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Gavin Williams

CLE

Value call

Gavin Williams has one live pick today: over 14.5 outs recorded that pays $184 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
57 in 100
Predicted
16.0 outs recorded
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 57.5% · before adjusting for past results 63.6% · the book's price implies 54.3% · gap +3.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians
Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio · Outdoor
Sat 10 Oct, 8:00 PM ET
Gavin Williams
over 14.5 outs recorded
Pitcher - Outs Over 14.5 -119 (1.84) · $100→$184
Value call
LEANWins about 57 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.40 Odds-119
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Gavin Williams is Over 14.5 on Pitcher - Outs.
On Pitcher - Outs, our numbers say this bet wins about 57 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 57%, the price says 54%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 8:27AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 140 of 242 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Outs63.6%57.5%54.3%1.74+9.2%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

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AI Analysis

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Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox: Gavin Williams Over 14.5 Pitcher - Outs (-119)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Gavin Williams has been strong on the mound for the Cleveland Guardians, and he's coming off a good stretch of games. The Guardians have won 8 of their last 10 and are playing well at home in Progressive Field. With their staff striking out more batters than the league average, Williams has a solid chance to go over 14.5 outs today. On the other hand, the Chicago White Sox have also been hitting well, scoring an average of 4.8 runs per game this season. While both teams are in good form, the risk is that the White Sox could put pressure on Williams early. Still, with the way he has been pitching, this bet looks promising.

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Pick History & Track Record

Gavin Williams's lines for Sun 11 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Pitcher Outs 14.5
-120 best over price · 5 booksHow many strikeouts does Gavin Williams average?

Gavin Williams's pitcher outs line is 14.5, best over price -120 across 5 books.

Pitcher Earned Runs 1.5
+145 best over price · 5 booksHow many strikeouts does Gavin Williams average?

Gavin Williams's pitcher earned runs line is 1.5, best over price +145 across 5 books.

Pitcher Walks 1.5
How many strikeouts does Gavin Williams average?

Gavin Williams's pitcher walks line is 1.5.

Pitcher Hits Allowed 2.5
-164 best over price · 4 booksHow many strikeouts does Gavin Williams average?

Gavin Williams's pitcher hits allowed line is 2.5, best over price -164 across 4 books.

Betting angles

4 markets live
Pitcher - Hits AllowedUpcoming vs CWSO 2.5 -123
Game log vs O 2.57 / 7 hit
3746554

Gavin Williams MLB hits allowed vs CWS. Current line O 2.5 at -123.

Pitcher - WalksUpcoming vs CWSO 1.5 -132
Game log vs O 1.56 / 6 hit
243443

Gavin Williams MLB walks vs CWS. Current line O 1.5 at -132.

Pitcher - Earned RunsUpcoming vs CWSO 1.5 +138
Game log vs O 1.56 / 6 hit
252442

Gavin Williams MLB earned runs vs CWS. Current line O 1.5 at +138.

Pitcher - OutsUpcoming vs CWSO 14.5 -119
Game log vs O 14.53 / 5 hit
1521101015

Gavin Williams MLB outs vs CWS. Current line O 14.5 at -119.

Quick answers:How many strikeouts does Gavin Williams average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Oct 26 Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Over -141 ✓ HIT
05 Oct 26 Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians Pitcher - Hits Allowed 3.5 Over +123 ✓ HIT
05 Oct 26 Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending
05 Oct 26 Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians Pitcher - Outs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Gavin Williams (CLE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Gavin Williams is Over 14.5 on Pitcher - Outs. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.2% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians on Saturday 10 October at Progressive Field, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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