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The latest Bet Better model pick for Oliver Hollands is Over 12.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 87%, versus the book's implied 81%, for a model edge of +5.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:06PM UTC
AFL

Oliver Hollands

Carlton

+5.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 12.5 -435 (1.23)
+5.5% Edge
Carlton Blues @ Collingwood Magpies
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 18 Jul, 9:35AM
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Model Probability
86.8%
Implied Probability
81.3%
Model Edge
+5.5%
Predicted Value
18.0 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals86.8%—81.3%1.15+5.5%

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AI Analysis

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Oliver Hollands (Carlton) Over 12.5 Disposals (-435)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Oliver Hollands' recent form, it's clear he's been a midfield maestro on the road, consistently racking up disposals like loose change. Averaging 18 disposals per away game over his last five outings, he's been a ball magnet, making the footy his own personal dance partner. Against Collingwood, he's even more lethal, averaging 16 disposals in their recent matchups. With a high disposalefficiency of 79.1% and a knack for finding space with 334 metres gained per game, Hollands is a prime candidate to dominate the stat sheet. His current hit streak of 16 away games and an impressive 19 out of 20 hit rate overall further solidify his case for surpassing the 12.5 disposal line. Locking in the Over on Hollands feels like snagging a goal from the goal square – a sure bet in this clash at the MCG.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
16avg disposals recent
Season best24
Disposals last 10avg 16 · hi 24 · lo 7
7171617141222242110

Oliver Hollands has a disposals high of 24 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 12.5 Over -435 ✗ MISS
18 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 11.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 13.5 Over -278 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals — — — Pending
04 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Richmond Tigers Disposals — — — Pending
04 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Richmond Tigers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Oliver Hollands (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Oliver Hollands is Over 12.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.5% on this pick. Their next game is Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies on Saturday 18 July at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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