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The latest Bet Better model pick for Gavin Williams is Under 17.5 on Pitcher - Outs.
On Pitcher - Outs, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 73%, the price says 50%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 BBlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 1.50 Hlanded 9 of the last 10
Over 1.50 SOlanded 9 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 20, 6:44AM UTC
MLB

Gavin Williams

CLE

Value call

Gavin Williams has one live pick today: Pitcher - Outs Under 17.5 that pays $202 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Outs Under 17.5 +102 (2.02) · $100→$202
Value call
Athletics @ Cleveland Guardians
Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio · Outdoor
Sun 20 Sep, 5:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 72 of 119 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
15.2 Pitcher - Outs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 72.9% · the book's price implies 49.5% · gap +23.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Outs72.9%—49.5%1.37+23.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Cleveland Guardians vs Athletics: Gavin Williams Under 17.5 Pitcher - Outs (+102)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

The Cleveland Guardians have been on a roll lately, winning four of their last six games and six of their last eight at home. Gavin Williams will be pitching, and while he has potential, facing a team like the Athletics can be tricky. The Guardians' recent hitting form means they can put pressure on him, which could affect how long he stays on the mound. Betting on Gavin Williams to record under 17.5 outs is a solid choice. Our numbers suggest there's a good chance of this happening. The biggest risk here is that the Athletics could put up a tough fight, making it hard for him to stay under that mark.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)

Gavin Williams's lines for Sun 20 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Pitcher Outs 17.5
-120 best over price · 10 books

Gavin Williams's pitcher outs line is 17.5, best over price -120 across 10 books.

Pitcher Strikeouts 6.5

Gavin Williams's pitcher strikeouts line is 6.5.

Pitcher Strikeouts 7.5

Gavin Williams's pitcher strikeouts line is 7.5.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Gavin Williams is averaging 4.6 hits, 0.8 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

4.6
Hits
0.8
HR
0.0
RBI
2.8
Runs
2.4
Walks
5.2
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Gavin Williams has gone over 4.5 SO in 10% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o4.510%
o5.510%
o6.50%
o7.50%
o8.50%
o9.50%
o10.50%
o11.50%
o12.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Gavin Williams is averaging 4.6 hits per game over his last 5 and 5.0 in home games, including his recent form against DET.

4.6
Hits · Overall
5.0
Hits · Home
4.5
Hits · vs DET
0.8
HR · Overall
0.6
HR · Home
0.5
HR · vs DET
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Sep 26 Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under +121 ✗ MISS
14 Sep 26 Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians Pitcher - Outs 17.5 Under -110 ✓ HIT
14 Sep 26 Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians Pitcher - Strikeouts 7.5 Under +121 ✓ HIT
14 Sep 26 Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians Pitcher - Earned Runs — — — Pending
14 Sep 26 Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending
26 Aug 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Angels Pitcher - Hits Allowed — — — Pending

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About This Player

Gavin Williams (CLE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Gavin Williams is Under 17.5 on Pitcher - Outs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +23.4% on this pick. Their next game is Athletics vs Cleveland Guardians on Sunday 20 September at Progressive Field, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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