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Model picks & player props
Colorado Rockies
VS
Detroit Tigers

Colorado Rockies vs Detroit Tigers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 12, 4:17AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Comerica Park, Detroit
Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep 2026, 5:10PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Detroit Tigers -1.5 Spread +129

The model graded 20 markets for Colorado Rockies vs Detroit Tigers (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $229 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 12 Sep 2026, 5:10PM at Comerica Park.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win61.6%
The price says43.7%
Best price+129
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Detroit Tigers -1.5 High62% chance +129
Spread Long-shot29% chance
Moneyline High69% chance
Spread Long-shot18% chance
Total Runs Lean51% chance
Total Runs Long-shot23% chance
Spread Long-shot5% chance
Total Runs Long-shot19% chance
Total Runs Long-shot28% chance
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Detroit Tigers are the model's favourite to beat Colorado Rockies, with a 69% chance to win. Predicted score: Detroit Tigers 6.4 – Colorado Rockies 3. Kick-off Sat 12 Sep, 5:10PM at Comerica Park. Best bet: Detroit Tigers -1.5 at +129.
How they've been scoring this season
Colorado RockiesDetroit Tigers
Won-lost55-9167-79
Runs scored per game4.74.4
Runs allowed per game5.84.0
On the road / at home25-50 away36-36 at home
Last 5 gamesWLLLLWLWLW
Their games average 9.4 total runs this season.
From the 146 Colorado Rockies and 146 Detroit Tigers games on our books this season.
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Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 23 bookmakers compared
Winner
Rockies2.46+146FanDuel
Detroit Tigers1.67-150Kalshi
Total runs
Over8.52.00+100ESPN BET
Under8.51.96-104Kalshi

Colorado Rockies vs Detroit Tigers odds by bookmaker

23 books · best price in green
BookRockies winDetroit Tigers winDetroit Tigers -1.5Over 8.5Under 8.5
Bally Bet2.38+1381.60-1671.88-1141.93-108
BetMGM2.45+1451.57-1752.25+1251.95-1051.87-115
betPARX2.38+1381.60-1671.88-1141.93-108
BetRivers2.38+1381.61-1641.88-1141.93-108
Bovada2.45+1451.56-1792.30+1301.87-1151.95-105
DraftKings2.42+1421.58-1722.24+124
ESPN BET2.45+1451.59-1692.30+1302.00+1001.83-120
Fanatics2.35+1351.61-1642.25+1252.00+1001.83-120
FanDuel2.46+1461.57-1752.28+1281.87-1151.95-105
Kalshi2.44+1441.67-1502.33+1331.96-1041.96-104
MyBookie2.42+1421.59-1692.19+1191.95-1051.86-116
PlayUp2.35+1351.60-1672.20+1201.88-1141.90-111
PointsBet2.40+1401.59-1692.30+1301.90-1111.90-111
Polymarket2.41+1411.71-1412.38+1382.00+1002.00+100

Since the market opened: Detroit Tigers to win opened 1.61, best now 1.71; the over 8.5 opened 1.91, best now 2.00 (decimal, best book).

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 27 of 145 right (mlb batter home runs overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 10
Cam Smith Over 0.5
Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Detroit Tigers
-1.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market sharpened toward Detroit Tigers on this game.

Line movement

▲ moved toward Detroit Tigers
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Polymarket
on Colorado Rockies
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro

Closing line

Snapshot logged
We store the closing number to grade every pick's CLV.
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Colorado Rockies

  • Sean Sullivan SPOut
  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Kyle Freeland SPOut
  • Willi Castro 2BOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Mason Adams SP

Detroit Tigers

  • Jack Flaherty SPOut
  • Wenceel Perez RFOut
  • Keider Montero SPDay-to-day
  • Matt Vierling CFOut
  • Kerry Carpenter RFOut
  • Will Vest RPOut
  • Justin Verlander SPOut
  • Burch Smith RPOut
  • Bailey Horn RPOut
  • Parker Meadows CFOut
  • Trey Sweeney SSOut
  • Reese Olson SPOut

Probable pitcher

Framber Valdez SP
Availability updated Sep 11, 10:40PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Colorado Rockies vs Detroit Tigers: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 22 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability22 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

The plate umpire

Behind the plate: Ron Kulpa. Games he has called average 8.9 runs across 18 games on record — the league average this season is 9.2. Full umpire record →

Betting angles

3 markets live
Run LineDetroit Tigers run line-1.5 +129
62%cover %
+3.3proj. margin
L5 RF1.4L5 RA0.4Home L52-3vs Colorado Rockies L54-1

Detroit Tigers spread vs Colorado Rockies is live and our model makes it 62% (LEAN); proj. margin +3.3.

MoneylineDetroit Tigers to win-164
69%model win %
3-2L5 record
L5 RF1.4L5 RA0.4Home L52-3vs Colorado Rockies L54-1

Detroit Tigers moneyline vs Colorado Rockies is live and our model makes it 69% (HIGH); L5 record 3-2.

Total RunsGame total · Detroit Tigers vs Colorado RockiesOver 8 -115
51%over %
9.4proj. runs
L5 RF1.4L5 RA0.4Home L52-3vs Colorado Rockies L54-1

Detroit Tigers total runs vs Colorado Rockies is live and our model makes it 51% (LEAN); proj. runs 9.4.

Team Total RunsDetroit Tigers team totalNo line posted
1.1runs we expect
L5 RF1.4L5 RA0.4Home L52-3vs Colorado Rockies L54-1

Detroit Tigers team total runs form: last five 3-2, 1.4 runs/gm.

Colorado Rockies @ Detroit Tigers — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Colorado Rockies at Detroit Tigers — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Colorado Rockies vs Detroit Tigers — recent results

Detroit Tigers have won 3 of their last 5 games; Colorado Rockies have won 1 of their last 5.

Detroit Tigers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–2MINHome
L2–3MINHome
W5–4MINHome
L2–3CLEAway
W6–0CLEAway
Colorado Rockies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–10NYYAway
L1–6NYYAway
L3–5NYYAway
W10–7STLHome
L8–10STLHome

Colorado Rockies vs Detroit Tigers — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Detroit Tigers are scoring 2.6 runs per game (4-1) while Colorado Rockies are at 2.8 (3-2); Detroit Tigers pitchers are allowing 0.4 earned runs per game versus 1.4 for Colorado Rockies.

2.6
Detroit Tigers runs/G
2.8
Colorado Rockies runs/G
Last 5 gamesDetroit TigersColorado Rockies
Runs / game2.62.8
Hits / game3.82.2
Home runs / game0.80.4
Walks drawn / game1.40.4
Batter K / game3.61.8
Earned runs allowed / game0.41.4
Pitching K / game1.21.8
Walks allowed / game0.40.4
L5 record4-13-2

Colorado Rockies vs Detroit Tigers — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Detroit Tigers won 1, Colorado Rockies won 1.

DateDetroit TigersColorado RockiesWinner
Mar 2456Colorado Rockies
Mar 24118Detroit Tigers

Who’s out or in doubt

22 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Detroit Tigers
PlayerStatus
Jack Flaherty SPOUT
Wenceel Perez RFOUT
Keider Montero SPDAY-TO-DAY
Matt Vierling CFOUT
Kerry Carpenter RFOUT
Will Vest RPOUT
Justin Verlander SPOUT
Burch Smith RPOUT
Colorado Rockies
PlayerStatus
Sean Sullivan SPOUT
Jose Quintana SPOUT
Kyle Freeland SPOUT
Willi Castro 2BOUT
Chase Dollander SPOUT
Welinton Herrera RPOUT
McCade Brown SPOUT
RJ Petit RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Colorado Rockies @ Detroit Tigers — where the money went

Since betting opened on Colorado Rockies at Detroit Tigers, the market has moved toward Detroit Tigers across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Spread — Detroit Tigers -1.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Colorado Rockies 1.5▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — Colorado Rockies▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — Detroit Tigers▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

Colorado Rockies @ Detroit Tigers — model preview

Our Colorado Rockies at Detroit Tigers prediction for September 12, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On September 12, 2026 our model has run Colorado Rockies at Detroit Tigers and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Detroit Tigers vs Colorado Rockies: Detroit Tigers +1 (-286), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Colorado Rockies vs Detroit Tigers in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Rockies vs Tigers, or as Tigers vs Rockies. The next scheduled game is Saturday 12 September 2026 at Comerica Park. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 10 meetings on record
Detroit Tigers 6–4 across the last 10 meetings · these games average 11.8 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
24 Mar 2026Detroit Tigers @ Colorado Rockies6–5Colorado Rockies
23 Mar 2026Detroit Tigers @ Colorado Rockies6–5Colorado Rockies
8 May 2025Detroit Tigers @ Colorado Rockies2–10Detroit Tigers
7 May 2025Detroit Tigers @ Colorado Rockies6–8Detroit Tigers
12 Sep 2024Colorado Rockies @ Detroit Tigers2–4Colorado Rockies
11 Sep 2024Colorado Rockies @ Detroit Tigers7–4Detroit Tigers
10 Sep 2024Colorado Rockies @ Detroit Tigers11–0Detroit Tigers
2 Jul 2023Detroit Tigers @ Colorado Rockies9–14Detroit Tigers
1 Jul 2023Detroit Tigers @ Colorado Rockies2–4Detroit Tigers
30 Jun 2023Detroit Tigers @ Colorado Rockies8–5Colorado Rockies
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