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Patrick Bailey

MLB

+19.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Batter - Hits Under 1.5 -263 (1.38)
+19.8% Edge
Philadelphia Phillies @ San Francisco Giants
Oracle Park, San Francisco
Wed 8 Apr, 1:45AM
Model Probability
92.2%
Implied Probability
72.5%
Model Edge
+19.8%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Patrick Bailey (NA) Under 1.5 Hits (-263)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we gear up for this matchup between the Giants and Phillies, eyes are on Patrick Bailey, but betting the under on his hits could be wise. Bailey has faced a rocky start to the season, managing just a handful of hits during the first week, and the Phillies’ pitching staff is no walk in the park. With ace Aaron Nola on the mound, who has historically kept hitters like Bailey in check, this could spell trouble for our young catcher. Moreover, San Francisco's lineup has struggled against right-handed pitching recently, highlighting a trend that suggests run production might be stifled. With the Giants averaging under four runs per game in their last few outings, the chances for Bailey to rack up two hits seem slim. Given these factors, it’s hard to see him breaking the 1.5 hit mark tonight, making the under a compelling play as we watch the game unfold.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (1 picks) 100.0% (1/1)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Apr 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ San Francisco Giants Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -263 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Patrick Bailey is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. Across 1 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (1/1). The latest model pick for Patrick Bailey is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.8% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Phillies vs San Francisco Giants on Wednesday 8 April at Oracle Park, San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.