Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 17.5 Rebounds + Assists (-106)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Atlanta Hawks gear up to face the New York Knicks, all eyes will be on Jalen Johnson. While he's been a solid contributor lately, the numbers suggest he might struggle to hit the over on 17.5 combined rebounds and assists in this matchup. In his last five games, Johnson has averaged 11.2 rebounds and 5.2 assists, totaling around 16.4, which is a whisper below our target. Specifically, his performance on the road hasn't been as stellar; he's averaging just 10 rebounds and 7.4 assists over those five away games. Facing the Knicks, a team that tends to limit production, particularly in the paint, could further hinder his contributions. With an overall hit rate of 4-for-4 recently, the momentum is there, but against New York, he may just fall short. A bet on the Under 17.5 feels like the smart play here.

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 12.5 Rebounds + Assists (-127)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets gear up to face the Orlando Magic, keep an eye on Moussa Diabate, particularly for the under on his combined rebounds and assists, set at 12.5. While Diabate has shown flashes of brilliance, averaging 8.6 rebounds and 3 assists in his last five outings, the numbers reveal a trend that favors caution. On the road, he's been slightly less impactful, pulling down just 8 boards and dishing out around 3.2 assists. Against the Magic, his history isn't rosy either; he's averaging only 7 rebounds and a paltry 1.2 assists in their last matchups. With a solid hit rate of 75% on the under in his last four games, plus the Magic's stingy defense, it feels like a perfect storm for Diabate to fall short of that 12.5 mark. Expect him to hover close, but not quite break through.

Ayo Dosunmu (Minnesota Timberwolves) Over 14.5 Points + Rebounds (-109)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Timberwolves face off against the Nuggets, keep an eye on Ayo Dosunmu to surpass the 14.5 points and rebounds mark. Over his last five games, he's been a man on a mission, averaging nearly 18 points and nearly 4 rebounds. His away performance shines even brighter, with 19 points and 6 boards in his last road outings. Against Denver, Dosunmu has consistently found ways to make an impact, averaging 12 points and 3.5 rebounds in their recent matchups. With a flawless 13-game hit rate under his belt and a perfect 9-for-9 when playing away, he's clearly in form. The Nuggets' defense will have its hands full, and given Dosunmu's current rhythm and confidence, it's hard to see him not surpassing that 14.5 threshold. Bet on him to keep riding this wave of success!

LeBron James (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 34.5 Points + Assists (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Lakers gear up to face the Houston Rockets at home, targeting LeBron James for under 34.5 combined points and assists feels like the smart play. While LeBron's a legendary performer, recent trends suggest a shift in his role. Over his last five games, he's averaged just 23 points and 9.2 assists, and his home numbers are even more telling-19 points and 8.8 assists. Against the Rockets, he typically scores around 20.2 points, but that dips to 26.6 when he's at home. Plus, his assist output against Houston also aligns with an underwhelming 7.4 at home. With a remarkable hit rate of 17 out of 20 in his last matches, it's clear LeBron's been managing his workload effectively. Given these stats, it's hard to see him exceeding the 34.5 mark in what should be a well-balanced offensive game for the Lakers.

Sam Merrill (Cleveland Cavaliers) Over 9.5 Points (-108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Cavaliers gear up to face the Raptors at home, all eyes should be on Sam Merrill. With the Cleveland crowd behind him, Merrill has found his scoring touch, averaging 11 points in his last five games at home. He's no stranger to stepping up in pivotal moments, hitting the over on 9.5 points in three of his last four home outings.Looking closer, his overall performance has been impressive, with an 8 out of 11 hit rate in his last appearances. While his average against the Raptors has been slightly lower, the comfort of playing at home could tip the scales in his favor. Given an expected stat value of 14.27, it's clear that Merrill is primed to exceed that 9.5 mark against a Toronto defense that might struggle to contain him. With the crowd roaring, expect Merrill to rise to the occasion and deliver a strong performance.

Landry Shamet (New York Knicks) Over 4.5 Points (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Knicks host the Hawks, all eyes should be on Landry Shamet to light up the scoreboard. With an average of 6.6 points over his last five outings, he's clearly found his groove. At home, that number dips slightly to 6.2, but remember, he's faced the Hawks before, averaging about 7 points against them at Madison Square Garden. What's particularly intriguing is his recent form-hitting the over in 13 of his last 17 games. That's a staggering 76% success rate! And when he's at home, that rate skyrockets to 83%, making him practically a sure thing on his home court. With an expected stat value of nearly 9 points, betting on Shamet to surpass the modest 4.5 mark feels like a solid play. In a game that promises to be competitive, expect him to step up when it matters most.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro