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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jose Ramirez is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On the Batter - Stolen Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 90%, versus the book's implied 88%, for a model edge of +2.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:03PM UTC
MLB

Jose Ramirez

CLE

+2.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Stolen Bases Under 0.5 -714 (1.14)
+2.4% Edge
Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians
Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio · Outdoor
Tue 30 Sep, 5:08PM
OUT
Ramirez (hand) may not require a rehab assignment before his activation from the 10-day injured list, MLB.com reports.
updated Jul 19, 12:36PM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
90.1%
Implied Probability
87.7%
Model Edge
+2.4%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Stolen Bases90.1%—87.7%1.11+2.4%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Jose Ramirez (CLE) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-714)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Jose Ramirez for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a statistically sound choice. Ramirez's recent performance data indicates a lower likelihood of him achieving a stolen base in this game. Specifically, his last five games against the Detroit Tigers show an average of 0 stolen bases, suggesting he struggles to steal bases against this team. Furthermore, his average stolen bases in the last five home games is only 0.2, which is below the line of 0.5. His current hit streak, both overall and at home, is 0, indicating a recent slump in his performance. These statistics collectively imply a lower probability of Ramirez stealing a base in this game, making the Under 0.5 bet a smart choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
1.2avg hits · L5
L2060%
O 0.570%
O 1.540%

Jose Ramirez MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games; averaging 1.2 hits over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
2avg total bases · L5
O 1.540%
O 2.530%
O 3.510%
O 4.510%

Jose Ramirez MLB total bases: averaging 2 total bases over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.2avg home runs · L5
O 0.510%

Jose Ramirez MLB home runs: averaging 0.2 home runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
3avg H+R+RBI · L5
L2050%

Jose Ramirez MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 1.5 in 70% of the last 10 games; averaging 3 H+R+RBI over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
0.8avg singles · L5
L2055%

Jose Ramirez MLB singles: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games; averaging 0.8 singles over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - DoublesSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.2avg doubles · L5

Jose Ramirez MLB doubles: averaging 0.2 doubles over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.4avg walks · L5
O 0.520%

Jose Ramirez MLB walks: averaging 0.4 walks over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Stolen BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.6avg stolen bases · L5

Jose Ramirez MLB stolen bases: averaging 0.6 stolen bases over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jose Ramirez (CLE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jose Ramirez is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.4% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians on Tuesday 30 September at Progressive Field, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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