Today's Top NBA Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Tuesday 03/24 (Malik Monk Highlights): Stat Projections & Picks

As the Kings travel to Charlotte, all eyes will be on Malik Monk, but betting the Under on his combined points and assists might be the shrewdest play. Monk's recent form shows he averages just 17.6 points and 4 assists over his last five games, but that drops to 10.8 points and 3 assists when he's on the road. Facing his former team adds another layer; he typically scores just 11.6 points against the Hornets, with a slightly better 13.5 when playing in Charlotte. Over the last 16 matchups, Monk has hit the Under in 12 of them, and he's been on fire lately with a perfect 4-for-4 on the road. With an expected stat value of 14.89, the Under 20.5 looks not just plausible but likely. In a game where he may feel the pressure, don't expect Monk to light up the scoreboard.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 23.5 Rebounds + Assists (+100)

As the Denver Nuggets face off against the Phoenix Suns, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic. But looking at his recent away performances, there's a compelling case for taking the under on his combined rebounds and assists total of 23.5. Jokic has averaged 21.19 in these categories over the last few games, and while his overall stats are impressive, he's been less dominant on the road. His average of 10.6 assists and 15.2 rebounds is solid, yet when playing the Suns, those numbers dip to about 9.8 assists and 10 rebounds away from home. With a hit rate of just 12 out of the last 20 games on the road, the odds suggest Jokic may struggle to reach that lofty 23.5 mark against a Phoenix squad that excels in defending the paint and limiting playmakers. Taking the under here feels like a smart play.

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 12.5 Rebounds + Assists (-128)

As the Charlotte Hornets prepare to take on the Sacramento Kings, all eyes will be on Moussa Diabate. While he's shown flashes of potential, the numbers suggest that betting on him to hit the under for rebounds and assists combined at 12.5 is a savvy play. In his last five games, Diabate has averaged just 9.4 rebounds and 2.6 assists, which puts him below our target. At home, those numbers dip further-he's averaged 10.8 boards but only 1.8 assists. Historically, against the Kings, he's managed a mere 0.7 assists and 5 rebounds per game at home, with recent outings showing a hit rate of just 60% in his last five games. Given these trends, it's reasonable to expect Diabate will struggle to reach that 12.5 mark tonight, making the under an appealing option.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 10.5 Assists (+110)

As the Denver Nuggets take on the Phoenix Suns, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, but I'm leaning toward the under on his assists at 10.5. While Jokic has dazzled with his playmaking, averaging 12 assists over his last five games, this matchup presents unique challenges. On the road, he's been more subdued, averaging just 10.6 assists, and historically against the Suns, his figures dip further to around 9.8. The Suns' defense is no slouch either; they've tightened up in recent matchups, making life difficult for even elite playmakers like Jokic. With his last three games hitting the mark only two times and an away hit rate of just 57% over the last 14 games, the trends suggest he could fall short. It's a tight line, but with the way this game shapes up, I see Jokic finishing below 10.5 assists tonight.

Malik Monk (Sacramento Kings) Under 15.5 Points (-111)

As Malik Monk gears up for the matchup against his former team, the Charlotte Hornets, there's a compelling case for taking the under on his points total of 15.5. Over the last few games, Monk's scoring has fluctuated, but he's averaged just 10.8 points on the road lately. When facing the Hornets, he's tallied only around 11.6 points, which falls short of our target. Moreover, he's hit the under in four of his last four away games, and his numbers against Charlotte suggest a ceiling closer to 13.5. Given these trends, combined with the pressure of playing against familiar faces, it's reasonable to expect Monk might struggle to find his rhythm. With an expected value of just 11.36 points in this scenario, betting the under on Monk feels like a smart move.