Today's Top NBA Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Tuesday 03/17 (Myles Turner Highlights): Best Value Bets

As Mikal Bridges prepares to take the court against the Indiana Pacers, his recent home performance paints a compelling picture for those eyeing the over on his rebounds and assists at 6.5. At Madison Square Garden, Bridges has consistently stepped up, averaging 5.4 rebounds and 3.6 assists over his last five home games-well above the line we're targeting. Against the Pacers, he's averaged 4.8 rebounds and 4.2 assists at home, showcasing his ability to exploit this matchup effectively. With a hit rate of 5 for 5 at home and 11 of his last 16 overall, Bridges is not just a reliable option-he's a standout performer. The Knicks' game plan likely hinges on his versatility, making this prop bet an enticing opportunity to cash in on his contributions. Expect him to shine in front of a home crowd, clearing that 6.5 mark comfortably.

Trendon Watford (Brooklyn Nets) Over 8.5 Points (-132)

When it comes to Trendon Watford, the numbers speak volumes. In his last five games, he's been averaging an impressive 16.6 points, clearly showcasing his ability to put the ball in the basket. Even when we narrow it down to home games, he's still hitting around 14.8 points. With the Philadelphia 76ers coming to town, Watford looks like a prime candidate to exceed the 8.5-point line. Historically, he's managed to score an average of just 4 points against them, but that was before he found his scoring groove. With a recent hit rate of 100% in his last three outings and a solid 4 out of 5 at home, it's evident Watford has stepped up his game. With all factors considered, betting on Watford to go over 8.5 points feels like a smart play, especially with his expected stat value sitting at a robust 11.45.

Kevin Porter Jr. (Milwaukee Bucks) Under 5.5 Rebounds (-172)

As the Milwaukee Bucks prepare to host the Cleveland Cavaliers, all eyes will be on Kevin Porter Jr., but not in the way you might think. With a line set at 5.5 rebounds, it's hard to overlook the trend suggesting he'll fall short. Over his last five games, Porter has averaged just 3.6 rebounds overall and matches that at home. Even more telling is his historical performance against the Cavaliers, where he's managed only 2.5 boards per game-dropping to just 2 rebounds at home against them. With a hit rate of 7/7 recently, it's clear he's been kept in check, and against a Bucks team that dominates the glass, the expectation of him eclipsing that 5.5 mark feels unrealistic. The data whispers that tonight, Porter is likely to stay under the radar when it comes to rebounding-making this a savvy play to back.

Ausar Thompson (Detroit Pistons) Over 4.5 Rebounds (-139)

As the Detroit Pistons roll into Washington, all eyes should be on Ausar Thompson, particularly when it comes to grabbing boards. Averaging 5.4 rebounds in his last five away games, Thompson has shown he's more than capable of exceeding the 4.5 mark, especially against the Wizards. In fact, his recent outings against them have seen him pull down an impressive 8 rebounds on average. With a hit rate of 5 out of his last 7 games, and a perfect 3 for 3 away from home, it's clear that Thompson thrives under the spotlight. The Wizards' defense has struggled with rebounding, making this clash an ideal opportunity for Thompson to capitalize. His expected stat value sits at a robust 5.53, which suggests that hitting the over is not just possible, but likely. Don't miss out on this chance to back Thompson to dominate the glass!

Quentin Grimes (Philadelphia 76ers) Over 7.5 Rebounds + Assists (-152)

Quentin Grimes is stepping into a golden opportunity against the Denver Nuggets, and I'm all in on the over 7.5 for his combined rebounds and assists. Over his last five games, he's averaged a solid 4 rebounds and 5.8 assists-numbers that suggest he's ready to contribute significantly. When he's away from home, those averages bump up to 5.8 rebounds and 6 assists, showcasing his ability to rise to the occasion on the road.The Nuggets, while formidable, have allowed Grimes to find his rhythm, as evidenced by his 4 rebounds and 3 assists against them in previous matchups. With his current form-hitting the over in 3 of his last 4 games and a perfect 3 for 3 away-it's clear he's in sync. Expect Grimes to not only meet but exceed that 7.5 mark as he plays a crucial role in this high-stakes matchup.