2
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Detroit Tigers Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings +186

The model graded 22 markets for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Detroit Tigers (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $286 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 28 Aug 2026, 10:40PM at Comerica Park.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win32.9%
The price says34.2%
Best price+186
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Detroit Tigers Long-shot33% chance +186
Moneyline Lean40% chance
Spread Long-shot23% chance
Spread Long-shot19% chance
Spread Long-shot15% chance
Spread Long-shot26% chance
Batter - Hits × 1 prop Highup to 67%
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 1 prop Leanup to 53%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 934 of 1,946 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 27
Under 6.5
Houston Astros @ New York Yankees
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $290
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings
Detroit Tigers
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 2 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,268+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Detroit TigersMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Detroit Tigers on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Detroit Tigers
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Closing line

Snapshot logged
We store the closing number to grade every pick's CLV.
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Who's out

Injuries & availability

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Justin Wrobleski SPOut
  • Roki Sasaki SPOut
  • Gavin Stone SPOut
  • Will Smith COut
  • Jake Cousins RPOut
  • Andy Pages CFOut
  • Edwin Diaz RPOut
  • Will Klein RPOut
  • Bobby Miller SPOut
  • Blake Treinen RPOut
  • Dalton Rushing COut
  • Kris Bubic SPOut
  • Ben Casparius RPOut
  • Brusdar Graterol RPOut

Probable pitcher

Tarik Skubal SP

Detroit Tigers

  • Matt Vierling CFOut
  • Riley Greene LFOut
  • Brant Hurter RPOut
  • Jack Flaherty SPOut
  • Kerry Carpenter RFOut
  • Wenceel Perez RFOut
  • Will Vest RPOut
  • Justin Verlander SPOut
  • Burch Smith RPOut
  • Bailey Horn RPOut
  • Parker Meadows CFOut
  • Trey Sweeney SSOut
  • Reese Olson SPOut

Probable pitcher

Drew Anderson SP
Availability updated Aug 28, 10:40PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Los Angeles Dodgers vs Detroit Tigers: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 27 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability27 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

The plate umpire

Behind the plate: Nestor Ceja. Games he has called average 8.8 runs across 18 games on record — the league average this season is 9.2.

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Shohei Ohtani LAA Batter - Hits
Hunter Feduccia Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs

+ 2 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineDetroit TigersNo line posted
0-5L5 record
L5 RF1.2L5 RA3.0Home L50-5vs Los Angeles Dodgers L54-1

Detroit Tigers moneyline form: last five 0-5, 1.2 runs/gm.

Run LineDetroit Tigers run lineNo line posted
0-5L5 record
L5 RF1.2L5 RA3.0Home L50-5vs Los Angeles Dodgers L54-1

Detroit Tigers spread form: last five 0-5, 1.2 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles DodgersNo line posted

Detroit Tigers total runs form: last five 0-5, 1.2 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsDetroit Tigers team totalNo line posted
1.3runs we expect
L5 RF1.2L5 RA3.0Home L50-5vs Los Angeles Dodgers L54-1

Detroit Tigers team total runs form: last five 0-5, 1.2 runs/gm.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Detroit Tigers — what the model found

Our model graded 22 betting markets for Los Angeles Dodgers at Detroit Tigers — 20 on the game itself and 2 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
2
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 22 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 21 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Detroit Tigers — recent results

Detroit Tigers have won 1 of their last 5 games; Los Angeles Dodgers have won 2 of their last 5.

Detroit Tigers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L0–3TBHome
W4–1TBHome
L1–4TBHome
L7–11KCAway
L2–5KCAway
Los Angeles Dodgers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L0–1ATLAway
L5–6ATLAway
L3–4ATLAway
W4–0PITHome
W5–4PITHome

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Detroit Tigers — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Detroit Tigers are scoring 1.2 runs per game (0-5) while Los Angeles Dodgers are at 0.6 (1-4); Detroit Tigers pitchers are allowing 3.0 earned runs per game versus 1.2 for Los Angeles Dodgers.

1.2
Detroit Tigers runs/G
0.6
Los Angeles Dodgers runs/G
Last 5 gamesDetroit TigersLos Angeles Dodgers
Runs / game1.20.6
Hits / game2.21.2
Home runs / game0.20.0
Walks drawn / game0.21.0
Batter K / game2.81.4
Earned runs allowed / game3.01.2
Pitching K / game2.60.6
Walks allowed / game1.20.4
L5 record0-51-4

Who’s out or in doubt

27 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Detroit Tigers
PlayerStatus
Matt Vierling CFOUT
Riley Greene LFOUT
Brant Hurter RPOUT
Jack Flaherty SPOUT
Kerry Carpenter RFOUT
Wenceel Perez RFOUT
Will Vest RPOUT
Justin Verlander SPOUT
Los Angeles Dodgers
PlayerStatus
Justin Wrobleski SPOUT
Roki Sasaki SPOUT
Gavin Stone SPOUT
Will Smith COUT
Jake Cousins RPOUT
Andy Pages CFOUT
Edwin Diaz RPOUT
Will Klein RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Detroit Tigers — where the money went

Since betting opened on Los Angeles Dodgers at Detroit Tigers, the market has moved away from Detroit Tigers across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Moneyline — Detroit Tigers▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — Los Angeles Dodgers▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Detroit Tigers▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Detroit Tigers 1.5▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — Los Angeles Dodgers▲ Money came for this
Spread — Detroit Tigers 1.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

The umpire factor

Home-plate umpire: Nestor Ceja. His games average 8.7 total runs against a league average of 8.9.

8.7
Runs in his games
8.9
League average

Nestor Ceja called this game behind the plate. Across 176 games his days at the park bring a little less scoring than most.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Detroit Tigers — model preview

Our Los Angeles Dodgers at Detroit Tigers prediction for August 29, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 29, 2026 our model has run Los Angeles Dodgers at Detroit Tigers and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Over 7.5 Total Runs (-110), which we rate LEAN confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Detroit Tigers in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Dodgers vs Tigers, or as Tigers vs Dodgers. The most recent game between them was Friday 28 August 2026 at Comerica Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 2 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

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