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The latest Bet Better model pick for Oliver Hollands is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 76%, versus the book's implied 63%, for a model edge of +12.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:45PM UTC
AFL

Oliver Hollands

Carlton

+12.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -172 (1.58) · $100→$158
+12.9% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Carlton Blues
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 1 Aug, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 17°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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Model Probability
76.2%
Implied Probability
63.3%
Model Edge
+12.9%
Predicted Value
18.0 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals76.2%63.3%1.31+12.9%

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AI Analysis

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Oliver Hollands (Carlton) Over 14.5 Disposals (-172)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to hit the over on disposals, Oliver Hollands from the Carlton Blues is the man to watch in their clash against the Brisbane Lions at Marvel Stadium. Hollands has been a consistent performer at home, averaging 16 disposals in his last five games. Facing the Lions in previous matchups, he has notched up an impressive 21 disposals on average. With his recent form showing a knack for getting his hands on the ball, averaging 10 kicks and 6 handballs in his last five home games, Hollands is a reliable choice to surpass the 14.5 disposals line. Add in his sound disposalefficiency of 76.2% and ability to cover the ground with 248.6 metres gained per game, and it's evident that Hollands is primed to be a key ball-mover for the Blues, making the over a strong play in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
16avg disposals recent
Season best24
Disposals last 10avg 16 · hi 24 · lo 7
7171617141222242110

Oliver Hollands has a disposals high of 24 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Aug 26 Brisbane Lions @ Carlton Blues Disposals 14.5 Over -172 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Brisbane Lions @ Carlton Blues Disposals 13.5 Over -263 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Brisbane Lions @ Carlton Blues Disposals 12.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Brisbane Lions @ Carlton Blues Disposals Pending
18 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals Pending
18 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Oliver Hollands (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Oliver Hollands is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.9% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Blues on Saturday 1 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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