Today's Top NBA Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Tuesday 03/17 (Miles Bridges Highlights): Stat Projections & Picks

As the Suns gear up to face the Timberwolves, all eyes will be on Collin Gillespie, but betting the under on his assists prop at 4.5 feels like the savvy move here. Despite his undeniable talent, Gillespie has consistently struggled to hit that mark on the road. He's managed just under 3.1 assists in recent outings, and with an impressive 100% hit rate in the last four away games, it's clear that the pressure of playing on the road has stifled his playmaking.The Timberwolves' defense will likely focus on limiting his options, forcing him into tough situations. Given his recent form, it's tough to envision him breaking the 4.5 barrier against a Minnesota squad that thrives on defensive intensity. With the odds favoring the under and a solid statistical backing, this could be the right moment to cash in on Gillespie's assist struggles.

Myles Turner (Indiana Pacers) Over 5.5 Rebounds + Assists (-154)

In the upcoming clash between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Cleveland Cavaliers, Myles Turner presents a tantalizing opportunity for the Over 5.5 in combined rebounds and assists. Although his recent averages of 3.6 rebounds and 1.2 assists may not jump off the page, let's dive a bit deeper. Turner's home averages are more promising, with 5 rebounds and 1.6 assists over his last five games. Against the Cavaliers, he's been steady, posting 4.8 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game. What's key here is his hit rate; in his last 20 home games, he's hit this mark 15 times. Given the Cavaliers' average of 5 rebounds and 2.2 assists allowed to opponents at home, Turner is well-positioned to exceed the 5.5 threshold. With an expected stat value of 7.81, you could say the stars are aligning for a big night from Turner.

Mikal Bridges (New York Knicks) Over 6.5 Rebounds + Assists (-139)

Mikal Bridges is primed to exceed 6.5 combined rebounds and assists in the Knicks' upcoming clash against the Pacers. Playing at home has been a sweet spot for Bridges; over his last five home games, he's averaged a robust 5.4 rebounds and 3.6 assists, easily surpassing our mark. The Pacers, while competitive, have struggled to contain versatile players like Bridges, allowing him to notch 4.8 rebounds and 4.2 assists against them at Madison Square Garden. Plus, his overall hit rate is impressive-11 of his last 16 games have seen him clear this threshold. The synergy of his home court advantage and the Pacers' vulnerabilities sets the stage for Bridges to thrive. At an expected stat value of 8.46, this bet feels like a solid play. So, when the lights shine on Tuesday night, don't be surprised if Bridges lights up the stat sheet again!

Jalen Green (Houston Rockets) Under 26.5 Points + Rebounds (-128)

As we gear up for the matchup between the Timberwolves and Suns, targeting Jalen Green for under 26.5 combined points and rebounds feels like a savvy play. While Green has shown flashes of brilliance, his recent averages paint a different picture-just 9.6 points and 5.2 rebounds over his last five outings. When hitting the road, those numbers climb slightly to 11.4 points and 4.2 rebounds, but even that falls short of the mark we're looking at.Against the Timberwolves, Green's past performances suggest a more muted impact, with an average of 22.4 points versus their defensive scheme. Moreover, Minnesota has been stingy against opponents at home, limiting scoring and rebounding opportunities. With an expected stat value of just 22.87, this under bet not only feels right but seems backed by a solid trend-he's hit the under in every one of his last five games. This could be a night where Green's

Sam Merrill (Cleveland Cavaliers) Under 11.5 Points + Assists (-123)

As the Bucks take on the Cavaliers, targeting Sam Merrill for under 11.5 combined points and assists feels like a savvy play. Merrill's recent form shows that he's been producing at a modest clip, averaging just 6.8 points and 1.6 assists over his last five games. When we look more closely at his away performances, those numbers dip further to around 3.6 points and a mere assist per game.Even against the Cavaliers, where he's typically averaged about 10 points, his away stats tell a different story with just 11.2 points in previous matchups. With a remarkable hit rate of 7 out of his last 8 games going under this total, it's clear that Merrill has struggled to make an impact on the road. Given these trends, betting on him to fall under 11.5 points and assists feels like the smart money.