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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Javier Baez is Over 0.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs.
On the Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs market the model assigns a model win probability of 75%, versus the book's implied 58%, for a model edge of +17.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:31PM UTC
MLB

Javier Baez

DET

+17.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 0.5 -139 (1.72)
+17.0% Edge
Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners
T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington · Indoor
Sun 5 Oct, 12:38AM
OUT
Baez (ankle) will embark on a rehab assignment with Single-A Lakeland on Tuesday, Jesse Rogers of ESPN.com reports.
updated Jul 20, 10:24PM UTC
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Model Probability
75.1%
Implied Probability
58.1%
Model Edge
+17.0%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs75.1%58.1%1.33+17.0%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games5/5
Last 10 games10/10

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AI Analysis

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Javier Baez (DET) Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-139)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Javier Baez's bet for Over 0.5 in the Batter Hits Runs RBIs market is a good choice considering his recent performance and current hitting streak. His last five games show a consistent hitting average of 0.8, both overall and away, suggesting a high likelihood of getting a hit. Moreover, Baez's current hit streak stands at 4 games overall, indicating a good form. Furthermore, when playing against the Mariners, Baez's Hits, Runs, and RBIs averages are impressive, standing at 1.2, 0.4, and 1.2 respectively. These statistics suggest that Baez performs well against this particular opponent. Therefore, based on his current form and past performance against the Mariners, there is a strong chance that Baez will hit Over 0.5 in the Batter Hits Runs RBIs market.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
0.8avg hits · L5
Streak4L2065%
O 0.570%
O 1.510%

Javier Baez MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games; averaging 0.8 hits over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.8avg total bases · L5

Javier Baez MLB total bases: averaging 0.8 total bases over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
1.2avg H+R+RBI · L5
Streak4L2065%

Javier Baez MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games; averaging 1.2 H+R+RBI over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
0.8avg singles · L5
Streak4L2060%

Javier Baez MLB singles: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games; averaging 0.8 singles over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Javier Baez MLB walksseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Javier Baez (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Javier Baez is Over 0.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.0% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners on Sunday 5 October at T-Mobile Park, Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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