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Gavin Williams

CLE

Value call

Gavin Williams has one live pick today: over 1.5 walks allowed that pays $204 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
67 in 100
Predicted
2.5 walks allowed
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 66.8% · before adjusting for past results 70.5% · the book's price implies 49.0% · gap +17.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Tampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians
Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio · Outdoor
Thu 15 Oct, 6:00 PM ET
Gavin Williams
over 1.5 walks allowed
Pitcher - Walks Over 1.5 +104 (2.04) · $100→$204
Value call
HIGHWins about 67 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$20.40 Odds+104
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Gavin Williams is Over 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On Pitcher - Walks, our numbers say this bet wins about 67 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 67%, the price says 49%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 2:06AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks70.5%66.8%49.0%1.50+21.5%

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AI Analysis

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Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays: Gavin Williams Over 1.5 Pitcher - Walks (+104)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Gavin Williams has been pretty solid on the mound, but the Tampa Bay Rays know how to make pitchers work hard. They have a really disciplined approach and don't swing at bad pitches, which could lead to Williams giving up some walks. Plus, the Guardians have been on a roll lately, winning 8 of their last 10 games, so they'll be looking to keep the momentum going. Betting on over 1.5 walks seems like a smart move here. Williams might find himself in tough spots against a team that walks less than most, but he could still struggle with command. Just keep in mind, if he gets into trouble early, he might not have a long outing to rack up those walks.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
15 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians Pitcher - Outs 16.5 Under -106 ✓ HIT
15 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians Pitcher - Earned Runs 1.5 Over +107 ✓ HIT
15 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians Pitcher - Walks — — — Pending
15 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending
15 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Gavin Williams (CLE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Gavin Williams is Over 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.5% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians on Thursday 15 October at Progressive Field, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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