Xander Bogaerts (SDP) Under 0.5 Doubles (-588)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Red Sox prepare to face the Padres, all eyes should be on Xander Bogaerts and his ability to navigate against a tough San Diego pitching staff. Bogaerts has been a consistent performer, but in this matchup, the deck seems stacked against him. The Padres’ starting pitcher has been effective at limiting extra-base hits, boasting a solid ground ball rate that keeps the ball in the park.
In his recent games, Bogaerts has struggled against right-handed pitching, particularly when facing high-velocity fastballs that the Padres often deploy. With an implied probability of 85.5% for Bogaerts to stay below 0.5 doubles, it’s clear the numbers favor the under. Given these trends, combined with his recent performance, it’s hard to see him breaking through with a double today. This could very well be a day where he focuses on making contact rather than driving the ball into the gaps.