Latest NBA betting preview: Los Angeles Clippers vs San Antonio Spurs. Get predictions and top picks. We analyze the top 6 player props available. Keywords: NBA player props, best prop bets today, player statistics predictions.
Kris Dunn (LA Clippers) Under 15.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-130)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Looking at Kris Dunn's recent performance, betting the under on his combined points, rebounds, and assists seems like a savvy move. In his last five games, he's averaging just 5.8 points, 3 rebounds, and 1.2 assists-a far cry from the 15.5 mark we're targeting. Even against the Spurs, where he averages only 6.8 points and 3 rebounds, Dunn's contributions have been minimal. With his overall hit rate of 12-for-13 in the last 13 games and a perfect 8-for-8 at home, it's clear he's struggled to surpass this threshold. The Spurs also have been relatively stingy defensively, limiting opponents to an average of 10.2 points and 2.8 rebounds in recent matchups. Given Dunn's recent form and the matchup dynamics, the under on 15.5 feels like a calculated bet that aligns well with the current momentum.
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
As the Suns prepare to take on the Celtics, all eyes should be on Collin Gillespie's assist totals. With a line set at 4.5, betting the under feels like a smart play. Gillespie's recent form tells a compelling story-he's hit the under in all five of his last games, and if you zoom in further, he hasn't surpassed this mark in his last four away games either. Though the Celtics are known for their defensive prowess, particularly against playmakers, Gillespie's expected assist value of just 3.08 paints a clear picture. It's not just about numbers; it's about matchups, and against the Celtics' swarming defense, he might struggle to find open looks for his teammates. With an implied probability of 63.3% on the under, this one feels like a solid bet as he navigates a tough Boston environment.
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
When the Houston Rockets take on the Los Angeles Lakers, targeting Reed Sheppard for under 3.5 rebounds feels like a savvy play. Sheppard, while talented, has consistently struggled to make an impact on the boards, with a remarkable hit rate of 15 for 15 on this under in his last 15 games. At home, his performance has been even more telling, hitting this mark in all 20 of his appearances. With the Lakers boasting a physical frontcourt, Sheppard's opportunities to secure rebounds may dwindle further. The Rockets' style of play often emphasizes perimeter shooting, which could lead to longer rebounds that don't favor Sheppard. Given that the implied probability sits at an impressive 65.8%, betting under 3.5 rebounds feels like a smart move. It's a combination of trends, matchups, and the weight of the data that makes this a compelling angle heading into game day.
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Pelicans gear up to face the Mavericks, all eyes should be on P.J. Washington to soar over 13.5 combined points and assists. Washington has been on a tear lately, averaging a solid 20.6 points and 2 assists over his last five games. When playing away, he's still making his mark, dropping an average of 15.8 points and 2.8 assists-numbers that hint at a player in rhythm. Against the Mavericks, he's posted impressive averages of 16 points and 3.5 assists in their last five encounters. With a flawless hit rate of 6 for 6 recently, it's clear he's in a groove. His ability to shine on the road, especially when the stakes are high, further cements this bet. Expect Washington to be a pivotal contributor in this matchup, making the over a tantalizing option to consider.
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Bennedict Mathurin has been a solid contributor, but when it comes to facilitating assists, he's been trending downward lately. Over his last five outings, he's averaged just 1.2 assists, and even in home games, that number only creeps up to 1.4. The matchup against the Spurs might not be favorable either; historically, Mathurin has put up an average of 1.6 assists against them, while the Spurs typically allow around 2 assists per game to shooting guards-a number he's struggled to reach consistently.Looking at the bigger picture, Mathurin's hit rate is impressive, with him going under 2.5 assists in 19 of his last 20 games. With the Clippers' offensive dynamics and Mathurin's role, it's hard to see him suddenly becoming a playmaker against a San Antonio team that's been effective defensively. This sets the stage for a strong case on the under for his assists.
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
As the Atlanta Hawks gear up to face the Orlando Magic, Jevon Carter's recent performance suggests a compelling case for taking the under on his combined points, rebounds, and assists at 12.5. Over his last five games, Carter has averaged just 5 points, 1 rebound, and a single assist. These numbers drop further in home matchups, where he's managed a mere 4.4 points and 0.6 rebounds.Against the Magic, he's been particularly muted, averaging 5.8 points and only 1 assist, while Orlando's defense has stifled opposing guards, allowing about 10.4 points and 2.4 assists. With a hit rate of 18 out of the last 20 games for this total to stay under, the trend is clear. It seems that if Carter's role continues in this vein, the under is a savvy play worth considering.
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