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Model picks & player props
NCAAF
Sat 24 Oct 2026, 10:00 PM ET
North Dakota State Bison
VS
New Mexico Lobos

North Dakota State Bison vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 15 markets for North Dakota State Bison vs New Mexico Lobos and backs Over 39.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $193.

6
Game markets graded
9
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Over 39.5 total points
Over 39.5 Total Points
You bet$10 If it wins$19.26Best price-108
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win46.9%
The price says50.2%

The model graded 15 markets for North Dakota State Bison vs New Mexico Lobos (NCAAF) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $193 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 24 Oct 2026, 10:00 PM ET.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Points Over 39.5 Lean47% chance -108
Total Points Members only Lean47% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean45% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean49% chance Members
Receiving Yards × 5 props Highup to 63% Members
Rushing Yards × 3 props Leanup to 58% Members
Passing Yards × 1 prop Leanup to 55% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

North Dakota State Bison and New Mexico Lobos last met on Sat 24 Oct 2026: New Mexico Lobos won 21-16. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NCAAF game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Points
Over
39.5
+ 5 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
North Dakota State BisonMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
North Dakota State BisonSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New Mexico LobosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

North Dakota State Bison

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

New Mexico Lobos

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For North Dakota State Bison vs New Mexico Lobos: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and no players are currently listed out or questionable.
FactorThis fixture
AvailabilityNone currently listed out or questionable

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Bailen George New Mexico Receiving Yards
Mekhi Collins North Dakota State Receiving Yards
Nathan Hayes North Dakota State Rushing Yards
Scottre Humphrey New Mexico Rushing Yards
Nathan Hayes North Dakota State Passing Yards

+ 9 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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North Dakota State Bison @ New Mexico Lobos — what the model found

Our model graded 15 betting markets for North Dakota State Bison at New Mexico Lobos — 6 on the game itself and 9 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

6
Game markets graded
9
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 15 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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North Dakota State Bison @ New Mexico Lobos — model preview

New Mexico Lobos v North Dakota State Bison, 25 October 2026. Top of the list: North Dakota State Bison +5 on the Line. Our model likes 6 bets in this game.

On Sunday 25 October 2026, New Mexico Lobos play North Dakota State Bison in college football. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is North Dakota State Bison +5 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

North Dakota State Bison +5 on the Line (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Sunday 25 October 2026, New Mexico Lobos host North Dakota State Bison in college football. The bet we are looking at is North Dakota State Bison 5 Point Spread. On this line North Dakota State Bison start with 5 points in hand, so they can lose by less than that and this still wins. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. That price was showing at Bovada. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for North Dakota State Bison vs New Mexico Lobos in the NCAAF. You may also see this matchup written as Bison vs Lobos, or as Lobos vs Bison. The most recent game between them was Saturday 24 October 2026. The model has generated 6 game picks and 9 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NCAAF betting strategy for this matchup.

North Dakota State Bison vs New Mexico Lobos: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 24 Oct 2026New Mexico Lobos beat North Dakota State Bison 21-16 at home

North Dakota State Bison: last 5 results

  1. 31 Oct 2026Wonvs UTEP Miners 31-7
  2. 24 Oct 2026Lostat New Mexico Lobos 16-21
  3. 17 Oct 2026Wonvs Nevada Wolf Pack 31-17
  4. 10 Oct 2026Lostat UNLV Rebels 7-13
  5. 3 Oct 2026Wonvs Wyoming Cowboys 28-0

New Mexico Lobos: last 5 results

  1. 6 Nov 2026Wonat Nevada Wolf Pack 31-3
  2. 31 Oct 2026Wonat San José State Spartans 21-16
  3. 24 Oct 2026Wonvs North Dakota State Bison 21-16
  4. 17 Oct 2026Wonat Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 21-10
  5. 3 Oct 2026Wonvs UTEP Miners 61-7

Quick answers

Who won the last New Mexico Lobos vs North Dakota State Bison game? New Mexico Lobos won their last meeting 21-16 on 24 October 2026.

How have North Dakota State Bison and New Mexico Lobos done lately? North Dakota State Bison won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 results we hold. New Mexico Lobos won 5 and lost 0 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

North Dakota State Bison vs New Mexico Lobos head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
New Mexico Lobos 1–0 across the last meeting

Last meeting: Sun 25 Oct 2026, North Dakota State Bison at New Mexico Lobos: New Mexico Lobos won 21-16.

DateGameScoreWinner
25 Oct 2026North Dakota State Bison @ New Mexico Lobos21–16New Mexico Lobos
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