Today's Top NBA Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Tuesday 03/17 (Miles Bridges Highlights): Smart Player Wagers

As the Phoenix Suns gear up to face the Minnesota Timberwolves, Collin Gillespie's assist numbers are drawing some keen attention. Currently set at under 4.5 assists, there's a compelling case for this bet. Gillespie has been solid, but with a recent expected stat value of just 3.08, it's evident he may be stretching for those extra assists. Let's not forget the Suns' defensive prowess; they've been known to suffocate playmaking opportunities, particularly against guards, which makes Gillespie's task even tougher on the road. Although he's hit the mark in his last five games, he notably shines more at home. With an impressive away hit rate of 4 for 4, it's worth noting that he's been living on the edge. All signs point to a struggle for Gillespie to surpass that 4.5 threshold in this matchup-making the under a savvy play.

Myles Turner (Indiana Pacers) Over 5.5 Rebounds + Assists (-152)

As the Milwaukee Bucks prepare to face the Cleveland Cavaliers, Myles Turner presents an intriguing opportunity for the Over on his combined rebounds and assists at 5.5. While his recent averages sit at 3.6 rebounds and 1.2 assists, the numbers tell a different story when we zoom in on his home/away splits. At home, Turner has averaged 5 rebounds and 1.6 assists in his last five games, pushing him into a more productive rhythm.What's more compelling is his track record against the Cavaliers. Over his last five matchups with them, Turner has snagged an average of 4.8 rebounds and contributed 1.6 assists. Given that Cleveland's defense tends to allow around 5 rebounds and 2.2 assists to players in his position, it's reasonable to expect him to surpass the 5.5 threshold. With a hit rate of 75% in his last 20 home/away games, the Over feels like a smart

Mikal Bridges (New York Knicks) Over 6.5 Rebounds + Assists (-139)

Mikal Bridges is primed for a standout performance as the Knicks host the Pacers. Playing at home, Bridges has been a force, averaging 5.4 rebounds and 3.6 assists over his last five games at Madison Square Garden. That's a solid foundation, but the real kicker is his recent form against Indiana. Historically, he's notched 4.8 rebounds and 4.2 assists against them at home, showcasing an ability to elevate his game when facing this squad.With a remarkable hit rate of 11 out of his last 16 games and five straight home games surpassing that 6.5 mark, the odds are certainly in our favor. The matchup also favors Bridges, as Indiana struggles defensively on the perimeter, likely leaving him with ample opportunities to rack up both rebounds and assists. Expect him to not just meet but exceed that line in what shapes up to be an exciting clash.

Sam Merrill (Cleveland Cavaliers) Under 11.5 Points + Assists (-123)

As the Milwaukee Bucks gear up to face the Cleveland Cavaliers, all eyes are on Sam Merrill, but betting on him to exceed 11.5 combined points and assists feels like a stretch. Merrill is averaging just 6.8 points and 1.6 assists over his last five games, which drops to a mere 3.6 points and 1 assist when he's on the road. Historically, he's managed to hit this over only once in the last eight games, showcasing a hit rate of 7 out of 8, and he hasn't crossed this threshold in his last seven away games.When facing the Cavs, his average of 10 points and 1 assist simply doesn't instill confidence in a high-scoring outing. Given the trends and the context of a tough away matchup, taking the under on Merrill feels like the sharp move here.

Trendon Watford (Brooklyn Nets) Over 8.5 Points (-132)

As we look ahead to the Denver Nuggets' showdown against the Philadelphia 76ers, Trendon Watford stands out as a promising player prop target for the over on points at 8.5. Recently, Watford has been on a scoring tear, averaging 16.6 points over his last five games, with a solid 14.8 points in home matchups. His confidence is palpable, especially given his perfect 3-for-3 success in hitting the over in his last three outings. While historically he's faced the 76ers with only 4 points on average, his current form suggests a significant departure from that trend. The numbers support a projected output of around 11.45 points, giving us a favorable edge. If he continues to see the floor as he has, this should be a game where Watford not only meets but exceeds that 8.5 benchmark, especially in a high-paced matchup against a formidable opponent. Keep an eye on him!