Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Patrick Bailey is Under 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On the Batter - Runs Scored market the model assigns a model win probability of 77%, versus the book's implied 68%, for a model edge of +9.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:35PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored
Under 0.5
-208 (1.48) · $100→$148
+9.5% Edge
Cleveland Guardians
@
Chicago White Sox
Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago, Illinois · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 6:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
67.6%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - Runs Scored | 77.1% | — | 67.6% | 1.30 | +9.5% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 1/3 |
| Last 5 games | 2/5 |
| Last 10 games | 5/10 |
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Patrick Bailey Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-208)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Chicago White Sox play Cleveland Guardians in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Patrick Bailey Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-208). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at -208 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.81 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formBatter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted Patrick Bailey MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted Patrick Bailey MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted Patrick Bailey MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted Patrick Bailey MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.5 · hi 1 · lo 0
Patrick Bailey MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted Patrick Bailey MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted Patrick Bailey MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.
Patrick Bailey is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Patrick Bailey is Under 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.5% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox on Sunday 9 August at Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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