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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ty France is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits.
On the Batter - Hits market the model assigns a model win probability of 82%, versus the book's implied 72%, for a model edge of +10.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 18, 9:18AM UTC
MLB

Ty France

SEA

+10.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 1.5 -263 (1.38)
+10.0% Edge
San Diego Padres @ Kansas City Royals
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri · Outdoor
Sat 18 Jul, 12:10AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
82.5%
Implied Probability
72.5%
Model Edge
+10.0%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits82.5%—72.5%1.21+10.0%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

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Ty France (SEA) Under 1.5 Hits (-263)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Kansas City Royals host the San Diego Padres on July 18, all eyes will be on Ty France, who’s been struggling at the plate lately. Despite his talent, France has faced tough pitching in recent games, and the Royals' starter has been particularly effective against right-handed hitters. With an impressive strikeout rate, he could easily keep France off balance. Additionally, with France only managing a hit in 50% of his last few games, the odds are leaning heavily toward him staying under 1.5 hits today. The Padres have also been inconsistent offensively, and facing a Royals team eager to bounce back at home might further complicate matters for him. Given the trends and the matchup dynamics, betting the 'Under' on France feels like a savvy play, especially with the momentum favoring Kansas City's pitcher.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
67%hit L10
O 0.567%
O 1.567%

Ty France MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 67% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
67%hit L10
O 1.567%
O 2.533%

Ty France MLB total bases: cleared over 1.5 in 67% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
67%hit L10
O 0.567%
O 1.567%
O 2.533%

Ty France MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 67% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.533%

Ty France MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
67%hit L10
O 0.567%
O 1.533%

Ty France MLB singles: cleared over 0.5 in 67% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Jul 26 San Diego Padres @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -263 ✓ HIT
08 Jul 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -476 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 Over +110 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Ty France (SEA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ty France is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.0% on this pick. Their next game is San Diego Padres vs Kansas City Royals on Saturday 18 July at Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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