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AFL

Oliver Hollands

Carlton

Value call

Oliver Hollands (Carlton) has one live pick today: over 14.5 disposals that pays $155 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
60 in 100
Predicted
17.5 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 59.8% · before adjusting for past results 72.5% · the book's price implies 64.5% · gap -4.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Carlton Blues @ Geelong Cats
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Fri 4 Sep, 7:40 PM AEST
Oliver Hollands
over 14.5 disposals
Disposals Over 14.5 -182 (1.55) · $100→$155
Value call
HIGHWins about 60 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$15.50 Odds-182
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Oliver Hollands is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 60%, the price says 65%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 13, 1:07AM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 17°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.5%59.8%64.5%1.67+7.9%

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AI Analysis

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Geelong Cats vs Carlton Blues: Oliver Hollands Over 14.5 Disposals (-182)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Oliver Hollands has been in solid form lately, and he's been getting a good amount of the ball for Carlton. With the Blues winning eight of their last ten games, he has plenty of chances to rack up disposals. Carlton's style of play means they often win contested ball, which gives Hollands more opportunities to help his team move the ball forward. The bet is for him to have over 14.5 disposals against Geelong Cats. While Geelong has been a tough opponent, they do concede quite a few points and have been giving up opportunities for disposals. The main risk here is how closely matched both teams can be at times, but Hollands has shown he can find the ball when it counts.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)

Season averages (2024)

Oliver Hollands averaged 14.0 disposals, 0.2 goals and 3.8 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

14.0
Disposals
0.2
Goals
3.8
Marks
3.4
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (7 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Oliver Hollands recorded 10 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
7 Sep 24Brisbane Lions10045
25 Aug 24St Kilda21065
18 Aug 24West Coast Eagles24047
11 Aug 24Hawthorn22074
3 Aug 24Collingwood12165
26 Jul 24Port Adelaide14042
21 Jul 24North Melbourne17161
13 Jul 24Western Bulldogs16025
6 Jul 24GWS GIANTS17022
30 Jun 24Richmond7014
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues @ Geelong Cats Disposals 14.5 Over -182 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues @ Geelong Cats Disposals 13.5 Over -286 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues @ Geelong Cats Disposals 12.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues @ Geelong Cats Marks — — — Pending
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues @ Geelong Cats Disposals — — — Pending
04 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Richmond Tigers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Oliver Hollands (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Oliver Hollands is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.9% on this pick. Their next game is Carlton Blues vs Geelong Cats on Friday 4 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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