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Model picks & player props
MLB
Coors Field, Denver
Outdoor
Thu 17 Sep 2026, 3:10 PM ET
San Diego Padres
VS
Colorado Rockies

San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies and backs Under 19.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $105.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Under 19.5 total runs
Under 19.5 Total Runs
You bet$10 If it wins$10.50Best price-2000
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win93.3%
The price says91.8%

The model graded 70 markets for San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $105 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 17 Sep 2026, 3:10 PM ET at Coors Field.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Under 19.5 High93% chance -2000
Spread Members only Lean50% chance Members
Moneyline Members only High61% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Members only Lean52% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot27% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean50% chance Members
Total Runs Members only High83% chance Members
Batter - RBIs × 6 props Highup to 78% Members
Pitcher - Walks × 1 prop Highup to 66% Members
Pitcher - Outs × 3 props Highup to 73% Members
Pitcher - Strikeouts × 3 props Highup to 60% Members
Batter - Strikeouts × 11 props Long-shotup to 27% Members
Batter - Singles × 1 prop Highup to 69% Members
Batter - Doubles × 4 props Highup to 84% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

San Diego Padres and Colorado Rockies last met on Thu 17 Sep 2026: San Diego Padres won 9-2. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Under
19.5
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,041+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresMoneylineThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 1 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego PadresSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

San Diego Padres

  • Adrian Morejon RPDay-to-day
  • Gavin Sheets 1BDay-to-day
  • Rodolfo Duran COut
  • Miguel Andujar DHOut
  • Jeremiah Estrada RPOut
  • Ramon Laureano LFOut
  • Luis Rengifo LFOut
  • Lucas Giolito SPOut
  • Bryan Hoeing RPOut

Colorado Rockies

  • Willi Castro 2BOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut
Availability updated Oct 7, 1:10PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 16 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability16 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Jake McCarthy ARI Batter - RBIs
Mason Adams Pitcher - Walks
Mason Adams Pitcher - Outs
Mickey Moniak COL Batter - RBIs
Michael King SDP Pitcher - Strikeouts

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineColorado RockiesNo line posted
0-5L5 record
L5 RF3.0L5 RA6.4Home L50-5vs San Diego Padres L52-3

Colorado Rockies moneyline form: last five 0-5, 3.0 runs/gm.

Run LineColorado Rockies run lineNo line posted
0-5L5 record
L5 RF3.0L5 RA6.4Home L50-5vs San Diego Padres L52-3

Colorado Rockies spread form: last five 0-5, 3.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Colorado Rockies vs San Diego PadresNo line posted

Colorado Rockies total runs form: last five 0-5, 3.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsColorado Rockies team totalNo line posted
2.7runs we expect
L5 RF3.0L5 RA6.4Home L50-5vs San Diego Padres L52-3

Colorado Rockies team total runs form: last five 0-5, 3.0 runs/gm.

San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies — recent results

Colorado Rockies have won 1 of their last 5 games; San Diego Padres have won 2 of their last 5.

Colorado Rockies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–4CHWAway
W9–6CHWAway
L1–6CHWAway
L3–5ARIHome
L8–12ARIHome
San Diego Padres — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–3MILHome
W4–3MILHome
L2–3MILAway
L3–4MILAway
W4–1CHCHome

San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: Colorado Rockies won 2, San Diego Padres won 8.

DateColorado RockiesSan Diego PadresWinner
Sep 1739San Diego Padres
Sep 1729San Diego Padres
Sep 1693Colorado Rockies
Sep 1578San Diego Padres
Jul 2978San Diego Padres
Jul 2913San Diego Padres
Apr 2383Colorado Rockies
Apr 23810San Diego Padres
Apr 2201San Diego Padres
Apr 1259San Diego Padres

Who’s out or in doubt

16 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Colorado Rockies
PlayerStatus
Willi Castro 2BOUT
Chase Dollander SPOUT
Welinton Herrera RPOUT
McCade Brown SPOUT
RJ Petit RPOUT
Pierson Ohl RPOUT
Kris Bryant DHOUT
San Diego Padres
PlayerStatus
Adrian Morejon RPDAY-TO-DAY
Gavin Sheets 1BDAY-TO-DAY
Rodolfo Duran COUT
Miguel Andujar DHOUT
Jeremiah Estrada RPOUT
Ramon Laureano LFOUT
Luis Rengifo LFOUT
Lucas Giolito SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies — model preview

Our San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies prediction for September 18, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On September 18, 2026 our model has run San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres: Over 4.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (-213), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Padres vs Rockies, or as Rockies vs Padres. The most recent game between them was Thursday 17 September 2026 at Coors Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies head-to-head record

Final scores · 59 meetings on record
San Diego Padres 37–22 across the last 59 meetings · these games average 9.9 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Thu 17 Sep 2026, San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies: the Padres won 9-3.

DateGameScoreWinner
17 Sep 2026San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies3–9San Diego Padres
16 Sep 2026San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies9–3Colorado Rockies
15 Sep 2026San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies7–8San Diego Padres
14 Sep 2026San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies7–8San Diego Padres
29 Jul 2026Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres3–1San Diego Padres
28 Jul 2026Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres8–7San Diego Padres
23 Apr 2026San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies8–10San Diego Padres
22 Apr 2026San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies8–3Colorado Rockies
21 Apr 2026San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies0–1San Diego Padres
12 Apr 2026Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres7–2San Diego Padres

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 59 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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