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Model picks & player props
Cleveland Guardians
VS
Cincinnati Reds

Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds Picks & Predictions

Our model graded 70 markets for Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds and backs Cincinnati Reds -2.5 hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $500.

MLB
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Outdoor
Wed 29 Jul 2026, 11:10PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Cincinnati Reds -2.5 Spread +400

The model graded 70 markets for Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $500 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 29 Jul 2026, 11:10PM at Great American Ball Park.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win39.1%
The price says20.0%
Best price+400
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Cincinnati Reds -2.5 Long-shot39% chance +400
Spread Members only Lean43% chance Members
Moneyline Members only High62% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean50% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Long-shot26% chance Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 4 props Highup to 89% Members
Batter - Walks × 13 props Highup to 95% Members
Pitcher - Earned Runs × 2 props Highup to 75% Members
Pitcher - Walks × 1 prop Highup to 77% Members
Batter - Singles × 5 props Highup to 88% Members
Batter - RBIs × 8 props Highup to 91% Members
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 2 props Highup to 78% Members
Batter - Runs Scored × 6 props Highup to 80% Members
Batter - Stolen Bases × 3 props Highup to 97% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Cleveland Guardians and Cincinnati Reds last met on Wed 29 Jul 2026: Cleveland Guardians won 6-1. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Cincinnati Reds
+3
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Cleveland Guardians

  • Colin Holderman RPOut
  • Rhys Hoskins 1BOut
  • Andrew Walters RPOut

Probable pitcher

Gavin Williams SP

Cincinnati Reds

  • Spencer Steer 1BOut
  • Dane Myers CFOut
  • Tony Santillan RPOut
  • Chase Burns SPOut
  • Julian Garcia RPOut
  • Blake Dunn CFOut
  • Hunter Greene SPOut
Availability updated Oct 5, 9:00PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 10 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability10 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Patrick Bailey Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Tyler Stephenson CIN Batter - Walks
Sal Stewart Batter - Walks
Brady Singer CIN Pitcher - Earned Runs
Brady Singer CIN Pitcher - Walks

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineCincinnati RedsNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF3.8L5 RA4.8Home L53-2vs Cleveland Guardians L52-3

Cincinnati Reds moneyline form: last five 2-3, 3.8 runs/gm.

Run LineCincinnati Reds run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF3.8L5 RA4.8Home L53-2vs Cleveland Guardians L52-3

Cincinnati Reds spread form: last five 2-3, 3.8 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland GuardiansNo line posted

Cincinnati Reds total runs form: last five 2-3, 3.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsCincinnati Reds team totalNo line posted
3.9runs we expect
L5 RF3.8L5 RA4.8Home L53-2vs Cleveland Guardians L52-3

Cincinnati Reds team total runs form: last five 2-3, 3.8 runs/gm.

Cleveland Guardians @ Cincinnati Reds — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Cleveland Guardians at Cincinnati Reds — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds — recent results

Cincinnati Reds have won 2 of their last 5 games; Cleveland Guardians have won 3 of their last 5.

Cincinnati Reds — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–5TORAway
W5–1TORAway
L5–6TORAway
W7–6ATLAway
L2–3ATLAway
Cleveland Guardians — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L0–3CHWHome
L2–3KCAway
W11–5KCAway
W12–9KCAway
W1–0BOSAway

Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Cincinnati Reds are scoring 3.8 runs per game (3-2) while Cleveland Guardians are at 3.0 (2-3); Cincinnati Reds pitchers are allowing 3.6 earned runs per game versus 3.0 for Cleveland Guardians.

3.8
Cincinnati Reds runs/G
3.0
Cleveland Guardians runs/G
Last 5 gamesCincinnati RedsCleveland Guardians
Runs / game3.83.0
Hits / game6.64.8
Home runs / game1.20.6
Walks drawn / game1.81.4
Batter K / game3.85.2
Earned runs allowed / game3.63.0
Pitching K / game3.83.2
Walks allowed / game1.60.2
L5 record3-22-3

Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds — recent meetings

These two have met 9 times recently: Cincinnati Reds won 2, Cleveland Guardians won 7.

DateCincinnati RedsCleveland GuardiansWinner
Jul 2916Cleveland Guardians
Jul 2820Cincinnati Reds
Jul 2856Cleveland Guardians
May 17310Cleveland Guardians
May 1647Cleveland Guardians
May 1576Cincinnati Reds
Mar 2228Cleveland Guardians
Mar 1868Cleveland Guardians
Feb 2124Cleveland Guardians

Who’s out or in doubt

10 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Cincinnati Reds
PlayerStatus
Spencer Steer 1BOUT
Dane Myers CFOUT
Tony Santillan RPOUT
Chase Burns SPOUT
Julian Garcia RPOUT
Blake Dunn CFOUT
Hunter Greene SPOUT
Cleveland Guardians
PlayerStatus
Colin Holderman RPOUT
Rhys Hoskins 1BOUT
Andrew Walters RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Cleveland Guardians @ Cincinnati Reds — model preview

Winning baseball bets for Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians? We break down odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Steven Kwan. Explore MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians stats and odds.

Steven Kwan (CLE) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-196)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Guardians vs Reds, or as Reds vs Guardians. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 29 July 2026 at Great American Ball Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds head-to-head record

Final scores · 32 meetings on record
Cleveland Guardians 17–15 across the last 32 meetings · these games average 8.5 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Wed 29 Jul 2026, Cleveland Guardians at Cincinnati Reds: the Guardians won 6-1.

DateGameScoreWinner
29 Jul 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Cincinnati Reds1–6Cleveland Guardians
28 Jul 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Cincinnati Reds2–0Cincinnati Reds
17 May 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Cleveland Guardians10–3Cleveland Guardians
16 May 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Cleveland Guardians7–4Cleveland Guardians
15 May 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Cleveland Guardians6–7Cincinnati Reds
22 Mar 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Cleveland Guardians8–2Cleveland Guardians
18 Mar 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Cincinnati Reds6–8Cleveland Guardians
17 Mar 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Cincinnati Reds6–8Cleveland Guardians
21 Feb 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Cleveland Guardians4–2Cleveland Guardians
11 Jun 2025Cincinnati Reds @ Cleveland Guardians11–2Cleveland Guardians

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 32 meetings on file.

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