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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jack Buller is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 88%, versus the book's implied 75%, for a model edge of +12.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:05PM UTC
AFL

Jack Buller

Collingwood

+12.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -303 (1.33)
+12.4% Edge
Carlton Blues @ Collingwood Magpies
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 18 Jul, 9:35AM
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Model Probability
87.6%
Implied Probability
75.2%
Model Edge
+12.4%
Predicted Value
1.4 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals87.6%75.2%1.14+12.4%

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AI Analysis

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Jack Buller (Collingwood) Over 0.5 Goals (-303)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking ahead to the clash between the Collingwood Magpies and the Carlton Blues at the iconic MCG, all eyes are on Jack Buller to make a significant impact. Despite a recent quieter spell, Buller has shown flashes of brilliance in his last five home games, averaging 1 goal per game. His sharp shooting accuracy of 46.7% coupled with an average of 2.6 marks inside 50 indicates he's a key target in the forward line. With an average of 2.6 shots at goal per game, Buller consistently puts himself in scoring positions. The data suggests he's due for a breakout performance, making him a strong candidate to snag at least one goal against Carlton. Betting on Buller to score over 0.5 goals seems like a solid wager given his recent form and the opportunities he creates for himself.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Jack Buller - AFL Goals market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Collingwood Magpies Goals 0.5 Over -303 ✗ MISS
10 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Collingwood Magpies Goals 0.5 Over -370 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns Goals 0.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Jack Buller (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jack Buller is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.4% on this pick. Their next game is Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies on Saturday 18 July at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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