Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Manny Machado is Under 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On the Batter - Runs Scored market the model assigns a model win probability of 71%, versus the book's implied 68%, for a model edge of +3.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 5:33PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored
Under 0.5
-213 (1.47) · $100→$147
+3.1% Edge
Milwaukee Brewers
@
San Diego Padres
Petco Park, San Diego, California · Outdoor
Tue 11 Aug, 1:40AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
68.0%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - Runs Scored | 71.1% | — | 68.0% | 1.41 | +3.1% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 2/3 |
| Last 5 games | 3/5 |
| Last 10 games | 7/10 |
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Manny Machado (SDP) Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-213)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
San Diego Padres play Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Manny Machado (SDP) Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-213). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at -213 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.69 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
5 markets liveBatter - Hits + Runs + RBIsUpcoming vs MILU 1.5 -154 Game log vs U 1.52 / 5 hit
Manny Machado MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared under 1.5 in 90% of the last 10 games vs MIL. Current line U 1.5 at -154.
Batter - RBIsUpcoming vs MILU 0.5 -294 Game log vs U 0.57 / 10 hit
Manny Machado MLB rbis: cleared under 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games vs MIL. Current line U 0.5 at -294.
Batter - Runs ScoredUpcoming vs MILU 0.5 -213 Game log vs U 0.56 / 7 hit
Manny Machado MLB runs scored: cleared under 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games vs MIL. Current line U 0.5 at -213.
Batter - SinglesUpcoming vs MILU 0.5 -175 Game log vs U 0.54 / 7 hit
Manny Machado MLB singles: cleared under 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games vs MIL. Current line U 0.5 at -175.
Batter - DoublesUpcoming vs MILU 0.5 -714 Game log vs U 0.57 / 9 hit
Manny Machado MLB doubles: cleared under 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games vs MIL. Current line U 0.5 at -714.
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted Game log vs O 0.5avg 1.3 · hi 3 · lo 0
Manny Machado MLB hitsseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted O 1.510%
O 2.510%
O 3.510%
O 4.510%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 1.3 · hi 5 · lo 0
Manny Machado MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted Manny Machado MLB strikeouts: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Manny Machado (SDP) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Manny Machado is Under 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.1% on this pick. Their next game is Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres on Tuesday 11 August at Petco Park, San Diego. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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