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The latest Bet Better model pick for Walker Buehler is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 2.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 2.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 2.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Aug 30, 6:36PM UTC
MLB

Walker Buehler

BOS

Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks Under 1.5 -103 (1.97) · $100→$197
San Diego Padres @ Tampa Bay Rays
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida · Indoor
Sat 29 Aug, 8:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 935 of 1,976 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Confirmed probable starter
Probable SP vs SD @ TB
updated Aug 29, 8:10PM UTC
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See the numbers

For the numbers: the book's price implies 50.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks50.8%2.03

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego Padres: Walker Buehler Under 1.5 Pitcher - Walks (-103)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

For this bet to hit, Walker Buehler needs to keep his walks under 1.5 tonight against the Tampa Bay Rays. He's been strong lately, averaging just 2 strikeouts per game over his last three games, which suggests he's finding ways to get batters out without giving them free passes. The Rays have a decent lineup, but against left-handed starters like Buehler, they've been hitting a little below average. The Rays are playing at home, where they've been much better this season with a record of 43 wins and 23 losses. Still, their hitting against lefties isn't stellar either, matching the league average. The biggest risk here is how close Buehler's recent strikeout rate is to his walk total, meaning he could get into trouble if he's not careful with his pitches.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Walker Buehler is averaging 5.0 hits, 0.8 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

5.0
Hits
0.8
HR
0.0
RBI
2.6
Runs
1.6
Walks
5.2
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Walker Buehler has gone over 1.5 SO in 75% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.575%
o2.538%
o3.525%
o4.512%
o5.50%
o6.50%
o7.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Walker Buehler is averaging 5.0 hits per game over his last 5 and 4.4 in away games.

5.0
Hits · Overall
4.4
Hits · Away
0.8
HR · Overall
1.0
HR · Away
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
23 Aug 26 Minnesota Twins @ San Diego Padres Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -139 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Minnesota Twins @ San Diego Padres Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Under -104 ✓ HIT
17 Aug 26 San Diego Padres @ New York Mets Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under +129 ✗ MISS
17 Aug 26 San Diego Padres @ New York Mets Pitcher - Hits Allowed Pending
17 Aug 26 San Diego Padres @ New York Mets Pitcher - Earned Runs Pending
12 Aug 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres Pitcher - Hits Allowed Pending

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About This Player

Walker Buehler (BOS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Walker Buehler is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks. Their next game is San Diego Padres vs Tampa Bay Rays on Saturday 29 August at Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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