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The latest Bet Better model pick for Xander Bogaerts is Under 0.5 on Batter - Walks.
It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 Hlanded 8 of the last 10
Over 0.50 Hlanded 8 of the last 10
Over 0.50 Hlanded 8 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Aug 31, 12:15AM UTC
MLB

Xander Bogaerts

BOS

Latest Model Pick
Batter - Walks Under 0.5 -435 (1.23) · $100→$123
San Diego Padres @ Tampa Bay Rays
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida · Indoor
Sat 29 Aug, 8:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 935 of 1,976 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
See the numbers

For the numbers: the book's price implies 81.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Walks——81.3%1.33—

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego Padres: Xander Bogaerts Under 0.5 Batter - Walks (-435)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The odds are pretty steep for Xander Bogaerts to walk less than half a time in this game. But looking at the matchup, the numbers suggest it could be a smart choice. The Tampa Bay Rays have been strong at home, winning 43 of their games there. Plus, Bogaerts has faced left-handed pitchers recently, and the Rays are decent at keeping hitters from getting on base against them. Bogaerts tends to hit the ball hard, which is great, but he might not get many chances with the wind blowing out tonight. The risk here is that both the Rays and Padres have similar stats against lefties, so it could be a close contest. Still, the overall situation points towards Bogaerts staying under that walk mark.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 4(100%)

Recent form (last 5 games)

Xander Bogaerts is averaging 0.7 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 3 games.

0.7
Hits
0.0
HR
0.0
RBI
0.0
Runs
0.3
Walks
1.0
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Xander Bogaerts has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 40% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.540%
o1.530%
o2.510%
o3.510%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Xander Bogaerts is averaging 0.7 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.7 in home games.

0.7
Hits · Overall
0.7
Hits · Home
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Home
Quick answers:How many home runs does Xander Bogaerts hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Aug 26 San Diego Padres @ Tampa Bay Rays Batter - Stolen Bases 0.5 Under -833 ✓ HIT
26 Aug 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -714 ✓ HIT
26 Aug 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 Over -204 ✓ HIT
26 Aug 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Xander Bogaerts (BOS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Xander Bogaerts is Under 0.5 on Batter - Walks. Their next game is San Diego Padres vs Tampa Bay Rays on Saturday 29 August at Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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