Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 23.5 Rebounds + Assists (-102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Nuggets gear up to face the Suns, a compelling narrative emerges around Nikola Jokic's rebounding and assist numbers. Though he's a powerhouse, averaging nearly 12 assists and 11.8 rebounds over his last five games, the away matchup in Phoenix is tricky. Jokic's performance dips on the road, with averages falling to about 10 rebounds and 9.8 assists against this Suns squad. Considering that Phoenix has a knack for limiting opposing big men, Jokic's numbers against them historically show a decline, hitting just 10 rebounds in his last away matchup. With the total sitting at 23.5, it's hard to overlook the fact that he's gone under this mark in three of his last four games, and with a 12 out of 20 hit rate on the road, we could see him struggle to find his rhythm tonight. The under feels like a smart play here.

Ousmane Dieng (Milwaukee Bucks) Under 7.5 Rebounds + Assists (+112)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Clippers take on the Bucks, all eyes will be on Ousmane Dieng, but betting on him to go under 7.5 combined rebounds and assists feels like the savvy play. Over his last five games, Dieng has averaged just 3.6 rebounds and 1.6 assists, painting a clear picture of his recent struggles to impact the stat sheet. On the road, those numbers dip further, with averages of only 1.2 rebounds and 1.4 assists. Historically, against Milwaukee, he's managed a mere 0.4 rebounds and assists combined-hardly the kind of output that suggests he'll suddenly elevate his game tonight. With a solid hit rate of 4 out of 4 for this under in his last four games, everything aligns to suggest that taking the under on Dieng is the smart move in a tough matchup.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 10.5 Assists (+106)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

In the upcoming showdown against the Phoenix Suns, targeting Nikola Jokic for under 10.5 assists feels like a savvy move. While he typically dazzles with his playmaking, recent trends suggest a shift, especially on the road. Over his last 14 away games, he's only surpassed this mark in just over half the contests, with an average of 10.6 assists. More telling, when facing the Suns, he's averaged just 9.8 assists in their last few encounters on the road. The Suns, known for their defensive tenacity, will likely prioritize shutting down Jokic's playmaking. With expectations leaning towards around 9.5 assists, it sets the stage for an intriguing night where he might just fall short of that 10.5 mark. Considering he's hit the under in eight of his last 14 away games, betting under feels both strategic and aligned with the narrative unfolding on the court.

Malik Monk (Sacramento Kings) Under 15.5 Points (-116)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Kings prepare to face the Hornets, Malik Monk's scoring could be a tricky proposition for bettors. While he has been hot lately, averaging 17.6 points over his last five games, those numbers dip significantly when he's on the road. In fact, Monk has only managed 10.8 points per game away from Sacramento, and against Charlotte, his average drops to 11.6. Even more telling is his recent performance against them, where he's only hit 13.5 points in away matchups. With Monk's scoring under pressure from a competitive Hornets squad, it feels wise to lean towards the under on his 15.5 total. His overall hit rate shows he's been consistent, but with four straight unders on the road, the numbers suggest a regression is likely. Expect him to struggle in this matchup, making the under a compelling play.

Ousmane Dieng (Milwaukee Bucks) Under 20.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-130)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Clippers face the Bucks on March 24, Ousmane Dieng presents a compelling case for the Under on his combined points, rebounds, and assists at 20.5. Looking at his recent performance, Dieng has averaged just 11 points, 3.6 rebounds, and 1.6 assists over his last five games, which puts him well below this line. When playing away, those numbers dip even further-averaging only 8.2 points and 1.2 rebounds.In fact, his last five away games against the Bucks have seen him struggle significantly, contributing an average of just 3 points and 1.2 rebounds. With a hit rate of 5-for-5 on the Under away lately, it's clear that the environment isn't favorable for Dieng to suddenly break out. Given these trends, taking the Under on 20.5 seems like the smart move in this matchup.

Deni Avdija (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 32.5 Points + Rebounds (-130)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

In Tuesday's matchup against the Brooklyn Nets, Deni Avdija seems poised for a quieter game, making the under on his points and rebounds line of 32.5 an enticing bet. While he's had a solid run recently, averaging nearly 25 points and 7 rebounds over his last five, his home performances tell a different story. At home, he's been held to just 20 points and 6.6 rebounds per game. The Nets aren't a favorable matchup either; Deni has averaged only 17 points and 9.4 rebounds against them in recent games. With the pressure of the home crowd, he's likely to feel the weight of expectations, which can often lead to a dip in production. Moreover, he's hit this under in 11 of his last 13 games, including all four at home. It's a perfect setup for an under play; let's ride the trend and trust the numbers.

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