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The latest Bet Better model pick for Spencer Torkelson is Under 1.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On the Batter - Runs Scored market the model assigns a model win probability of 88%, versus the book's implied 70%, for a model edge of +18.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 20, 3:50AM UTC
MLB

Spencer Torkelson

DET

+18.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored Under 1.5 -233 (1.43)
+18.4% Edge
Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels
Angel Stadium, Anaheim, California · Outdoor
Sun 19 Jul, 8:07PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
88.3%
Implied Probability
69.9%
Model Edge
+18.4%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Runs Scored88.3%—69.9%1.13+18.4%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

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Spencer Torkelson (DET) Under 1.5 Runs Scored (-233)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Angels host the Tigers, all eyes should be on Spencer Torkelson, particularly when considering the 'Under 1.5' runs scored. Torkelson's recent form has been a mixed bag, struggling against left-handed pitching, which is relevant with Angels' starter on the mound. The young slugger has only managed to cross the plate in about one-third of his games this season, and with the Angels' bullpen tightening up as the season progresses, scoring opportunities may dwindle. Detroit's offense has been underwhelming lately, averaging just over three runs per game in their last stretch. Combine this with the Angels’ strong home defense and you have a recipe for a low-scoring day. Given Torkelson’s lack of production against solid pitching and the Tigers' recent struggles at the plate, betting the under on his runs scored feels like a savvy play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.543%

Spencer Torkelson MLB hitsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.529%

Spencer Torkelson MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.543%
O 1.514%
O 2.514%
O 3.514%

Spencer Torkelson MLB hits + runs + rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.514%

Spencer Torkelson MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.514%
O 1.514%

Spencer Torkelson MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.514%

Spencer Torkelson MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Jul 26 Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - Runs Scored 1.5 Under -233 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 26 Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -152 ✗ MISS
19 Jul 26 Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -278 ✓ HIT
10 Jul 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending

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About This Player

Spencer Torkelson (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Spencer Torkelson is Under 1.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.4% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles Angels on Sunday 19 July at Angel Stadium, Anaheim. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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