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The latest Bet Better model pick for Chase DeLauter is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 73%, versus the book's implied 61%, for a model edge of +11.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 9:10AM UTC
MLB

Chase DeLauter

MLB

+11.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -159 (1.63)
+11.3% Edge
Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians
Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio · Outdoor
Mon 20 Jul, 10:40PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
72.7%
Implied Probability
61.3%
Model Edge
+11.3%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases72.7%—61.3%1.38+11.3%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Chase DeLauter (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-159)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we dive into the matchup between the Cleveland Guardians and the Minnesota Twins, the spotlight shines on Chase DeLauter. While he’s shown flashes of talent, recent trends suggest that he might struggle to find his rhythm tonight. The Guardians’ offense has been inconsistent lately, averaging just over three runs per game against right-handed pitchers. This doesn’t bode well for DeLauter, especially with Twins starter Sonny Gray on the mound. Gray has been a force, boasting a 2.85 ERA and limiting hitters to a .193 batting average. With the Guardians' recent woes at the plate and Gray’s ability to neutralize left-handed bats, it seems likely that DeLauter could be contained to just one total base, if that. Given all these factors, betting the under on DeLauter’s total bases feels like the prudent move in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
L2050%
O 0.550%
O 1.510%

Chase DeLauter MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.530%
O 2.520%
O 3.510%

Chase DeLauter MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Chase DeLauter MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
Streak2L2075%
O 0.570%
O 1.550%

Chase DeLauter MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%
O 1.510%

Chase DeLauter MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
O 0.550%
O 1.520%

Chase DeLauter MLB runs scored: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Jul 26 Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -159 ✗ MISS
09 Jul 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Minnesota Twins Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -263 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Chase DeLauter is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Chase DeLauter is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.3% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians on Monday 20 July at Progressive Field, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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