Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Walker Buehler is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On the Pitcher - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 90%, versus the book's implied 61%, for a model edge of +29.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:35PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks
Under 2.5
-154 (1.65) · $100→$165
+29.9% Edge
San Diego Padres
@
Arizona Diamondbacks
Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona · Indoor
Fri 7 Aug, 1:40AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
60.6%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
| Pitcher - Walks | 90.5% | — | 60.6% | 1.11 | +29.9% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
| Last 3 games | 1/3 |
| Last 5 games | 1/5 |
| Last 10 games | 1/10 |
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Walker Buehler Under 2.5 Walks Allowed (-154)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Arizona Diamondbacks play San Diego Padres in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Walker Buehler Under 2.5 Walks Allowed (-154). That is a Walks Allowed bet. It was priced at -154 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.49 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formPitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 2.580%
O 3.540%
O 4.530%
O 5.520%
O 6.530%
O 7.520%
Walker Buehler MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted O 2.5100%
O 3.580%
O 4.560%
O 5.540%
O 6.520%
O 7.510%
O 8.510%
Walker Buehler MLB hits allowed: cleared over 2.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted O 0.590%
O 1.540%
O 2.530%
O 3.510%
O 4.510%
Walker Buehler MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted Walker Buehler MLB outs: averaging 16.6 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
Walker Buehler is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Walker Buehler is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +29.9% on this pick. Their next game is San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks on Friday 7 August at Chase Field, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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