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MLB

Gavin Williams

CLE

+1.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 1.5 -1429 (1.07)
+1.9% Edge
Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians
Progressive Field, Cleveland
Tue 30 Sep, 5:08PM
Model Probability
95.3%
Implied Probability
93.5%
Model Edge
+1.9%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Gavin Williams (CLE) Over 1.5 Hits Allowed (-1429)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The rationale for betting on Gavin Williams for Over 1.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is based on his consistent performance data. On average, Williams has allowed 4.6 hits overall and 5 hits at home in his last five appearances. Even when facing the Detroit Tigers, his hits allowed average remains high at 4.5. Furthermore, his innings pitched and outs averages suggest he's on the mound long enough for the opposition to capitalize. His current hit streak both overall and at home also supports this bet. The consistent pattern of allowing more than 1.5 hits, regardless of location or opponent, indicates a high probability of this trend continuing. Therefore, betting over 1.5 for Williams' hits allowed is statistically justified.

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Pick History & Track Record

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